Sassuolo vs Fiorentina
Fiorentina fight back for four-goal win
A. Laurienté's brace wasn't enough as Fiorentina stormed to a 4-2 victory at Sassuolo.
Sassuolo looked set for a home win after A. Laurienté opened the scoring and added a second goal, but Fiorentina turned the game on its head with four goals including a stoppage-time strike from Valde. Mateo Pellegrino, A. Njie, and Franco Mastantuono also found the net to secure the comeback. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a Sassuolo win, proving the visitors' resilience in Serie A.
Outcome probability
Sassuolo and Fiorentina, also known as La Viola, face off in a Serie A regular season match that promises goals and drama. Both sides have struggled for consistency this season, making this a crucial fixture as they look to climb the league table.
Match factors
Sassuolo's Midfield Scoring Threat
Vasilije Adžić leads Sassuolo's scoring from midfield with 3 goals in 7 games, providing a key attacking outlet.
Darryl Bakola's Dual Role
Bakola excels both defensively and creatively with 2 assists and 3.2 tackles per game, above league averages for midfielders.
Fiorentina's Consistent Scoring Despite Struggles
Fiorentina has scored in their last 5 matches but concedes frequently, indicating attacking potential but defensive vulnerability.
Fiorentina Missing Key Attacker Sottil
Sottil's confirmed absence weakens Fiorentina's attacking options, reducing their goal threat potential.
Sassuolo's Defender Cas Odenthal Adds Goal Threat
Odenthal's 2 goals in 4 appearances from defense provide Sassuolo with additional scoring avenues, unusual for his position.
The context
The head-to-head record between these two is finely balanced, with Sassuolo winning 7 times and Fiorentina 8, alongside 5 draws. Their encounters tend to be high scoring, averaging 3.3 goals per match, which sets the stage for an open and entertaining game. Sassuolo currently sit 15th with 8 points from 9 games, while Fiorentina are lower down in 19th with 4 points from 8 games.
Key insights

Vasilije Adžić
Sassuolo
Adžić leads Sassuolo's scoring from midfield with 3 goals in 7 games, providing a key attacking outlet.
Serie A 26/273 goals in 7 appearances

Darryl Bakola
Sassuolo
Bakola excels both defensively and creatively with 2 assists and 3.2 tackles per game, above league averages for midfielders.
Serie A 26/272 assists and 3.2 tackles per game
- S
Sottil
Fiorentina
Sottil's confirmed absence weakens Fiorentina's attacking options, reducing their goal threat potential.
Analysis
Sassuolo's midfield spearheaded by Vasilije Adžić, who has netted 3 goals in 7 appearances, provides a significant attacking threat. Darryl Bakola's dual role as a creative and defensive midfielder, with 2 assists and an impressive 3.2 tackles per game, adds balance to their play. Fiorentina, despite their struggles, have found the net in their last five matches but remain vulnerable at the back. The absence of key attacker Sottil weakens their offensive options, making it harder to keep pace with Sassuolo's attacking prowess.
Key facts
- 1.Sassuolo and Fiorentina have a nearly even head-to-head record: 7 wins for Sassuolo, 8 for Fiorentina, and 5 draws.
- 2.Their matches average 3.3 goals, indicating a tendency for open, attacking games.
- 3.Sassuolo are 15th in the league with 8 points from 9 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses).
- 4.Fiorentina sit 19th with 4 points from 8 games (1 win, 1 draw, 6 losses).
- 5.Vasilije Adžić is Sassuolo's top scorer with 3 goals in 7 appearances.
- 6.Darryl Bakola contributes both offensively and defensively with 2 assists and 3.2 tackles per game.
- 7.Fiorentina have scored in their last 5 matches but concede frequently.
- 8.Fiorentina's key attacker Sottil is confirmed out, weakening their attack.
Prediction
The forecast suggests a tightly contested first half ending 1-1, reflecting the competitive nature of the fixture. However, Sassuolo are expected to pull ahead in the second half, clinching a 3-2 victory. The predicted total of four cards indicates a match with some robust challenges but nothing out of the ordinary for a Serie A encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Sassuolo

Away — Fiorentina
No standout top scorers flagged for Fiorentina
The verdict
Expect an entertaining match with both teams pushing for goals. Sassuolo's slightly better form and key player contributions should see them edge out Fiorentina in a 3-2 thriller, continuing their quest to improve their league standing.
Prediction generated 29 Oct 2026, 21:48 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Laurienté
Assist: Esposito
Sulemana
Yellow Card
Drăgușin
Yellow Card
Njie
Yellow Card
Pellegrino
Assist: Njie
Sulemana
Njie
Assist: Brescianini
Adžić
Njie
Fagioli
Laurienté
Assist: Matić
Doig
Walukiewicz
Brescianini
Pellegrino
Mastantuono
Assist: Pote
Esposito
Mastantuono
Gnonto
Yellow Card
Valde
Assist: Ndour
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +16 | 28 | |
| 14 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -10 | 9 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 8 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 8 | |
| 17 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -7 | 7 |
Match Statistics
Sassuolo
4-3-3Starting XI
- 3J. DoigD
- 5Fali CandéD
- 6S. WalukiewiczD
- 10D. BerardiF
- 17Vasilije AdžićM
- 18N. MatićM
- 21J. IdzesD
- 45A. LaurientéF
- 55I. SulemanaM
- 80S. TuratiG
- 94S. EspositoF
Substitutes
- 8A. GhionM
- 9K. BowieF
- 12G. SatalinoG
- 14G. KullaF
- 15D. Ćaleta-CarD
- 20I. Van der BremptD
- 25B. DomínguezF
- 26C. OdenthalD
- 33Rafael ObradorD
- 35L. LipaniM
- 46S. CinquegranoM
- 49A. MurićG
- 50D. BakolaM
- 70E. PieragnoloD
- 77N. PieriniF
Fiorentina
4-3-3Starting XI
- 3R. DrăgușinD
- 4M. BrescianiniM
- 17João MárioD
- 20Álex JiménezD
- 25A. NjieF
- 27C. NdourM
- 30Franco MastantuonoF
- 32Mateo PellegrinoF
- 33VieryD
- 43David de GeaG
- 44N. FagioliM
Substitutes
- 2DodôD
- 19L. LezzeriniG
- 21ValdeD
- 23BetoF
- 28PoteM
- 29W. GnontoF
- 42C. Inao OulaïM
- 53O. ChristensenG
- 70F. CrociF
- 75D. BeldentiD
Sassuolo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Laurienté | F | 90 | 9.2 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 6/9 |
| N. Matić | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 0/2 |
| S. Esposito | F | 89 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1/4 |
| D. Bakola | M | 44 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| K. Bowie | F | 31 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| G. Kulla | F | 1 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Berardi | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Vasilije Adžić | M | 59 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Fali Candé | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| S. Walukiewicz | D | 77 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Idzes | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Turati | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Doig | D | 77 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Cinquegrano | M | 13 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Obrador | D | 13 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| I. Sulemana | M | 46 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Ćaleta-Car | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Murić | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Domínguez | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Lipani | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Pieragnolo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Van der Brempt | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Odenthal | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ghion | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Pierini | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Satalino | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Fiorentina
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Njie | F | 63 | 8.4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/4 |
| Franco Mastantuono | F | 89 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3/6 |
| Mateo Pellegrino | F | 77 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Valde | D | 1 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Viery | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Álex Jiménez | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| João Mário | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Beto | F | 13 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| M. Brescianini | M | 77 | 6.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| W. Gnonto | F | 27 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Ndour | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| N. Fagioli | M | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| R. Drăgușin | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David de Gea | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pote | M | 13 | 6.1 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| C. Inao Oulaï | M | 27 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| F. Croci | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Beldenti | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Christensen | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Lezzerini | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dodô | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Sassuolo to win against Fiorentina.
- What score did Fipster predict for Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Sassuolo 3–2 Fiorentina.
- What were the win probabilities for Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
- Fipster's model gave Sassuolo a 71% chance of winning, Fiorentina a 14% chance, and a 15% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 71% confidence — a high-confidence call.




