Seattle Sounders vs Austin
Austin stuns Seattle with late double strike
Two second-half goals from F. Torres and Guilherme Biro secure a narrow win for Austin.
Austin pulled off a surprise 2-1 victory over Seattle Sounders, defying Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a home win. F. Torres opened the scoring in the 66th minute, and Guilherme Biro doubled the lead with a goal in the 87th minute. Seattle's S. Hawkins managed a consolation goal right on the 90th minute, but it was too little, too late for the hosts.
Outcome probability
Seattle Sounders and Austin face off in what promises to be a closely contested MLS regular season match. Both teams have had their ups and downs this season, but Seattle's slightly better form and goal difference give them the edge.
Match factors
Seattle missing key attacker Jordan Morris
Morris is confirmed out with muscle injury, reducing attacking options and assist potential
Seattle's creative midfield trio to drive attack
Rusnák, Roldán, and Rothrock combine strong goal and assist contributions, key to breaking Austin's defense
Uzuni leads Austin's scoring threat
Uzuni's 6 goals this season and strong home form make him Austin's primary scoring outlet
Seattle's recent scoring inconsistency
Seattle has scored in 3 of last 5 home games but conceded in all, indicating defensive vulnerability
Austin's creative midfielders Facundo and Ervin Torres key for assists
Both have multiple assists and good recent form, crucial for creating chances against Seattle
The context
Seattle Sounders currently sit 11th in the league with 24 points from 17 games, while Austin are 14th with 17 points from 19 games. Historically, Seattle have the upper hand in head-to-head clashes, winning half of their last 10 meetings against Austin. The Sounders also boast a positive goal difference (+13) compared to Austin's -15, highlighting their stronger overall performance this season.
Key insights
P. Rothrock
Seattle Sounders
Top scorer for Seattle with 5 goals, showing strong recent away form and playing a key role in attack.
Major League Soccer 26/275 goals in 16 appearances, 1303 mins
A. Rusnák
Seattle Sounders
Creative midfielder with 3 goals and 4 assists, crucial for set-pieces and breaking down Austin's defence.
Major League Soccer 26/273 goals and 4 assists in 16 appearances, 1226 mins
M. Uzuni
Austin
Leading scorer for Austin with 6 goals, strong home form makes him the main threat to Seattle's defence.
Major League Soccer 26/276 goals in 16 appearances, 1407 mins
Analysis
Seattle's attacking threat is led by P. Rothrock, who has netted 5 goals this season and shown good form away from home. Midfielder A. Rusnák adds creativity and goal threat with 3 goals and 4 assists, making him a key figure in breaking down Austin's defence. Austin will rely heavily on M. Uzuni, their top scorer with 6 goals, especially given his strong home form. However, Seattle's recent home games have seen them concede regularly, suggesting Austin could find opportunities to score. The predicted halftime score of 1-0 reflects Seattle's ability to take an early lead, with Austin pushing back in the second half to make it a competitive affair.
Key facts
- 1.Seattle Sounders have won 5 of their last 10 matches against Austin, with 3 draws and 2 losses.
- 2.Seattle currently rank 11th with 24 points from 17 games, ahead of Austin's 14th place with 17 points from 19 games.
- 3.Seattle have a positive goal difference of +13 compared to Austin's -15 this season.
- 4.P. Rothrock is Seattle's top scorer with 5 goals in 16 appearances this season.
- 5.M. Uzuni leads Austin's scoring with 6 goals in 16 appearances.
- 6.A. Rusnák has contributed 3 goals and 4 assists for Seattle this season.
- 7.The predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of Seattle.
Prediction
The forecast is for a narrow 2-1 victory to Seattle Sounders. The home side is expected to take the lead by halftime and hold on despite Austin's efforts to equalise and possibly take the lead themselves. The match is likely to feature moderate discipline, with around four cards expected.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Seattle Sounders
Away — Austin
The verdict
While the prediction leans towards a Seattle win, the low confidence level means this game could easily swing either way. Fans should expect a competitive match with moments of quality from key players on both sides. Ultimately, Seattle's slightly better form and home advantage should see them through to a hard-fought victory.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Gomez
Kossa-Rienzi
Yellow Card
Fodrey
Torres
Assist: Kolmanič
Ragen
Płacheta
Nelson
Kingston
Sánchez
Kolmanič
Biro
Assist: Vázquez
Tolo
Hawkins
Assist: Rusnák
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | +27 | 40 |
| 12 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 |  Seattle Sounders | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 25 |
| 14 |  Austin | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -14 | 21 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -30 | 15 |
Match Statistics
Seattle Sounders
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5N. ToloD
- 11A. RusnákM
- 14P. RothrockM
- 16A. RoldanM
- 19D. MusovskiF
- 20Kim Kee-HeeD
- 25J. RagenD
- 26A. ThomasG
- 45P. KingstonM
- 85K. Kossa-RienziD
- 90S. GomezM
Substitutes
- 4R. SailorD
- 24S. FreiG
- 32X. GnaulatiM
- 35A. LopezD
- 37S. BrunellM
- 39S. HawkinsD
- 42R. JaureguiM
- 84C. GaffneyM
- 95O. De RosarioF
Austin
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 4B. Hines-IkeD
- 6Ilie SánchezM
- 7J. NelsonF
- 9B. VázquezF
- 11F. TorresF
- 12D. LasG
- 15J. BellD
- 19C. FodreyM
- 23Ž. KolmaničD
- 24Jorge AlastueyM
- 77P. PłachetaM
Substitutes
- 1B. StuverG
- 3M. DeslerD
- 14B. ŠabovićM
- 29Guilherme BiroD
- 32M. BurtonM
- 35M. ĐorđevićD
- 38Ervin TorresM
Seattle Sounders
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Ragen | D | 69 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peter Kingston | M | 76 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Albert Rusnák(C) | M | 91 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0/1 |
| Paul Rothrock | M | 91 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Nouhou Tolo | D | 88 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Kalani Kossa-Rienzi | D | 91 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Kim Kee-hee | D | 91 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Roldán | M | 91 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Sebastian Gomez | M | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Musovski | F | 91 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Andrew Thomas | G | 91 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Stefan Frei | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Jauregui | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Sailor | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Xavi Gnaulati | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charlie Gaffney | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antino Lopez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stuart Hawkins | D | 22 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Snyder Brunell | M | 46 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Osaze De Rosario | F | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Austin
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Las | G | 91 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Torres | F | 91 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Ilie Sánchez(C) | M | 79 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Žan Kolmanič | D | 79 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Jorge Alastuey | M | 91 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Brendan Hines-Ike | D | 91 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jonathan Bell | D | 91 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brandon Vázquez | F | 91 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Calvin Fodrey | M | 59 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Jayden Nelson | F | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Przemysław Płacheta | M | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Brad Stuver | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Micah Burton | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Biro | D | 32 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Besard Sabović | M | 12 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Mikkel Desler | D | 20 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ervin Torres | M | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Mateja Đorđević | D | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |