SC Braga vs Sporting CP
Sporting CP cruise to 3-1 win at Braga
Two own goals and a late strike seal a comfortable victory for the visitors.
Sporting CP secured a 3-1 victory over SC Braga in the Primeira Liga, with the match shaped by two own goals—one from Rui Silva for Braga just before half-time and another from Bernardo Fontes in the second half. Luis Suárez and R. Zalazar also found the net for Sporting, ensuring a solid win. Fipster's prediction of an away win was on the money, though the actual scoreline was more emphatic than the narrow 1-0 forecast.
Outcome probability
SC Braga and Sporting CP face off in a closely matched regular season encounter. Both teams have shown solid form, but Sporting CP's superior goal difference and league position hint at a slight edge.
Match factors
Luis Suárez's prolific scoring form
Luis Suárez leads Sporting CP with 5 goals in 6 games, scoring 6 in last 5 matches, providing a strong attacking edge
Braga's Pau Victor strong in away matches
Pau Victor has scored 2 goals in last 3 away games, showing ability to perform on the road
Sporting CP's consistent scoring streak
Sporting CP has scored in 5 consecutive matches, indicating strong offensive momentum
Creative midfielders key for assists
Geny Catamo and Demir Tıknaz lead assists for Sporting CP and Braga respectively, crucial for unlocking defenses
Braga's defensive stalwart Vitor Carvalho
Vitor Carvalho provides defensive stability and contributes assists, balancing Braga's attack and defense
The context
Sporting CP currently sit 3rd in the league with 15 points from 7 games, while SC Braga are 7th with 10 points from 5 games. Historically, Sporting CP have the upper hand in their head-to-head record, winning 11 of 20 meetings against Braga's 4 wins and 5 draws.
Key insights
- L
Luis Suárez Charris
Sporting CP
Luis Suárez leads Sporting CP with 5 goals in 6 games, scoring 6 in his last 5 matches, providing a strong attacking edge.
Primeira Liga 26/275 goals in 6 appearances, 1.2 avg goals last 5 games
Pau Victor
SC Braga
Pau Victor has scored 2 goals in his last 3 away matches, showing he can perform on the road.
Primeira Liga 26/273 goals in 5 appearances, 0.6 avg goals per game
Geny Catamo
Sporting CP
Geny Catamo is Sporting CP's top assister with 3 assists in 6 games, crucial for creating chances.
Primeira Liga 26/273 assists in 6 appearances, 0.5 avg assists per game
Demir Tıknaz
SC Braga
Demir Tıknaz leads Braga with 2 assists in 5 games, playing a key creative role.
Primeira Liga 26/272 assists in 5 appearances, 0.4 avg assists per game
Analysis
The match is expected to be a tight affair, with a goalless first half likely as both sides test each other out. Sporting CP's attacking threat is led by Luis Suárez Charris, who boasts 5 goals in 6 appearances and has been in fine form recently. Braga's Pau Victor also poses a threat, especially away from home where he has scored twice in his last three matches. Creative midfielders Geny Catamo and Demir Tıknaz will be key in unlocking defences for their respective teams. Sporting CP's better goal difference (+9 compared to Braga's +2) and consistent scoring streak suggest they have the edge to nick a late winner.
Key facts
- 1.Sporting CP have won 11 of 20 matches against SC Braga, with 5 draws and 4 Braga wins.
- 2.Sporting CP are 3rd in the league with 15 points from 7 games (W4 D3 L0).
- 3.SC Braga are 7th with 10 points from 5 games (W3 D1 L1).
- 4.Sporting CP have a +9 goal difference compared to Braga's +2 this season.
- 5.Luis Suárez Charris is Sporting CP's top scorer with 5 goals in 6 games.
- 6.Pau Victor leads Braga's scoring with 3 goals in 5 games, including 2 away goals recently.
- 7.Geny Catamo has provided 3 assists for Sporting CP, the team's highest this season.
Prediction
We predict a 0-0 scoreline at halftime, reflecting a cautious start. Sporting CP are then expected to break the deadlock in the second half, securing a 1-0 victory. The match may see around four cards, indicating a competitive but controlled contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — SC Braga
Away — Sporting CP
The verdict
This encounter promises a tight battle with Sporting CP's attacking quality likely to make the difference. Expect a tense first half followed by a narrow away win, as the Lions continue their strong league form.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 18:55 UTC · Fipster Model v1.161
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Rui Silva (OG)
Vagiannidis
Andersen
Ioannidis
Huseinbašić
Suárez
Assist: Irankunda
Silva
Fontes (OG)
João Moutinho
Victor
Irankunda
Zalazar
Assist: Catamo
Zalazar
Bajrami
Barcia
Yellow Card
Gonçalves
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
Match Statistics
SC Braga
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 2Víctor GómezM
- 6Vitor CarvalhoD
- 8João MoutinhoM
- 10Pau VictorF
- 11Gabriel SilvaM
- 21Ricardo HortaM
- 22Sergio BarciaD
- 23D. HuseinbašićM
- 29J. GorbyM
- 31Bernardo FontesG
- 44A. BajramiD
Substitutes
- 7Diogo TravassosD
- 9Fran NavarroF
- 14G. LagerbielkeD
- 16Tomás MarquésM
- 17J. MiloševićF
- 19J. WindF
- 20M. DorgelesM
- 26B. Arrey-MbiD
- 34E. TıknazM
- 50Diego RodriguesM
- 77Gabri MartínezF
- 78João CarvalhoG
Sporting CP
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1Rui SilvaG
- 4S. AndersenM
- 5Sergi AltimiraM
- 7F. IoannidisF
- 10Geny CatamoF
- 13G. VagiannidisD
- 19N. IrankundaF
- 22Iván FresnedaD
- 25Gonçalo InácioD
- 72Eduardo QuaresmaD
- 77I. DoumbiaM
Substitutes
- 8João SimõesM
- 9Rafael Ferreira NelF
- 17R. ZalazarM
- 20M. AraújoM
- 21Pedro LimaM
- 28J. DerryF
- 30KaiqueG
- 31Luis GuilhermeF
- 55Ibrahima BaD
- 58Flávio GonçalvesF
- 73Eduardo FelicíssimoM
- 97L. SuárezF
SC Braga
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitor Carvalho | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Wind | F | 16 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| João Moutinho | M | 74 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Pau Victor | F | 74 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Ricardo Horta | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Fran Navarro | F | 6 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| D. Huseinbašić | M | 66 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| Gabri Martínez | F | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| J. Gorby | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| A. Bajrami | D | 84 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomás Marqués | M | 16 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Sergio Barcia | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Dorgeles | M | 24 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Víctor Gómez | M | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Gabriel Silva | M | 67 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/5 |
| Bernardo Fontes | G | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Carvalho | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Milošević | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diogo Travassos | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Tıknaz | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Rodrigues | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Arrey-Mbi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Lagerbielke | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sporting CP
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Suárez | F | 31 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| R. Zalazar | M | 26 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Eduardo Quaresma | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| N. Irankunda | F | 79 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 2/5 |
| G. Vagiannidis | D | 58 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Iván Fresneda | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Gonçalo Inácio | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergi Altimira | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| F. Ioannidis | F | 59 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Geny Catamo | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | 4/9 |
| M. Araújo | M | 32 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Flávio Gonçalves | F | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Doumbia | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
| Rui Silva | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Simões | M | 6 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Andersen | M | 58 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Lima | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kaique | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Ferreira Nel | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Guilherme | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Derry | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibrahima Ba | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Felicíssimo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win SC Braga vs Sporting CP?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Sporting CP to win against SC Braga.
- What score did Fipster predict for SC Braga vs Sporting CP?
- Fipster predicted a final score of SC Braga 0–1 Sporting CP.
- What were the win probabilities for SC Braga vs Sporting CP?
- Fipster's model gave SC Braga a 22% chance of winning, Sporting CP a 56% chance, and a 22% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 56% confidence — a medium-confidence call.