SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin
Freiburg keep Union at bay with solid 2-0 win
Khedira's own goal and Suzuki's strike secure the points for the hosts.
SC Freiburg claimed a 2-0 victory over Union Berlin in the Bundesliga, with the match settled after the break. An own goal by R. Khedira at 55' gave Freiburg the lead, and Y. Suzuki doubled the advantage at 67'. Despite V. Grifo missing a penalty late on, Freiburg held firm to secure the win. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the exact scoreline was a bit more modest than expected.
Outcome probability
SC Freiburg and Union Berlin face off in the Bundesliga's ninth round, with Freiburg showing strong form and Union Berlin struggling to find consistency.
Match factors
SC Freiburg's attacking midfield dominance
Freiburg's midfielders Suzuki and Eggestein outperform league averages in goals, providing strong attacking impetus
Matthias Ginter's creative influence
Ginter leads Freiburg defenders in assists (3), well above league average, boosting set-piece threat
Union Berlin's defensive weakness due to Uduokhai absence
Uduokhai's red card suspension removes a key defender, weakening Union's defense against Freiburg's attack
Freiburg's strong home scoring streak
Freiburg has scored in last 4 home games, averaging 3 goals per home match, indicating strong offensive form
Union Berlin's defensive reliance on Rothe
Rothe's high tackle and interception numbers are crucial but may be insufficient against Freiburg's attacking quality
The context
SC Freiburg currently sit third in the league with 16 points from 8 games, boasting a superior goal difference and points-per-game ratio compared to Union Berlin, who are 17th with 6 points from 7 games. Freiburg's attacking midfielders and solid home scoring streak contrast with Union Berlin's defensive challenges, especially with key defender F. Uduokhai suspended.
Key insights
Yuito Suzuki
SC Freiburg
Leads team scoring with 4 goals in 6 games, including 3 at home, providing strong attacking impetus.
Bundesliga 26/274 goals in 6 appearances, 0.67 goals/game
Matthias Ginter
SC Freiburg
Top assister among defenders with 3 assists in 7 games, boosting set-piece threat with high passing accuracy.
Bundesliga 26/273 assists in 7 appearances, 0.43 assists/game
- F
F. Uduokhai
Union Berlin
Suspended due to red card, significantly weakening Union Berlin's defensive line.
Bundesliga 26/27High yellow card rate (0.5 per game) and recent red card
Analysis
Freiburg's midfielders Yuito Suzuki and Maximilian Eggestein have been instrumental in their attacking success, with Suzuki netting 4 goals in 6 appearances and showing strong home form. Matthias Ginter's creativity from defence adds to Freiburg's threat, particularly on set-pieces. Union Berlin's defence, reliant on T. Rothe, faces a tough test without Uduokhai, who is out due to suspension. Freiburg's ability to score consistently at home and their tactical edge suggest a dominant performance.
Key facts
- 1.SC Freiburg are ranked 3rd with 16 points from 8 games (W5 D1 L2).
- 2.Union Berlin are ranked 17th with 6 points from 7 games (W1 D3 L3).
- 3.SC Freiburg have a goal difference of +20, significantly better than Union Berlin.
- 4.Freiburg average 2.00 points per game compared to Union Berlin's 0.86.
- 5.Yuito Suzuki leads Freiburg with 4 goals in 6 appearances, strong home form included.
- 6.Matthias Ginter tops Freiburg's assists with 3 in 7 games, key in set-pieces.
- 7.Union Berlin's F. Uduokhai is suspended, weakening their defence.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a home win for SC Freiburg with a halftime lead of 2-0 and a fulltime score of 4-1. The match is expected to feature moderate discipline with around four cards shown. Freiburg's attacking quality and Union Berlin's defensive vulnerabilities make this a likely scenario.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — SC Freiburg
Away — Union Berlin
No standout top scorers flagged for Union Berlin
The verdict
SC Freiburg's blend of attacking midfield prowess and home scoring form should see them comfortably overcome Union Berlin. Expect a lively match with Freiburg asserting control early and maintaining their advantage to the final whistle.
Prediction generated 1 Nov 2026, 16:22 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Matanović
Yellow Card
Van Den Bosch
Yellow Card
Engelhardt
Yellow Card
Imeri
Skarke
Khedira (OG)
Suzuki
Assist: Scherhant
Burcu
Matanović
Scherhant
Engelhardt
Aebischer
Grifo
Missed Penalty
Treu
Suzuki
Köhn
Jeong Woo-Yeong
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +14 | 18 |
| 15 |  1. FC Köln | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -14 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
Match Statistics
SC Freiburg
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1M. BackhausG
- 3P. LienhartD
- 7D. ScherhantM
- 8M. EggesteinM
- 14Y. SuzukiM
- 16Y. EngelhardtM
- 19J. BesteM
- 28M. GinterD
- 29P. TreuD
- 31I. MatanovićF
- 33J. MakengoD
Substitutes
- 6P. OsterhageM
- 9L. HölerF
- 17L. KüblerD
- 21F. MüllerG
- 22Cyriaque Kalou IriéF
- 30C. GünterD
- 32V. GrifoM
- 37M. RosenfelderD
- 42K. GotoF
Union Berlin
5-3-2Starting XI
- 1F. RønnowG
- 4Z. Van Den BoschD
- 5M. FriedrichD
- 8R. KhediraD
- 9Livan BurcuF
- 13A. SchäferM
- 17D. KöhnD
- 19J. HabererD
- 20M. AebischerM
- 21T. SkarkeF
- 30K. ImeriM
Substitutes
- 7O. BurkeF
- 11Jeong Woo-YeongM
- 14L. QuerfeldD
- 15T. RotheD
- 23A. IlićF
- 28C. TrimmelD
- 29E. Latte LathF
- 31M. RaabG
- 49Linus GutherF
SC Freiburg
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Suzuki | M | 85 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 |
| M. Ginter | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| D. Scherhant | M | 68 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1/5 |
| P. Treu | D | 85 | 7.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| P. Lienhart | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Makengo | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Y. Engelhardt | M | 75 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| J. Beste | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 4 | 3/5 |
| L. Kübler | D | 5 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Eggestein | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| P. Osterhage | M | 15 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Backhaus | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Höler | F | 5 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| V. Grifo | M | 22 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| K. Goto | F | 22 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| I. Matanović | F | 68 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0/2 |
| F. Müller | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cyriaque Kalou Irié | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Rosenfelder | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Günter | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Union Berlin
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Rønnow | G | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Friedrich | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Schäfer | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| T. Rothe | D | 5 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Haberer | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Linus Guther | F | 13 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Ilić | F | 22 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Aebischer | M | 77 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Köhn | D | 85 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Livan Burcu | F | 68 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| K. Imeri | M | 46 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Burke | F | 44 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Z. Van Den Bosch | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Jeong Woo-Yeong | M | 44 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| T. Skarke | F | 46 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Khedira | D | 90 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Trimmel | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Latte Lath | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Raab | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Querfeld | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
- Fipster's AI model predicted SC Freiburg to win against Union Berlin.
- What score did Fipster predict for SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
- Fipster predicted a final score of SC Freiburg 4–1 Union Berlin.
- What were the win probabilities for SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
- Fipster's model gave SC Freiburg a 95% chance of winning, Union Berlin a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.