SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig
Match recap
SC Freiburg beat RB Leipzig 4–1 in their Bundesliga fixture. Beste, Matanović, Ginter, and Scherhant scored for SC Freiburg; Ouédraogo replied for RB Leipzig. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.41 for SC Freiburg versus 1.24 for RB Leipzig. SC Freiburg sit 7th in the Bundesliga table while RB Leipzig are 3rd.
Analysis
As the Bundesliga season nears its climax, SC Freiburg host RB Leipzig in a fixture promising goals and tactical intrigue. Leipzig's recent form and historical dominance set the stage for an exciting encounter.
SC Freiburg sit 7th with 44 points, while RB Leipzig hold 3rd place with 65 points. Leipzig have won 11 of 20 head-to-head meetings, including the last 2-0 away victory, highlighting their psychological advantage.
Leipzig's attacking depth, led by Yan Diomande with 15 goals this season and strong recent form, contrasts with Freiburg's modest home scoring average of 1.06 goals per game. Freiburg's Igor Matanović is in fine form with 5 goals in the last 5 matches, but Leipzig's defense, marshalled by Willi Orbán, is expected to contain him.
Prediction
Expect Leipzig to take an early lead, reflected in the predicted halftime score of 0-1. Freiburg will respond, but Leipzig's consistent scoring and tactical edge should secure a 2-1 away win, with a total of 4 cards likely in a competitive match.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Leipzig's attacking depth vs Freiburg's defense
Leipzig's multiple goal threats like Diomande and Rômulo challenge Freiburg's defense, which concedes 1.7 goals per game at home.
Freiburg's scoring struggles vs Leipzig's solid away form
Freiburg averages 1.06 goals at home, while Leipzig scores 1.56 away with a 60% win rate, favoring Leipzig's attack.
Leipzig's positive scoring streak
Leipzig has scored in last 5 matches, showing strong offensive momentum heading into this fixture.
Recent fixture outcomes favor Leipzig
Leipzig won the last meeting 2-0 away, indicating psychological and tactical edge.
No significant injuries reported
Both teams have full squads available, so no impact from missing key players.
Key Takeaways
With full squads available and Leipzig's momentum, this match should see a hard-fought victory for the visitors. Fans can anticipate a lively game with key contributions from Leipzig's attacking stars and Freiburg's resilient efforts.
- RB Leipzig have won 11 of 20 meetings against SC Freiburg.
- Head-to-head matches average 2.9 goals per game.
- RB Leipzig rank 3rd with 65 points; Freiburg 7th with 44 points.
- Leipzig's Yan Diomande has scored 15 goals this season.
- Freiburg's Igor Matanović has 12 goals, with 5 in last 5 games.
- Leipzig have scored in their last 5 matches.
- Predicted halftime score is 0-1 in favor of Leipzig.
- Modal total cards count is 4 for this match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — SC Freiburg
Away — RB Leipzig
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Beste
Matanović
Assist: Manzambi
Ouédraogo
Assist: Diomande
Ginter
Assist: Makengo
Höfler
Beste
Henrichs
Gruda
Manzambi
Ginter
Seiwald
Harder
Scherhant
Assist: Matanović
Baumgartner
Yellow Card
Diomande
Matanović
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | +86 | 89 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | +36 | 73 |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | +19 | 65 |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | +22 | 62 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +21 | 59 |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -4 | 44 |
Match Statistics
SC Freiburg
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Noah AtuboluG
- 3Philipp LienhartD
- 7Derry Lionel ScherhantM
- 8Maximilian EggesteinM
- 19Jan-Niklas BesteM
- 27Nicolas HöflerM
- 28Matthias Lukas GinterD
- 29Philipp TreuD
- 31Igor MatanovićF
- 33Jordy Makengo BasambunduD
- 44Johan ManzambiM
Substitutes
- 5Anthony JungD
- 9Lucas HölerF
- 17Lukas KüblerD
- 21Florian Lorenz MüllerG
- 22Cyriaque Kalou IriéF
- 26Maximilian Marcus PhilippF
- 30Christian GünterD
- 32Vincenzo GrifoM
- 43Bruno Ifechukwu OgbusD
RB Leipzig
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1Péter GulácsiG
- 4Vilmos Tamás OrbánD
- 10Brajan GrudaF
- 11Conrad Harder Weibel SchandorfF
- 13Nicolas SeiwaldM
- 14Christoph BaumgartnerM
- 20Forzan Assan OuédraogoM
- 23Castello Junior LukebaD
- 35Max FinkgräfeD
- 39Benjamin Paa Kwesi HenrichsD
- 49Yan DiomandeF
Substitutes
- 5El Chadaille BitshiabuD
- 6Ezechiel BanzuziM
- 7Antonio Eromonsele Nordby NusaM
- 9Saint-Cyr Johan BakayokoF
- 17Bote Ridle Nzuzi BakuD
- 24Xaver SchlagerM
- 26Maarten VandevoordtG
- 27Tidiam GomisF
- 40RômuloF
SC Freiburg
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthias Ginter | D | 72 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Igor Matanović | F | 86 | 8.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2/4 |
| Noah Atubolu | G | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Derry Scherhant | M | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4/10 |
| Jan-Niklas Beste | M | 60 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Johan Manzambi | M | 72 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | 3/6 |
| Jordy Makengo | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Nicolas Höfler | M | 60 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maximilian Eggestein(C) | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Philipp Treu | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Philipp Lienhart | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Anthony Jung | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cyriaque Irié | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Florian Müller | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Günter | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lukas Kübler | D | 30 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vincenzo Grifo | M | 30 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Ogbus | D | 18 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Höler | F | 18 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Maximilian Philipp | F | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
RB Leipzig
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assan Ouédraogo | M | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/3 |
| Brajan Gruda | F | 63 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3/3 |
| Yan Diomande | F | 80 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3/5 |
| Castello Lukeba | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 4/4 |
| Nicolas Seiwald | M | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Willi Orbán | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Conrad Harder | F | 73 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Christoph Baumgartner(C) | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Max Finkgräfe | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Péter Gulácsi | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Henrichs | D | 63 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ezechiel Banzuzi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| El Chadaille Bitshiabu | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maarten Vandevoordt | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Xaver Schlager | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Nusa | M | 27 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| Johan Bakayoko | F | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Tidiam Gomis | F | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| Rômulo | F | 17 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Ridle Baku | D | 27 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |