SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec
Freiburg edge Jablonec in five-goal thriller
Grifo and Eggestein power Freiburg past resilient Jablonec with a late scare.
SC Freiburg secured a narrow 3-2 victory over FK Jablonec in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with V. Grifo opening the scoring early and M. Eggestein adding a crucial goal after the break. Despite an own goal by D. Pavlović and a last-gasp strike from G. Kuol, Freiburg held on for the win. Fipster's high-confidence prediction for a home win was spot on, though the exact scoreline proved more dramatic than forecast.
Outcome probability
SC Freiburg and FK Jablonec face off in the group stage of this competition, with Freiburg looking to continue their strong form. Both teams have shown attacking intent, but Freiburg's recent performances suggest they have the edge.
Match factors
SC Freiburg's prolific scoring form
Freiburg averages 3.5 goals per game with consistent scoring streaks, supporting predicted 2-1 win
D. Scherhant's creative peak
Scherhant has 3 assists in last 5 games, driving Freiburg's attack effectively
M. Ginter's set-piece threat
Defender Ginter's 2 goals in 2 games indicate a key aerial advantage against Jablonec
Full squad availability boosts Freiburg
No confirmed injuries for Freiburg ensures strongest lineup and attacking options
Jablonec's reliance on V. Tchanturishvili
Tchanturishvili is Jablonec's main scorer with 1 goal in 6 games, key to their offensive hopes
The context
In this competition, SC Freiburg have been impressive with two wins from two matches, scoring seven goals and conceding just two. FK Jablonec have played six games, winning four and losing two, with nine goals scored and five conceded. Both sides come into this fixture with solid recent knockout round wins, Freiburg beating Motherwell 4-1 and Jablonec edging Rangers 1-0.
Key insights
D. Scherhant
SC Freiburg
Driving Freiburg's attack with 3 assists in last 2 games, a key creative force.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/273 assists in 2 games, 157 mins played
M. Ginter
SC Freiburg
A set-piece specialist with 2 goals in 2 games, providing an aerial threat.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/272 goals in 2 games, 168 mins played
K. Goto
SC Freiburg
Efficient finisher with goals in both home and away matches despite limited minutes.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/272 goals in 2 games, 33 mins total
V. Tchanturishvili
FK Jablonec
Jablonec's primary goal threat with 1 goal in 6 games, crucial for their attack.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/271 goal in 6 games, 210 mins played
Analysis
Freiburg's attacking prowess is highlighted by their average of 3.5 goals per game in this competition, supported by key players like defender M. Ginter, who has scored twice in two games, and midfielder D. Scherhant, who has provided three assists recently. Jablonec rely heavily on V. Tchanturishvili for goals, but their defensive record suggests Freiburg's set-piece threat and creative midfield could prove decisive.
Key facts
- 1.SC Freiburg have won both their matches in this competition, scoring 7 goals and conceding 2.
- 2.FK Jablonec have played 6 matches with 4 wins and 2 losses, scoring 9 and conceding 5.
- 3.Freiburg's M. Ginter has scored 2 goals in 2 games, a notable threat from defence.
- 4.D. Scherhant leads Freiburg with 3 assists in the last 2 games, driving their attack.
- 5.FK Jablonec's main scorer is V. Tchanturishvili with 1 goal in 6 games.
- 6.The predicted halftime score is 1-0, consistent with the final 2-1 result.
- 7.Three cards are expected in the match, indicating a competitive encounter.
Prediction
The prediction sees Freiburg taking a 1-0 lead by halftime, maintaining their advantage to finish 2-1. The home side's ability to score early and manage the game should see them through, despite Jablonec's efforts to respond. Expect a competitive match with three cards likely to be shown.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — SC Freiburg
Away — FK Jablonec
The verdict
All signs point to a Freiburg victory, with their strong home form and attacking options giving them the upper hand. Jablonec will fight hard, but Freiburg's consistency and key player contributions should secure the three points.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Tekijaški
Yellow Card
Grifo
Růsek
Assist: Sláma
Pavlović (OG)
Günter
Höler
Okeke
Yellow Card
Eggestein
Assist: Kübler
Okeke
Alioum
Rosenfelder
Cyriaque Kalou Irié
Osterhage
Yellow Card
Sedláček
Růsek
Hollý
Yellow Card
Polidar
Kübler
Kuol
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 11 |  SC Freiburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |  Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 21 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 22 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 23 |  Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
Match Statistics
SC Freiburg
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1M. BackhausG
- 6P. OsterhageM
- 8M. EggesteinM
- 9L. HölerF
- 14Y. SuzukiM
- 17L. KüblerD
- 22Cyriaque Kalou IriéM
- 28M. GinterD
- 30C. GünterD
- 32V. GrifoM
- 37M. RosenfelderD
Substitutes
- 3P. LienhartD
- 5A. JungD
- 16Y. EngelhardtM
- 20R. YamamotoM
- 21F. MüllerG
- 24J. HuthG
- 29P. TreuD
- 31I. MatanovićF
- 33J. MakengoD
- 40Mateo ZelicF
- 42K. GotoF
FK Jablonec
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1J. HanušG
- 4N. TekijaškiD
- 6N. OkekeM
- 7V. TchanturishviliM
- 9A. RůsekF
- 13R. SedláčekM
- 15D. PavlovićD
- 17S. AlioumM
- 18M. CedidlaD
- 20J. SlámaD
- 21M. PolidarM
Substitutes
- 8F. ZorvanM
- 12D. NykrínD
- 14D. SoučekD
- 19J. ChramostaF
- 24D. HollýM
- 25S. NebylaM
- 31E. MalyD
- 36G. KuolM
- 57F. NovákD
- 99K. MihelakG
SC Freiburg
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincenzo Grifo | M | 84 | 8.6 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1/1 |
| Maximilian Eggestein | M | 84 | 8.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Maximilian Rosenfelder | D | 71 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Yuito Suzuki | M | 84 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Matthias Ginter | D | 84 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Cyriaque Irié | M | 71 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Patrick Osterhage | M | 84 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Lucas Höler | F | 59 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Christian Günter(C) | D | 59 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Mio Backhaus | G | 84 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lukas Kübler | D | 84 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Rihito Yamamoto | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yannick Engelhardt | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Philipp Treu | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Zelic | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Jung | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jannik Huth | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Florian Müller | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordy Makengo | D | 25 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Philipp Lienhart | D | 13 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Igor Matanović | F | 25 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Keisuke Goto | F | 13 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
FK Jablonec
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Cedidla | D | 84 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Antonín Růsek | F | 76 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Vakhtang Chanturishvili | M | 84 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Jan Hanuš | G | 84 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matěj Polidar | M | 84 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nelson Okeke | M | 66 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nemanja Tekijaški(C) | D | 84 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jiří Sláma | D | 84 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Richard Sedláček | M | 76 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Saidou Alioum Moubarak | M | 66 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Dušan Pavlović | D | 84 | 5.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jan Chramosta | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Filip Zorvan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Filip Novák | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Evzen Maly | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Nykrin | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Klemen Mihelak | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Nebyla | M | 18 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Souček | D | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Garang Kuol | M | 18 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dominik Hollý | M | 8 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec?
- Fipster's AI model predicted SC Freiburg to win against FK Jablonec.
- What score did Fipster predict for SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec?
- Fipster predicted a final score of SC Freiburg 2–1 FK Jablonec.
- What were the win probabilities for SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec?
- Fipster's model gave SC Freiburg a 72% chance of winning, FK Jablonec a 14% chance, and a 14% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 72% confidence — a high-confidence call.