Seattle Sounders vs St. Louis City
Match recap
Seattle Sounders beat St. Louis City 4–1 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Roldan, Roldan, Rusnák, and De Rosario scored for Seattle Sounders; Löwen replied for St. Louis City. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.71 for Seattle Sounders versus 0.60 for St. Louis City. Seattle Sounders sit 7th in the Major League Soccer table while St. Louis City are 2nd.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-3 St. Louis City win
Actual
4–1
Outcome probability
This MLS regular season fixture promises an exciting battle between Seattle Sounders and St. Louis City. Both teams boast strong attacking options, but the visitors have shown a sharper edge in recent matches.
Match factors
St. Louis City's potent attack vs Seattle's defense
St. Louis City has a higher average goals scored (1.93) than Seattle (1.36), with key forwards like Becher and Navarro in strong form.
Albert Rusnák's creative influence
Rusnák leads Seattle with 11 assists and excellent recent form, boosting their attacking threat.
Dejan Joveljić's scoring streak
Joveljić scored 3 goals in last 5 games, showing strong finishing and confidence.
Seattle missing key scorer Paul Rothrock
Rothrock is confirmed out, removing a 5-goal threat and impacting Seattle's attacking options.
Paul Arriola's impact if fit
Arriola is doubtful but has recent goals and assists; his presence could add pace and creativity on the wing.
The context
Seattle Sounders sit 7th in the league with 41 points from 28 games, while St. Louis City hold a lofty 2nd place with 47 points from 27 matches. Historically, Seattle have dominated head-to-head encounters, winning 7 of 8 matches against St. Louis City, but the current season's form suggests a more competitive contest.
Key insights
Simon Becher
St. Louis City
Top scorer with 9 goals, showing strong recent form and key role in attack.
Major League Soccer 26/279 goals in 28 appearances, 2 goals in last 5 games
Albert Rusnák
Seattle Sounders
Creative playmaker leading with 11 assists, vital for Seattle's attacking chances.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 assists in 27 appearances, 0.41 assists/game
Dejan Joveljić
Seattle Sounders
In fine scoring form with 4 goals in 5 appearances, a key threat despite home disadvantage.
Major League Soccer 26/274 goals in 5 appearances, 0.8 goals/game
- P
Paul Arriola Hendricks
Seattle Sounders
Doubtful but could add pace and creativity on the wing if fit, impacting the match dynamics.
Major League Soccer 26/273 goals in 19 appearances, 0.16 goals/game
Analysis
St. Louis City's attack has been particularly impressive this season, averaging 1.93 goals per game compared to Seattle's 1.36. Key forwards Simon Becher and Rafael Navarro have been in fine form, with Becher netting 9 goals and Navarro 7 in just 6 appearances. Seattle's creative force Albert Rusnák leads with 11 assists, providing vital service to their forwards. However, Seattle will miss Paul Rothrock, a 5-goal contributor, which could hamper their attacking options. The visitors' superior goal difference and recent momentum suggest they have the tactical advantage to edge this encounter.
Key facts
- 1.Seattle Sounders have won 7 of 8 head-to-head matches against St. Louis City, with no draws.
- 2.St. Louis City are currently 2nd in the league with 47 points from 27 games.
- 3.Seattle Sounders are 7th with 41 points from 28 games this season.
- 4.St. Louis City have a superior goal difference by 9 goals compared to Seattle.
- 5.Simon Becher is St. Louis City's top scorer with 9 goals this season.
- 6.Albert Rusnák leads Seattle with 11 assists, showcasing his creative influence.
- 7.Paul Rothrock is out, removing a key attacking option for Seattle.
Prediction
We predict a closely fought match with St. Louis City narrowly winning 3-2. Their potent attack and better goal difference this season give them the edge over Seattle Sounders, despite the home side's resilience and creative spark from Rusnák.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Seattle Sounders
Away — St. Louis City
The verdict
Expect a high-tempo, goal-filled game with both sides pushing hard. St. Louis City's clinical finishing and attacking depth should see them through, but Seattle's home spirit and key players like Rusnák and Roldán will ensure they remain competitive until the final whistle.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 00:37 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Roldan
Assist: Rusnák
Roldan
Assist: Rusnák
Arriola
Rusnák
Penalty
Dotson
Rusnák
Roldan
Teuchert
Becher
Rafael Santos
Musovski
Wallem
De Rosario
Assist: Ferreira
Hartel
Löwen
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +15 | 51 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +8 | 51 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +15 | 46 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
Match Statistics
Seattle Sounders
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5N. ToloD
- 7C. RoldanM
- 11A. RusnákM
- 16A. RoldanD
- 17P. ArriolaM
- 19D. MusovskiF
- 26A. ThomasG
- 31H. DotsonM
- 35A. LopezD
- 37S. BrunellM
- 85K. Kossa-RienziD
Substitutes
- 9J. FerreiraF
- 13J. MorrisF
- 14P. RothrockF
- 24S. FreiG
- 33C. BakerD
- 39S. HawkinsD
- 45P. KingstonM
- 95O. De RosarioF
St. Louis City
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1R. BürkiG
- 5L. MacNaughtonD
- 6C. WallemM
- 8C. DurkinM
- 11S. BecherF
- 17M. HartelF
- 20Rafael SantosM
- 21D. PolvaraD
- 24D. EdelmanM
- 32T. BaumgartlD
- 36C. TeuchertF
Substitutes
- 4M. FallD
- 10E. LöwenM
- 14T. TotlandD
- 16S. CórdovaF
- 27F. FallD
- 28M. PerezM
- 39B. LundtG
- 77Jeong Sang-BinF
- 80Brendan McSorleyF
Seattle Sounders
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristian Roldán(C) | M | 90 | 9.7 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Snyder Brunell | M | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Albert Rusnak | M | 53 | 7.6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Alex Roldán | D | 60 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Arriola | M | 45 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Antino Lopez | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Nouhou Tolo | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Hassani Dotson | M | 53 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew Thomas | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kalani Kossa-Rienzi | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Daniel Musovski | F | 80 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Stuart Hawkins | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefan Frei | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Baker | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesús Ferreira | F | 37 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0/1 |
| Osaze De Rosario | F | 10 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Paul Rothrock | F | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Peter Kingston | M | 30 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jordan Morris | F | 37 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
St. Louis City
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Bürki(C) | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcel Hartel | F | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1/2 |
| Cedric Teuchert | F | 62 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/4 |
| Daniel Edelman | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Christopher Durkin | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Rafael Santos | M | 62 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Simon Becher | F | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
| Lukas MacNaughton | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Dante Polvara | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Timo Baumgartl | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Conrad Wallem | M | 81 | 5.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Fallou Fall | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Perez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Mbacke | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Lundt | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduard Löwen | M | 8 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Tomas Totland | D | 28 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Sang-bin Jeong | F | 28 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Córdova | F | 28 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Brendan McSorley | F | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Seattle Sounders vs St. Louis City?
- Fipster's AI model predicted St. Louis City to win against Seattle Sounders.
- What score did Fipster predict for Seattle Sounders vs St. Louis City?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Seattle Sounders 2–3 St. Louis City.
- What were the win probabilities for Seattle Sounders vs St. Louis City?
- Fipster's model gave Seattle Sounders a 7% chance of winning, St. Louis City a 85% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.