Sassuolo vs AC Milan
Milan and Sassuolo share spoils in stalemate
Rabiot and Odenthal trade blows in a tight Serie A draw.
AC Milan and Sassuolo played out a 1-1 draw in Serie A, with Rabiot putting Milan ahead after the break only for Odenthal to level for Sassuolo shortly after. The match defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a Sassuolo win, instead delivering a balanced contest where neither side could claim all three points.
Outcome probability
Sassuolo and AC Milan face off in what promises to be an entertaining Serie A fixture. Both teams have shown attacking intent this season, setting the stage for a match packed with goals and drama.
Match factors
Sassuolo's Midfield Scoring Threat
Vasilije Adžić leads Sassuolo with 3 goals in 5 games, providing a strong midfield scoring outlet
Fedde Leysen's Creative Contribution
Leysen's 1 assist and 90% passing accuracy make him a key creative outlet from defense
AC Milan's Consistent Scoring Run
AC Milan has scored in all last 5 matches, showing strong attacking form despite no top scorers listed
Defensive Solidity of Pavlović
Pavlović's high duel win rate (72.5%) and tackling make him a key defender to watch
Nemanja Matić's Midfield Control
Matić combines defensive solidity with playmaking, with 10 tackles and 1 assist in 5 games
The context
AC Milan currently sit 8th in the league with 8 points from 4 games, while Sassuolo are close behind in 10th with 7 points from 5 games. Historically, AC Milan have the upper hand with 11 wins to Sassuolo's 4 in 20 meetings, but recent form and home advantage could level the playing field.
Key insights
Vasilije Adžić
Sassuolo
Leads Sassuolo with 3 goals in 5 games, providing a strong midfield scoring outlet.
Serie A 26/273 goals in 5 games, 0.6 avg per game
Fedde Leysen
Sassuolo
Top assister with 1 assist and 90% passing accuracy, key in build-up play.
Serie A 26/271 assist in 5 games, 0.2 avg per game, 90% passing accuracy
- S
Strahinja Pavlović
AC Milan
Key defensive figure with 72.5% duel win rate and 12 tackles in 4 games.
Serie A 26/2772.5% duel win rate, 12 tackles in 4 games
Nemanja Matić
Sassuolo
Combines defensive solidity with playmaking, with 10 tackles and 1 assist in 5 games.
Serie A 26/2710 tackles, 1 assist in 5 games
Analysis
The head-to-head average of 3.2 goals per match suggests an open game, and both sides have attacking threats to watch. Sassuolo's Vasilije Adžić leads their scoring charts with 3 goals in 5 games, showing a knack for finding the net from midfield. Meanwhile, AC Milan have been consistent scorers, netting in all of their last five matches. Defensively, Sassuolo's Fedde Leysen offers creativity from the back with a 90% passing accuracy, while AC Milan's Strahinja Pavlović is a defensive rock with a 72.5% duel win rate.
Key facts
- 1.AC Milan lead head-to-head with 11 wins to Sassuolo's 4 in 20 matches.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 3.2 goals, indicating a high-scoring trend.
- 3.AC Milan are 8th with 8 points from 4 games; Sassuolo 10th with 7 points from 5 games.
- 4.AC Milan have a higher points-per-game (2.00) than Sassuolo (1.40).
- 5.Vasilije Adžić is Sassuolo's top scorer with 3 goals in 5 games.
- 6.Fedde Leysen has a 90% passing accuracy and leads Sassuolo with 1 assist.
- 7.Strahinja Pavlović boasts a 72.5% duel win rate for AC Milan.
- 8.Nemanja Matić combines defensive solidity with playmaking for Sassuolo.
Prediction
We expect Sassuolo to take the win in a closely fought 3-2 game. The halftime scoreline of 2-1 reflects the attacking nature of both teams early on, with Sassuolo edging ahead. A total of three cards is anticipated, indicating a competitive but not overly aggressive encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Sassuolo
Away — AC Milan
No standout top scorers flagged for AC Milan
The verdict
This fixture promises goals and excitement, with Sassuolo's home advantage and key players likely to make the difference. AC Milan will push hard, but the hosts have the edge to secure all three points in a thrilling contest.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 20:40 UTC · Fipster Model v1.161
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Gabbia
Leysen
Estupiñán
Yellow Card
De Winter
Yellow Card
Estupiñán
Esposito
Adžić
Rabiot
Assist: Modrić
Odenthal
Pulišić
Musah
Matić
Van der Brempt
Chukwueze
Ramos
Yellow Card
Pavlović
Yellow Card
Thorstvedt
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Sassuolo
4-3-3Starting XI
- 3J. DoigD
- 10D. BerardiF
- 15D. Ćaleta-CarD
- 16F. LeysenD
- 17Vasilije AdžićM
- 18N. MatićM
- 20I. Van der BremptD
- 45A. LaurientéF
- 49A. MurićG
- 50D. BakolaM
- 94S. EspositoF
Substitutes
- 5Fali CandéD
- 6S. WalukiewiczD
- 7C. VolpatoM
- 8A. GhionM
- 9K. BowieF
- 12G. SatalinoG
- 19L. SkjellerupF
- 25B. DomínguezF
- 26C. OdenthalD
- 33Rafael ObradorD
- 35L. LipaniM
- 42K. ThorstvedtM
- 46S. CinquegranoM
- 55I. SulemanaM
- 80S. TuratiG
AC Milan
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 2P. EstupiñánD
- 9Gonçalo RamosF
- 11C. PulišićM
- 12A. RabiotM
- 16M. MaignanG
- 21S. ChukwuezeM
- 22Diego MoreiraM
- 31S. PavlovićD
- 34Mario GilaD
- 46M. GabbiaD
- 80Y. MusahM
Substitutes
- 5K. De WinterD
- 8R. Loftus-CheekM
- 13S. BocoumD
- 14L. ModrićM
- 20O. HutchinsonF
- 23F. TomoriD
- 28C. ComottoM
- 30A. JashariM
- 33D. BartesaghiD
- 41L. P. BouyerG
- 42F. TerraccianoD
- 70A. CissèM
- 73F. CamardaF
- 96L. TorrianiG
Sassuolo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Odenthal | D | 64 | 8.4 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| A. Murić | G | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Van der Brempt | D | 79 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| D. Ćaleta-Car | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Esposito | F | 60 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| K. Bowie | F | 30 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Doig | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| D. Bakola | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3/4 |
| F. Leysen | D | 26 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Laurienté | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/5 |
| L. Lipani | M | 11 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Cinquegrano | M | 11 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Berardi | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| N. Matić | M | 79 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| K. Thorstvedt | M | 30 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Vasilije Adžić | M | 60 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Fali Candé | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Walukiewicz | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Turati | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Satalino | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Sulemana | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Domínguez | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Volpato | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Obrador | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Skjellerup | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ghion | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
AC Milan
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rabiot | M | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Diego Moreira | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4/7 |
| Mario Gila | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| L. Modrić | M | 44 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Maignan | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Pulišić | M | 78 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| K. De Winter | D | 70 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Y. Musah | M | 78 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| O. Hutchinson | F | 5 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Gabbia | D | 20 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Pavlović | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| A. Cissè | M | 12 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| P. Estupiñán | D | 46 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Jashari | M | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Ramos | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | 0/4 |
| S. Chukwueze | M | 85 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Terracciano | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Bartesaghi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Torriani | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Camarda | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Comotto | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Bocoum | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. P. Bouyer | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Loftus-Cheek | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Tomori | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Sassuolo vs AC Milan?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Sassuolo to win against AC Milan.
- What score did Fipster predict for Sassuolo vs AC Milan?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Sassuolo 3–2 AC Milan.
- What were the win probabilities for Sassuolo vs AC Milan?
- Fipster's model gave Sassuolo a 75% chance of winning, AC Milan a 12% chance, and a 13% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 75% confidence — a high-confidence call.