Sassuolo vs Fiorentina

Serie AMatchweek 10
Ref: Matteo MarcenaroMAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia · 23,717 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinhighMiss
Full-time storyUpset

Fiorentina fight back for four-goal win

A. Laurienté's brace wasn't enough as Fiorentina stormed to a 4-2 victory at Sassuolo.

Sassuolo looked set for a home win after A. Laurienté opened the scoring and added a second goal, but Fiorentina turned the game on its head with four goals including a stoppage-time strike from Valde. Mateo Pellegrino, A. Njie, and Franco Mastantuono also found the net to secure the comeback. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a Sassuolo win, proving the visitors' resilience in Serie A.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Overconfident✗ Miss
Fipster's Pick✗
3–2
HT 1–1
Final Result
2–4
HT 1–1
41%Poor
F
✗Outcome✗Exact score✓Both scored✓Goals✓Halftime
Fipster's self review2 Nov 2026

Outcome probability

Sassuolo 71%Draw 15%Fiorentina 14%

Sassuolo and Fiorentina, also known as La Viola, face off in a Serie A regular season match that promises goals and drama. Both sides have struggled for consistency this season, making this a crucial fixture as they look to climb the league table.

Match factors

Tactical Advantagehigh

Sassuolo's Midfield Scoring Threat

Vasilije Adžić leads Sassuolo's scoring from midfield with 3 goals in 7 games, providing a key attacking outlet.

Statistical Edgehigh

Darryl Bakola's Dual Role

Bakola excels both defensively and creatively with 2 assists and 3.2 tackles per game, above league averages for midfielders.

Form Momentummedium

Fiorentina's Consistent Scoring Despite Struggles

Fiorentina has scored in their last 5 matches but concedes frequently, indicating attacking potential but defensive vulnerability.

Injury Impacthigh

Fiorentina Missing Key Attacker Sottil

Sottil's confirmed absence weakens Fiorentina's attacking options, reducing their goal threat potential.

Tactical Advantagemedium

Sassuolo's Defender Cas Odenthal Adds Goal Threat

Odenthal's 2 goals in 4 appearances from defense provide Sassuolo with additional scoring avenues, unusual for his position.

The context

The head-to-head record between these two is finely balanced, with Sassuolo winning 7 times and Fiorentina 8, alongside 5 draws. Their encounters tend to be high scoring, averaging 3.3 goals per match, which sets the stage for an open and entertaining game. Sassuolo currently sit 15th with 8 points from 9 games, while Fiorentina are lower down in 19th with 4 points from 8 games.

Analysis

Sassuolo's midfield spearheaded by Vasilije Adžić, who has netted 3 goals in 7 appearances, provides a significant attacking threat. Darryl Bakola's dual role as a creative and defensive midfielder, with 2 assists and an impressive 3.2 tackles per game, adds balance to their play. Fiorentina, despite their struggles, have found the net in their last five matches but remain vulnerable at the back. The absence of key attacker Sottil weakens their offensive options, making it harder to keep pace with Sassuolo's attacking prowess.

Key facts

  1. 1.Sassuolo and Fiorentina have a nearly even head-to-head record: 7 wins for Sassuolo, 8 for Fiorentina, and 5 draws.
  2. 2.Their matches average 3.3 goals, indicating a tendency for open, attacking games.
  3. 3.Sassuolo are 15th in the league with 8 points from 9 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses).
  4. 4.Fiorentina sit 19th with 4 points from 8 games (1 win, 1 draw, 6 losses).
  5. 5.Vasilije Adžić is Sassuolo's top scorer with 3 goals in 7 appearances.
  6. 6.Darryl Bakola contributes both offensively and defensively with 2 assists and 3.2 tackles per game.
  7. 7.Fiorentina have scored in their last 5 matches but concede frequently.
  8. 8.Fiorentina's key attacker Sottil is confirmed out, weakening their attack.

Prediction

The forecast suggests a tightly contested first half ending 1-1, reflecting the competitive nature of the fixture. However, Sassuolo are expected to pull ahead in the second half, clinching a 3-2 victory. The predicted total of four cards indicates a match with some robust challenges but nothing out of the ordinary for a Serie A encounter.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — Sassuolo

Vasilije Adžić

Vasilije Adžić

Midfielder

Sassuolo

Total Goals
3
League avg: 0.47
7 played
5 starts
367 mins
~52 mins/game
D. Berardi

D. Berardi

Attacker

Sassuolo

Total Goals
2
League avg: 0.47
8 played
6 starts
530 mins
~66 mins/game
Sebastiano Esposito

Sebastiano Esposito

Attacker

Sassuolo

Total Goals
2
League avg: 0.47
6 played
5 starts
340 mins
~57 mins/game

Away — Fiorentina

No standout top scorers flagged for Fiorentina

The verdict

Expect an entertaining match with both teams pushing for goals. Sassuolo's slightly better form and key player contributions should see them edge out Fiorentina in a 3-2 thriller, continuing their quest to improve their league standing.

Prediction generated 29 Oct 2026, 21:48 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166

Prediction Q&A

Who did Fipster predict to win Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
Fipster's AI model predicted Sassuolo to win against Fiorentina.
What score did Fipster predict for Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
Fipster predicted a final score of Sassuolo 3–2 Fiorentina.
What were the win probabilities for Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
Fipster's model gave Sassuolo a 71% chance of winning, Fiorentina a 14% chance, and a 15% chance of a draw.
How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigned this prediction 71% confidence — a high-confidence call.