SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart
Stuttgart stroll past Paderborn
Chabot and Führich strike to secure a comfortable away win.
VfB Stuttgart claimed a 2-0 victory at SC Paderborn 07, with J. Chabot opening the scoring in the first half and C. Führich sealing the win late on. Despite Fipster's medium-confidence prediction favouring a Paderborn clean sheet and win, the visitors comfortably defied expectations to take all three points.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with SC Paderborn 07 facing VfB Stuttgart in what promises to be an intriguing clash. Paderborn, newly promoted, will be eager to make a strong statement against a Stuttgart side that finished fourth last season. Both teams have made some summer moves, setting the stage for a competitive encounter.
Key facts
- 1.SC Paderborn 07 have not played any league games this season, marking a fresh start.
- 2.VfB Stuttgart finished 4th last season with 62 points from 34 games.
- 3.Paderborn have strengthened their squad with M. Pieringer and R. Philippe (loan).
- 4.Stuttgart signed D. Pejčinović, L. Sauer, and G. Prömel, while losing José María Andrés Baixauli.
- 5.The predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of Paderborn.
- 6.The forecast fulltime score is 2-0 to SC Paderborn 07.
- 7.Four cards are expected during the match, indicating a moderately physical game.
The context
SC Paderborn 07 enter this fixture without any league games played this season, marking a fresh start for the club. VfB Stuttgart, meanwhile, come off a solid previous campaign, finishing fourth with 62 points from 34 games. The two sides did not compete in the same division last season, making this a cross-division opener with fresh dynamics at play.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — SC Paderborn 07
Away — VfB Stuttgart
Analysis
Paderborn have bolstered their squad with the arrivals of M. Pieringer and R. Philippe on loan, aiming to strengthen their attacking options. Stuttgart have also been active, signing D. Pejčinović, L. Sauer, and adding G. Prömel on a free transfer, while losing José María Andrés Baixauli. Despite Stuttgart's strong previous season, the prediction leans towards a home win, with Paderborn expected to take an early lead and maintain it. The forecast suggests a halftime score of 1-0, progressing to a 2-0 fulltime result, with a moderate number of cards expected.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a 2-0 victory for SC Paderborn 07. The home side is expected to open the scoring by halftime and hold on to their advantage, keeping Stuttgart at bay. This prediction reflects a solid defensive performance combined with effective attacking play from Paderborn.
The verdict
As the season gets underway, SC Paderborn 07 look set to make a positive impression with a confident win over VfB Stuttgart. While Stuttgart's quality is undeniable, the newly promoted side's preparations and squad additions could prove decisive in this opener. Fans can expect a competitive match with Paderborn edging it 2-0.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 19:22 UTC · Fipster Model v1.161
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Chabot
Assist: Stiller
Pieringer
Yellow Card
Marino
Pieringer
Chabot
Demirović
Leweling
Ulrich
Führich
Assist: Stiller
Undav
Scheller
Führich
Hansen
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +17 | 14 |
| 11 |  1. FC Köln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 |  VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 |  FC Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
Match Statistics
SC Paderborn 07
3-5-2Starting XI
- 5S. CastañedaM
- 15N. NollG
- 17L. CurdaM
- 18M. PieringerF
- 21J. ter HorstD
- 22M. HansenD
- 23R. ObermairM
- 25T. SchellerD
- 28L. UlrichM
- 30S. MarinoF
- 40G. VidovićM
Substitutes
- 1M. SchubertG
- 2Ruben MüllerD
- 3Jonah Benedict StickerD
- 6T. BaackM
- 7O. Batista MeierM
- 9R. PhilippeF
- 11S. MichelF
- 20F. GötzeD
- 27S. TiggesF
VfB Stuttgart
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3R. HendriksD
- 4J. VagnomanM
- 6A. StillerM
- 7M. MittelstädtD
- 9E. DemirovićF
- 10C. FührichM
- 16A. KarazorM
- 18J. LewelingM
- 24J. ChabotD
- 26D. UndavM
- 41D. SeimenG
Substitutes
- 1F. BredlowG
- 11B. El KhannoussM
- 17D. PejčinovićF
- 20L. StergiouD
- 21G. PrömelM
- 22L. AssignonD
- 29Finn JeltschD
- 44L. SauerF
- 47Y. SpaltD
SC Paderborn 07
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hansen | D | 85 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| S. Tigges | F | 20 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | — |
| L. Curda | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1/3 |
| G. Vidović | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 4 | — | 3 | 2/2 |
| R. Philippe | F | 20 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Noll | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. ter Horst | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/3 |
| T. Scheller | D | 85 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. Marino | F | 70 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| L. Ulrich | M | 80 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 0/3 |
| F. Götze | D | 5 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| R. Obermair | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3/3 |
| M. Pieringer | F | 70 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| O. Batista Meier | M | 10 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| S. Castañeda | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Jonah Benedict Sticker | D | 5 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Schubert | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Baack | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ruben Müller | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Michel | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
VfB Stuttgart
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Stiller | M | 90 | 8.6 | — | 2 | — | — | 5 | 2/2 |
| J. Chabot | D | 72 | 8.4 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| C. Führich | M | 85 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2/6 |
| M. Mittelstädt | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| R. Hendriks | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Finn Jeltsch | D | 18 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| D. Undav | M | 85 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1/2 |
| D. Seimen | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. El Khannouss | M | 13 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Prömel | M | 5 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Karazor | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| D. Pejčinović | F | 13 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Leweling | M | 77 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/4 |
| J. Vagnoman | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| E. Demirović | F | 77 | 6.4 | — | — | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0/4 |
| L. Sauer | F | 5 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Spalt | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Assignon | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Stergiou | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Bredlow | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?
- Fipster's AI model predicted SC Paderborn 07 to win against VfB Stuttgart.
- What score did Fipster predict for SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?
- Fipster predicted a final score of SC Paderborn 07 2–0 VfB Stuttgart.
- What were the win probabilities for SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?
- Fipster's model gave SC Paderborn 07 a 60% chance of winning, VfB Stuttgart a 20% chance, and a 20% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 60% confidence — a medium-confidence call.