SC Braga vs Famalicao
SC Braga strolls to a comfortable win
A commanding 3-0 victory at home leaves Fipster's confident prediction in tatters.
SC Braga put on a clinical display to secure a 3-0 win over Famalicao in the Primeira Liga. Ricardo Horta opened the scoring shortly after the break, followed by an own goal from Víctor Rofino and a late finish from Pau Victor to seal the deal. This result was a clear upset against Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an away win, proving that Braga had other ideas on their home turf.
Outcome probability
As the regular season reaches its 10th round, SC Braga face off against Famalicao in a fixture that promises a surprising twist. Despite Braga's mid-table position, the prediction leans heavily towards an away win for Famalicao, who have shown resilience and scoring form recently.
Match factors
Pau Victor's scoring form leads Braga attack
Pau Victor has 4 goals in 8 games, well above league average for attackers, driving Braga's offense
Braga's midfield creativity via Demir Tıknaz
Tıknaz's 2 assists and high passing accuracy provide Braga with creative edge to supply forwards
Famalicao's scoring streak contrasts Braga's defensive struggles
Famalicao has scored in last 5 matches, while Braga concedes regularly, favoring away win
João Moutinho's midfield control crucial for Braga
Moutinho's passing and defensive stats suggest he will try to control tempo and disrupt Famalicao
The context
SC Braga currently sit 9th in the league with 11 points from 8 games, while Famalicao are 14th with 7 points. Historically, Braga have had the upper hand in their 14 meetings, but recent form and tactical setups suggest a shift in momentum for this encounter.
Key insights
Pau Victor
SC Braga
Pau Victor’s 4 goals in 8 games make him Braga’s main attacking threat, but it might not be enough against Famalicao’s defence.
Primeira Liga 26/274 goals in 8 appearances, 0.5 goals/game
Demir Tıknaz
SC Braga
Demir Tıknaz’s creativity with 2 assists and good passing accuracy is crucial for Braga’s attacking chances.
Primeira Liga 26/272 assists in 7 appearances, 0.29 assists/game
- J
João Moutinho
SC Braga
João Moutinho’s midfield control and defensive work will be vital to try and disrupt Famalicao’s rhythm.
Primeira Liga 26/27High passing accuracy (91%) and 65.5 passes/game
Analysis
The prediction strongly favours Famalicao to win 3-0, with a 2-0 lead at halftime. Aggregate probabilities show a 93% chance of an away win, with the 0-3 fulltime scoreline being the most likely outcome. Braga's attack, led by Pau Victor with 4 goals, faces a tough challenge against Famalicao's defence. Meanwhile, Famalicao's recent scoring streak contrasts with Braga's defensive vulnerabilities, tipping the scales in favour of the visitors.
Key facts
- 1.Famalicao have a 93% probability of winning this match according to aggregate data.
- 2.The most probable fulltime scoreline is 0-3 in favour of Famalicao.
- 3.SC Braga are 9th in the league with 11 points from 8 games.
- 4.Famalicao are 14th with 7 points from 8 games.
- 5.Pau Victor leads Braga's scoring with 4 goals in 8 appearances.
- 6.Demir Tıknaz is Braga's top assister with 2 assists in 7 games.
- 7.João Moutinho is key to Braga's midfield control with high passing accuracy.
Prediction
Expect Famalicao to take control early, establishing a 2-0 lead by halftime and extending it to 3-0 by fulltime. Braga's attempts to disrupt the visitors' rhythm, led by João Moutinho in midfield, may not be enough to prevent a comprehensive away victory.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — SC Braga
Away — Famalicao
No standout top scorers flagged for Famalicao
The verdict
This match looks set to be a tough night for Braga fans as Famalicao continue their impressive run. With key players in form and tactical advantages aligning, the away side should comfortably secure all three points.
Prediction generated 25 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Sorriso
Yellow Card
De Amorim
Yellow Card
Carvalho
Yellow Card
Realpe
Carvalho
Ricardo Horta
Assist: Barišić
Gabri Martínez
Yellow Card
Sorriso
Garcia
Rofino (OG)
Pinheiro
Red Card
Pinheiro
Yellow Card
Gabri Martínez
Ricardo Horta
Beney
Pedro Santos
Aranda
Yellow Card
Fran Navarro
Yellow Card
Fran Navarro
Barcia
Yellow Card
Victor
Assist: Gómez
Dorgeles
Gorby
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | +22 | 33 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 |  Famalicao | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Alverca | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 12 |
Match Statistics
SC Braga
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2Víctor GómezD
- 6Vitor CarvalhoM
- 7Diogo TravassosD
- 8João MoutinhoM
- 9Fran NavarroF
- 20M. DorgelesM
- 21Ricardo HortaM
- 22Sergio BarciaD
- 31Bernardo FontesG
- 37A. BarišićD
- 77Gabri MartínezM
Substitutes
- 10Pau VictorF
- 12Tiago SáG
- 14G. LagerbielkeD
- 17J. MiloševićF
- 19J. WindF
- 23D. HuseinbašićM
- 29J. GorbyM
- 34E. TıknazM
- 44A. BajramiD
- 50Diego RodriguesM
Famalicao
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2Gustavo GarciaD
- 3L. RealpeD
- 6T. van de LooiM
- 7SorrisoM
- 10Pedro SantosM
- 14Mathias De AmorimM
- 15Víctor RofinoD
- 17Rodrigo PinheiroD
- 18R. BeneyM
- 25L. CarevićG
- 70G. KoutsiasF
Substitutes
- 1I. ZlobinG
- 4F. van BreemenD
- 8Marcos PeñaM
- 9U. AbubakarF
- 11Óscar ArandaF
- 19Paulo MoreiraM
- 23Gil DiasF
- 24Mathis JangealM
- 28Pedro FranciscoD
- 30V. SerafimovićD
- 33P. SalasF
SC Braga
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Barišić | D | 90 | 8.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Ricardo Horta | M | 75 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Pau Victor | F | 6 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Víctor Gómez | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| J. Gorby | M | 44 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| João Moutinho | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| Diogo Travassos | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Vitor Carvalho | M | 46 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Sergio Barcia | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Diego Rodrigues | M | 15 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Bernardo Fontes | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Huseinbašić | M | 1 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Dorgeles | M | 89 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Fran Navarro | F | 84 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gabri Martínez | M | 75 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| E. Tıknaz | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bajrami | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Lagerbielke | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Sá | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Wind | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Milošević | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Famalicao
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. van Breemen | D | 44 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Óscar Aranda | F | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Pedro Santos | M | 76 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| T. van de Looi | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Gil Dias | F | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Realpe | D | 46 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| G. Koutsias | F | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Pedro Francisco | D | 28 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| R. Beney | M | 76 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Garcia | D | 62 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Mathias De Amorim | M | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/6 |
| Sorriso | M | 62 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| L. Carević | G | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Víctor Rofino | D | 90 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Pinheiro | D | 70 | 5.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| V. Serafimović | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| U. Abubakar | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Peña | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Salas | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Moreira | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathis Jangeal | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Zlobin | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win SC Braga vs Famalicao?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Famalicao to win against SC Braga.
- What score did Fipster predict for SC Braga vs Famalicao?
- Fipster predicted a final score of SC Braga 0–3 Famalicao.
- What were the win probabilities for SC Braga vs Famalicao?
- Fipster's model gave SC Braga a 2% chance of winning, Famalicao a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.