Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers steamroll Seattle Sounders
A commanding 5-1 victory sees Portland dismantle the hosts with ruthless efficiency.
Portland Timbers delivered a stunning performance on the road, cruising to a 5-1 win over Seattle Sounders. K. Kelsy starred with a brace, supported by goals from K. Miller, C. Bassett, and A. Aravena, while Seattle's H. Dotson managed a consolation strike. This emphatic result defied Fipster's confident prediction of a Seattle win, proving the Timbers were the dominant force on the day.
Analysis
The Seattle Sounders host the Portland Timbers in what promises to be a tightly contested MLS regular season clash. Both teams have had their moments this season, but the Sounders' home advantage and attacking prowess make them favourites to edge this one.
Seattle Sounders currently sit 6th in the league with 24 points from 13 games, boasting a solid goal difference of +12. Meanwhile, Portland Timbers are struggling in 13th place with 14 points from 14 games and a less impressive defensive record. This fixture is a key opportunity for Seattle to consolidate their position and for Portland to try and climb out of the lower reaches of the table.
In this regular season encounter, Seattle's home form is a significant factor. They average 2 goals per home game and have won three of their last five at home, with Jesús Ferreira and Albert Rusnák leading the charge. Portland, on the other hand, have conceded over 2 goals per away game on average and rely heavily on Kevin Kelsy for goals. Seattle's midfield creativity, especially from Cristian Roldán and Ferreira, is expected to exploit Portland's defensive vulnerabilities. The Timbers will need to contain Kelsy to have a chance, but the Sounders' defensive stalwarts like Nouhou Tolo should keep things tight.
Prediction
The prediction is a 2-1 home win for Seattle Sounders, with a halftime lead of 1-0. The match is expected to be competitive, with a total of three cards likely to be shown. Confidence in this outcome is high at 95%, reflecting Seattle's superior form and home advantage.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Sounders' midfield creativity vs Timbers' defensive struggles
Sounders' key midfielders like Roldán and Ferreira excel in passing and chance creation against Timbers who concede frequently away
Home scoring strength favors Seattle
Sounders average 2 goals per home game, above league average, while Timbers concede over 2 goals away on average
Sounders' recent home form better than Timbers' away
Sounders have won 3 of last 5 home games scoring regularly; Timbers struggle away with multiple losses and conceding goals
Timbers rely heavily on Kevin Kelsy for goals
Kelsy is Timbers' main goal threat; Sounders must contain him to limit Timbers' scoring chances
No significant injuries reported for either team
Both teams have full squads available, so no impact expected from absences
Key Takeaways
Expect a spirited contest with Seattle Sounders leveraging their home strength and attacking midfield to secure a narrow victory. Portland Timbers will fight hard but ultimately fall short in this Pacific Northwest derby.
- Seattle Sounders are ranked 6th with 24 points from 13 games (W7 D3 L3).
- Portland Timbers are 13th with 14 points from 14 games (W4 D2 L8).
- Seattle Sounders have a +12 goal difference, significantly better than Portland.
- Seattle average 1.85 points per game compared to Portland's 1.00.
- Jesús Ferreira has scored 4 goals in 13 games, showing strong home form.
- Kevin Kelsy is Portland's top scorer with 7 goals in 14 games.
- Seattle have won 3 of their last 5 home games, scoring regularly.
- Portland concede over 2 goals per away game on average.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Seattle Sounders
Away — Portland Timbers
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Kelsy
Assist: Fory
Ragen
Yellow Card
Morris
Rothrock
Yellow Card
Miller
Assist: Bye
Bassett
Assist: Pereira da Costa
Kelsy
Brunell
Kossa-Rienzi
Ferreira
Lassiter
Bassett
Lopez
Chará
Kelsy
Dotson
Assist: Rusnák
Antony
Aravena
Assist: Pereira da Costa
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | +21 | 34 |
| 7 |  St. Louis City | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 26 |
| 8 |  Seattle Sounders | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 24 |
| 9 |  Minnesota United FC | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | -5 | 24 |
| 10 |  Colorado Rapids | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | -1 | 21 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | +3 | 21 |
Match Statistics
Seattle Sounders
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5N. ToloD
- 9J. FerreiraM
- 11A. RusnákM
- 13J. MorrisF
- 14P. RothrockM
- 25J. RagenD
- 26A. ThomasG
- 31H. DotsonM
- 35A. LopezD
- 37S. BrunellM
- 85K. Kossa-RienziD
Substitutes
- 17P. ArriolaF
- 19D. MusovskiF
- 24S. FreiG
- 36Y. TsukanomeF
- 39S. HawkinsD
- 45P. KingstonM
- 90S. GomezM
- 95O. De RosarioF
Portland Timbers
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 4K. MillerD
- 5B. ByeD
- 7A. LassiterM
- 10David Pereira da CostaM
- 11AntonyM
- 17C. BassettM
- 19K. KelsyF
- 20F. SurmanD
- 21D. CharáM
- 27J. ForyD
- 41J. PantemisG
Substitutes
- 6A. BonetigD
- 9F. MoraF
- 15E. MillerD
- 16S. JuraD
- 23Ian SmithD
- 25T. MuseG
- 28A. AravenaF
- 30J. CaicedoM
- 80J. OrtizM
Seattle Sounders
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hassani Dotson | M | 100 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/3 |
| Albert Rusnák | M | 100 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Jesús Ferreira | M | 64 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Paul Rothrock | M | 100 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Snyder Brunell | M | 64 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Jordan Morris | F | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jackson Ragen | D | 100 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew Thomas | G | 100 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kalani Kossa-Rienzi | D | 64 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Antino Lopez | D | 84 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nouhou Tolo(C) | D | 100 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Sebastian Gomez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefan Frei | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yu Tsukanome | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Osaze De Rosario | F | 36 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3/3 |
| Peter Kingston | M | 36 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Paul Arriola | F | 36 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Stuart Hawkins | D | 16 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Daniel Musovski | F | 55 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
Portland Timbers
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamal Miller | D | 100 | 8.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Kelsy | F | 87 | 8.6 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1/1 |
| Cole Bassett | M | 73 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| James Pantemis | G | 100 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Pereira Da Costa | M | 100 | 7.5 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3/4 |
| Brandon Bye | D | 100 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Jímer Fory | D | 100 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Antony Alves | M | 91 | 6.9 | — | — | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4/8 |
| Ariel Lassiter | M | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Diego Chará(C) | M | 87 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Finn Surman | D | 100 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Sawyer Jura | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric Miller | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bonetig | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Trey Muse | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexander Aravena | F | 27 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Ian Smith | D | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felipe Mora | F | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joao Ortíz | M | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Caicedo | M | 27 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |