SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen
Freiburg's Suzuki shines in commanding win
A hat-trick from Y. Suzuki powers SC Freiburg to a 4-1 victory over Werder Bremen.
SC Freiburg delivered a dominant performance against Werder Bremen, with Y. Suzuki starring by netting three goals between the 29th and 55th minutes. I. Matanović also contributed before the break, giving Freiburg a comfortable lead. Despite a late consolation from Dariusz Stalmach for Bremen, the home side's superiority was clear. Fipster's prediction of a Freiburg win was spot on, though the margin of victory was even more emphatic than expected.
Outcome probability
The new Bundesliga season kicks off with SC Freiburg facing Werder Bremen in what promises to be an engaging opener. Both teams have refreshed their squads over the summer, setting the stage for a competitive encounter as they look to start the campaign on a positive note.
Key facts
- 1.SC Freiburg finished 7th last season, Werder Bremen 15th.
- 2.Freiburg have a significantly better goal difference than Bremen.
- 3.Freiburg signed M. Backhaus and Y. Engelhardt over the summer.
- 4.Werder Bremen signed free agent A. Schlager and loaned E. Dinkçi.
- 5.M. Backhaus moved from Bremen to Freiburg this summer.
- 6.Predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of Freiburg.
- 7.Fulltime predicted score is 2-1 to Freiburg.
- 8.Expected total cards in the match is four.
The context
SC Freiburg have bolstered their ranks with the arrivals of M. Backhaus and Y. Engelhardt, while parting ways with J. Manzambi. Werder Bremen, meanwhile, have signed free agent A. Schlager and brought in E. Dinkçi on loan, but lost M. Backhaus to Freiburg. These changes could influence the dynamics as both sides aim to establish early momentum.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — SC Freiburg
Away — Werder Bremen
Analysis
Freiburg enter the season opener with a clear edge, reflected in their higher league ranking and superior goal difference from last term. The prediction favours a home win, with a halftime lead of 1-0 and a final score of 2-1. The match is expected to feature moderate discipline, with around four cards likely to be shown. The tactical battle will hinge on Freiburg's ability to leverage their summer signings and maintain control against Bremen's fresh additions.
Prediction
We anticipate SC Freiburg to secure a 2-1 victory over Werder Bremen. The home side should take an early lead by halftime and manage to hold off Bremen's efforts to equalise, ultimately clinching the three points in this season opener.
The verdict
This fixture sets the tone for the season ahead, with Freiburg looking to capitalise on their squad improvements and home advantage. Bremen will need to adapt quickly to their new personnel if they are to challenge effectively. Expect a competitive match with Freiburg edging it in the end.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Suzuki
Assist: Beste
Matanović
Assist: Ginter
Lynen
Beste
Reis
Yellow Card
Suzuki
Suzuki
Assist: Matanović
Njinmah
Füllkrug
Lienhart
Kübler
Matanović
Stalmach
Assist: Grüll
Suzuki
Grüll
Reis
Goto
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 |  Bayern München | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |  FC Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Werder Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 6 |
Match Statistics
SC Freiburg
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1M. BackhausG
- 3P. LienhartD
- 7D. ScherhantM
- 8M. EggesteinM
- 14Y. SuzukiM
- 16Y. EngelhardtM
- 17L. KüblerD
- 19J. BesteM
- 28M. GinterD
- 31I. MatanovićF
- 33J. MakengoD
Substitutes
- 9L. HölerF
- 21F. MüllerG
- 22Cyriaque Kalou IriéF
- 27Berkay YilmazD
- 29P. TreuD
- 30C. GünterD
- 32V. GrifoM
- 37M. RosenfelderD
- 42K. GotoF
Werder Bremen
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1K. HeinG
- 2O. DemanD
- 5A. PieperD
- 10N. FüllkrugF
- 11J. NjinmahF
- 14S. LynenM
- 15L. ReisM
- 17M. GrüllF
- 20Chuky San JoséM
- 32M. FriedlD
- 33Mick SchmetgensD
Substitutes
- 7S. MbangulaF
- 18E. DinkçiF
- 22J. MalatiniD
- 23Dariusz StalmachM
- 24P. ČovićM
- 26C. IttenF
- 29S. MusahF
- 30A. SchlagerG
SC Freiburg
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuito Suzuki | M | 80 | 9.5 | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Igor Matanović | F | 73 | 9.3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3/5 |
| Philipp Lienhart | D | 69 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Lukas Kübler | D | 69 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matthias Ginter | D | 93 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Derry Scherhant | M | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/6 |
| Jan-Niklas Beste | M | 45 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Maximilian Eggestein(C) | M | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Jordy Makengo | D | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yannick Engelhardt | M | 93 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Mio Backhaus | G | 93 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Berkay Yılmaz | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Florian Müller | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Günter | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vincenzo Grifo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cyriaque Irié | F | 48 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 4/8 |
| Lucas Höler | F | 20 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Keisuke Goto | F | 13 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Philipp Treu | D | 24 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maximilian Rosenfelder | D | 24 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Werder Bremen
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Grüll | F | 85 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Justin Njinmah | F | 61 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ludovit Reis | M | 85 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Amos Pieper | D | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Niclas Füllkrug | F | 61 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Senne Lynen | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Chuki | M | 93 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Marco Friedl(C) | D | 93 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Karl Hein | G | 93 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Olivier Deman | D | 93 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Mick Schmetgens | D | 93 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Samuel Mbangula | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexander Schlager | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julián Malatini | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dariusz Stalmach | M | 48 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Patrice Čović | M | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cédric Itten | F | 32 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Eren Dinkçi | F | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Salim Musah | F | 32 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen?
- Fipster's AI model predicted SC Freiburg to win against Werder Bremen.
- What score did Fipster predict for SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen?
- Fipster predicted a final score of SC Freiburg 2–1 Werder Bremen.
- What were the win probabilities for SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen?
- Fipster's model gave SC Freiburg a 94% chance of winning, Werder Bremen a 3% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 94% confidence — a high-confidence call.