Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake
Sounders secure solid win over Real Salt Lake
Musovski and Rusnák strike to give Seattle a comfortable 2-0 victory.
Seattle Sounders claimed a confident 2-0 victory against Real Salt Lake in Major League Soccer, with D. Musovski opening the scoring just after the break and A. Rusnák doubling the lead in the 73rd minute. The Sounders controlled the match to keep a clean sheet and secure all three points. Fipster's prediction of a home win was on the money, albeit with a slightly different scoreline.
Outcome probability
Seattle Sounders and Real Salt Lake face off in a regular season MLS fixture that promises a tight contest. Both sides have had mixed fortunes this season, making this an intriguing encounter to watch.
Match factors
Joveljić's recent scoring form
Dejan Joveljić has scored 4 goals in his last 5 games, making him a key attacking threat for Seattle Sounders
Ferreira's absence weakens Seattle midfield
Jesús Ferreira is confirmed out due to injury, removing a midfielder with 2 goals and 3 assists this season
Rusnák's creative influence
Albert Rusnák leads Seattle with 6 assists and 3 goals, well above league average for midfielders
Solans as Real Salt Lake's top scorer
Sergi Solans has 9 goals this season, the highest for his team, though recent form shows a scoring drought
Rusnák and Sanabria key for Real Salt Lake assists
Both Rusnák and Sanabria provide 4 assists each, crucial for creating chances against Seattle
The context
Seattle Sounders sit 14th in the league with 28 points from 23 games, while Real Salt Lake are slightly better placed at 12th with 29 points from 25 games. Historically, Real Salt Lake have the upper hand in their head-to-head meetings, but recent form and home advantage could tilt the scales.
Key insights
Dejan Joveljić
Seattle Sounders
Has scored 4 goals in his last 5 games, making him a key attacking threat for Seattle.
Major League Soccer 26/274 goals last 5 games, 3 goals season
Albert Rusnák
Seattle Sounders
Leads the team with 6 assists and 3 goals, providing creative spark and disciplined play.
Major League Soccer 26/276 assists, 3 goals season
Sergi Solans
Real Salt Lake
Top scorer with 9 goals, consistent starter, though currently in a scoring drought.
Major League Soccer 26/279 goals season
- J
Jesús Ferreira Castro
Seattle Sounders
Confirmed out due to injury, removing a key midfield link with 2 goals and 3 assists this season.
Major League Soccer 26/272 goals, 3 assists season
Analysis
Seattle Sounders have a slight edge in the probabilities for this match, with a 41% chance of winning compared to 21.5% for Real Salt Lake. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favour of Seattle, with a halftime lead of 1-0. Key players like Dejan Joveljić, who has scored 4 goals in his last 5 games, and Albert Rusnák, the team's top assist provider, could be decisive. Real Salt Lake's top scorer Sergi Solans, despite a recent goal drought, remains a threat. The absence of Jesús Ferreira for Seattle due to injury might be felt, but the home side's attacking options look promising.
Key facts
- 1.Seattle Sounders are 14th in the league with 28 points from 23 games (W7 D7 L9).
- 2.Real Salt Lake are 12th with 29 points from 25 games (W8 D5 L12).
- 3.In 20 head-to-head meetings, Real Salt Lake have won 10, Seattle Sounders 6, with 4 draws.
- 4.Dejan Joveljić has scored 4 goals in his last 5 games for Seattle Sounders.
- 5.Albert Rusnák leads Seattle with 6 assists and 3 goals this season.
- 6.Sergi Solans is Real Salt Lake's top scorer with 9 goals this season.
- 7.Jesús Ferreira is out injured, weakening Seattle's midfield options.
Prediction
Expect Seattle Sounders to take an early lead and maintain their advantage to secure a 2-1 victory over Real Salt Lake. The match should be competitive, but the home side's attacking form and creative midfield play give them the edge.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Seattle Sounders
Away — Real Salt Lake
The verdict
While the match is finely balanced, Seattle Sounders' recent attacking momentum and home advantage make them the favourites to claim all three points. Real Salt Lake will push hard, but the Sounders' firepower should prove just enough.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 04:27 UTC · Fipster Model v1.158
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Kossa-Rienzi
Yellow Card
Arriola
Yellow Card
Kossa-Rienzi
Roldan
Musovski
Assist: Arriola
Kingston
Yellow Card
Brunell
Yellow Card
Henry
Yellow Card
Brunell
Musovski
Moisa
Rusnák
Assist: Arriola
Solans
Guilavogui
Spierings
Arriola
Yedlin
Yellow Card
Caliskan
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | +33 | 50 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | -7 | 36 |
| 9 |  Seattle Sounders | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 35 |
| 10 |  Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -3 | 32 |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -4 | 32 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 32 |
Match Statistics
Seattle Sounders
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rusnák | — | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | — |
| P. Arriola | — | 82 | 8.2 | — | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| N. Tolo | — | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| D. Musovski | — | 63 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| J. Ragen | — | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Hawkins | — | 44 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Roldan | — | 46 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Thomas | — | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Kossa-Rienzi | — | 46 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| C. Roldan | — | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
| H. Dotson | — | 27 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Clark | — | 8 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| P. Kingston | — | 44 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Brunell | — | 63 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| S. Gomez | — | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/7 |
| J. Morris | — | 27 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Sailor | — | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Gómez | — | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Frei | — | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antino Lopez | — | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Real Salt Lake
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Cabral | — | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Quinton | — | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Henry | — | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Spierings | — | 78 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Guilavogui | — | 78 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | — | 3 | 2/4 |
| S. Solans | — | 78 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| D. Yedlin | — | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| L. Moisa | — | 71 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lineker Rodrigues | — | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| S. Lobzhanidze | — | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Booth | — | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Colin Guske | — | 12 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Marczuk | — | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| L. O'Gara | — | 2 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Caliskan | — | 88 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| S. Junqua | — | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Stajduhar | — | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jason Shokalook | — | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Hezarkhani | — | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Seattle Sounders to win against Real Salt Lake.
- What score did Fipster predict for Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Seattle Sounders 2–1 Real Salt Lake.
- What were the win probabilities for Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake?
- Fipster's model gave Seattle Sounders a 43% chance of winning, Real Salt Lake a 28% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 43% confidence — a low-confidence call.