SC Braga vs GIL Vicente
Gil Vicente snatches win at Braga
A late own goal seals a narrow victory for the visitors.
SC Braga took the lead through Pau Victor's first-half strike, but Gil Vicente turned the game around after the break with Walace's equaliser and an own goal by Diogo Travassos. The 2-1 result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a Braga home win, delivering a surprise upset in the Primeira Liga clash.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with SC Braga facing GIL Vicente in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both teams have refreshed their squads over the summer, setting the stage for an intriguing battle as they look to start their campaigns on a positive note.
Key facts
- 1.SC Braga have strengthened their squad with three new signings ahead of the season.
- 2.GIL Vicente have signed free agent Ricardo Esgaio but lost three players over the summer.
- 3.SC Braga finished last season ranked 4th in the league, ahead of GIL Vicente who were 6th.
- 4.SC Braga have a significantly better goal difference than GIL Vicente from last season.
- 5.The predicted scoreline is 1-0 in favour of SC Braga, with the goal expected in the first half.
- 6.Around four cards are expected in this competitive season opener.
The context
SC Braga have bolstered their ranks with the arrivals of Diogo Travassos, Bernardo Fontes, and Gabriel Silva, while parting ways with R. Zalazar. GIL Vicente, meanwhile, have signed free agent Ricardo Esgaio but have seen the departures of Luís Esteves, Pablo, and Andrew. These changes will play a key role in how both sides approach this opening fixture.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — SC Braga
Away — GIL Vicente
Analysis
Looking at the teams' relative strengths, SC Braga hold a clear edge with a higher league ranking and a significantly better goal difference from last season. Their summer signings add depth and quality, which should help them control the game. GIL Vicente will need to be disciplined and organised to keep the match tight, but Braga's ability to break the deadlock early could prove decisive.
Prediction
The prediction is a narrow 1-0 victory for SC Braga, with the goal likely coming in the first half and the game remaining tight thereafter. The forecast also anticipates a moderately physical match, with around four cards expected, reflecting the competitive nature of a season opener where both sides are eager to make a statement.
The verdict
In summary, SC Braga look well placed to start their season with a win, leveraging their summer reinforcements and stronger overall squad. GIL Vicente will provide resistance, but Braga's quality should see them through a closely fought encounter.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Kaba
Yellow Card
Victor
Goal confirmed
Yellow Card
Gorby
Yellow Card
Wind
Kaba
Walace
Assist: Murilo
Elimbi Gilbert
Yellow Card
Pinto Martins
Ferreira Prioste
João Moutinho
Travassos (OG)
Travassos
Gorby
Carvalho
Murilo
Gómez
Yellow Card
Zé Carlos
Yellow Card
Lausen
Ricardo Horta
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +21 | 30 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Moreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 9 |  Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  SC Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicao | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
Match Statistics
SC Braga
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 6Vitor CarvalhoD
- 7Diogo TravassosM
- 8João MoutinhoM
- 10Pau VictorM
- 14G. LagerbielkeD
- 19J. WindF
- 21Ricardo HortaM
- 29J. GorbyM
- 31Bernardo FontesG
- 44A. BajramiD
- 50Diego RodriguesM
Substitutes
- 2Víctor GómezD
- 9Fran NavarroF
- 11Gabriel SilvaF
- 12Tiago SáG
- 20M. DorgelesM
- 22Sergio BarciaD
- 23D. HuseinbašićM
- 26B. Arrey-MbiD
- 34E. TıknazM
- 37A. BarišićD
- 77Gabri MartínezF
- 78João CarvalhoG
GIL Vicente
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4M. Elimbi GilbertD
- 10Santi GarcíaM
- 12A. LausenM
- 20Gil Pinto MartinsM
- 30LucãoG
- 39Jonathan BuatuD
- 45David MoreiraD
- 47Ricardo EsgaioD
- 77MuriloM
- 86Diogo Ferreira PriosteM
- 99M. KabaF
Substitutes
- 1A. PicornellG
- 2José SilvaD
- 3EspigaresD
- 6Zé CarlosM
- 7T. TouréF
- 9WalaceF
- 11Joelson FernandesF
- 16Gui BelezaM
- 27A. MoreiraF
- 32M. FernándezM
- 82Gonçalo Maia PereiraM
- 94SamuelG
SC Braga
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Victor | M | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0/3 |
| Vitor Carvalho | D | 77 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| G. Lagerbielke | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ricardo Horta | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 4 | — |
| E. Tıknaz | M | 24 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Bajrami | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Moutinho | M | 66 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Diego Rodrigues | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| J. Gorby | M | 77 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Gabriel Silva | F | 13 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Bernardo Fontes | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Víctor Gómez | D | 44 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
| D. Huseinbašić | M | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| J. Wind | F | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Fran Navarro | F | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diogo Travassos | M | 77 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Dorgeles | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Sá | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Arrey-Mbi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Barcia | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabri Martínez | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Barišić | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Carvalho | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
GIL Vicente
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walace | F | 44 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ricardo Esgaio | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1/1 |
| Lucão | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Murilo | M | 82 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Jonathan Buatu | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Moreira | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| T. Touré | F | 26 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Joelson Fernandes | F | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Diogo Ferreira Prioste | M | 64 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gil Pinto Martins | M | 64 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Santi García | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Elimbi Gilbert | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Lausen | M | 92 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Zé Carlos | M | 26 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Kaba | F | 46 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Fernández | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Picornell | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Espigares | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Moreira | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Silva | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gui Beleza | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Maia Pereira | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win SC Braga vs GIL Vicente?
- Fipster's AI model predicted SC Braga to win against GIL Vicente.
- What score did Fipster predict for SC Braga vs GIL Vicente?
- Fipster predicted a final score of SC Braga 1–0 GIL Vicente.
- What were the win probabilities for SC Braga vs GIL Vicente?
- Fipster's model gave SC Braga a 54% chance of winning, GIL Vicente a 23% chance, and a 23% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 54% confidence — a medium-confidence call.