Sevilla vs Alaves
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Challenge a friendSevilla, also known as Los Nervionenses, face off against Alaves in this Regular Season - 12 fixture. Both teams have shown competitive form, but Sevilla's recent performances and squad strengths suggest they will take the upper hand.
The context
Sevilla currently sit 5th in the league with 13 points from 7 games, while Alaves are 7th with 11 points from 8 games. This close table positioning sets the stage for a keenly contested match, though Sevilla's slightly better form gives them an edge.
Match factors
Sevilla's midfield control via L. Agoumé
Agoumé's 429 passes and 83% accuracy surpass league midfield averages, enabling Sevilla's possession dominance
Alaves rely heavily on L. Boyé for goals
Boyé leads Alaves with 5 goals in 9 games, focal point of attack against Sevilla's defense
M. Díaz's dual threat in scoring and assisting
Díaz has 3 goals and 4 assists this season, showing recent form as both scorer and creator
Sevilla missing key midfielder Miguel Ángel
Miguel Ángel is confirmed out with shoulder injury, reducing Sevilla's midfield depth
Sevilla's defensive solidity led by Juan Iglesias
Iglesias' 62% duel win rate and 3.1 tackles per game provide defensive stability against Alaves' attackers
Analysis
Sevilla's midfield control, led by L. Agoumé who boasts 429 passes with 83% accuracy and 3.2 tackles per game, provides a solid foundation for their dominance. Defensively, Juan Iglesias offers stability with a 62.1% duel win rate and 3.1 tackles per game, crucial against Alaves' attacking threats. Alaves rely heavily on L. Boyé, their top scorer with 5 goals in 9 games, and M. Díaz, who contributes both goals and assists. However, Sevilla's defensive organisation and midfield control are likely to stifle these threats.
Key insights
- L
L. Agoumé
Sevilla
Agoumé's 429 passes and 83% accuracy surpass league midfield averages, enabling Sevilla's possession dominance
La Liga 26/27429 total passes, 83% accuracy, 3.2 tackles per game
- L
L. Boyé
Alaves
Boyé leads Alaves with 5 goals in 9 games, focal point of attack against Sevilla's defense
La Liga 26/275 goals in 9 games
- M
M. Díaz
Alaves
Díaz has 3 goals and 4 assists this season, showing recent form as both scorer and creator
La Liga 26/273 goals, 4 assists
- J
Juan Iglesias
Sevilla
Iglesias' 62% duel win rate and 3.1 tackles per game provide defensive stability against Alaves' attackers
La Liga 26/2762.1% duel win rate, 3.1 tackles per game
Prediction
The prediction is a home win for Sevilla with a halftime lead of 1-0 and a fulltime scoreline of 3-0. The match is expected to feature moderate discipline, with around four cards shown. Sevilla's control in midfield and defensive solidity should see them comfortably outscore Alaves.
Key facts
- 1.Sevilla are 5th in the league with 13 points from 7 games (W4 D1 L2).
- 2.Alaves are 7th with 11 points from 8 games (W3 D2 L3).
- 3.L. Agoumé leads Sevilla with 429 passes and 83% accuracy this season.
- 4.Juan Iglesias has a 62.1% duel win rate and averages 3.1 tackles per game.
- 5.L. Boyé is Alaves' top scorer with 5 goals in 9 games.
- 6.M. Díaz has contributed 3 goals and 4 assists this season.
- 7.Predicted total cards in the match is 4, indicating moderate discipline.
The verdict
In summary, Sevilla's combination of midfield dominance and defensive strength should secure a comprehensive victory over Alaves. While Alaves have attacking talents, they are unlikely to breach Sevilla's well-organised defence in this encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Sevilla
Away — Alaves
Prediction generated 1 Nov 2026, 15:01 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who does Fipster predict will win Sevilla vs Alaves?
- Fipster's AI model predicts Sevilla to win against Alaves.
- What is the predicted score for Sevilla vs Alaves?
- Fipster predicts a final score of Sevilla 3–0 Alaves.
- What are the win probabilities for Sevilla vs Alaves?
- Fipster's model gives Sevilla a 95% chance of winning, Alaves a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigns this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.