Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo hold on in tense 2-1 win
Luciano's early penalty and Santana's added-time strike secure victory despite a late reply from Bragantino.
Sao Paulo edged out RB Bragantino 2-1 in a closely fought Serie A encounter. Luciano opened the scoring with a penalty in the 14th minute, and G. Santana doubled the lead deep into stoppage time before Fernando pulled one back for Bragantino at the 90th minute. The result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of an away win, as Sao Paulo managed to hold on for the three points.
Outcome probability
This Brazilian Serie A clash sees Sao Paulo and RB Bragantino face off in what promises to be a closely fought contest. Both teams have shown moments of quality this season, making this a match to keep an eye on.
Match factors
Calleri's role as focal striker
Calleri leads Sao Paulo's scoring with 6 goals and is a key attacking outlet, likely to be focal point vs RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino's better recent form
RB Bragantino has higher win percentage (43.5%) and better defensive record than Sao Paulo (31.8%)
Wendell's assist threat
Wendell is Sao Paulo's top assister with 3 assists and good crossing, key for creating chances
Sao Paulo missing Lucas Moura and Lucca
Absence of key attackers Lucas Moura and Lucca reduces Sao Paulo's attacking options and creativity
Isidro Pitta's scoring consistency
Pitta leads RB Bragantino with 6 goals, consistent starter and key goal threat in attack
The context
RB Bragantino currently sit 7th in the league with 35 points from 23 games, reflecting a solid campaign with 10 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses. Sao Paulo have had mixed results against Bragantino historically, with 6 wins each and 6 draws in their 20 meetings, indicating a well-matched rivalry.
Key insights
J. Calleri
Sao Paulo
Calleri leads Sao Paulo's scoring with 6 goals and is a key attacking outlet, likely to be focal point vs RB Bragantino
Serie A 26/276 goals in 19 appearances, 82.9 avg mins/game
Isidro Pitta
RB Bragantino
Pitta leads RB Bragantino with 6 goals, consistent starter and key goal threat in attack
Serie A 26/276 goals in 20 appearances, 65.3 avg mins/game
Wendell
Sao Paulo
Wendell is Sao Paulo's top assister with 3 assists and good crossing, key for creating chances
Serie A 26/273 assists in 20 appearances, 51.1 avg mins/game
- L
Lucas Moura and Lucca
Sao Paulo
Absence of key attackers Lucas Moura and Lucca reduces Sao Paulo's attacking options and creativity
Analysis
The prediction leans towards an away win for RB Bragantino, supported by their slightly better recent form and defensive record compared to Sao Paulo. Sao Paulo will rely heavily on J. Calleri, their leading scorer with 6 goals, who is a key attacking outlet. Meanwhile, RB Bragantino's Isidro Pitta, also with 6 goals, is expected to be a consistent threat upfront. The absence of Lucas Moura and Lucca for Sao Paulo could hamper their attacking options, while Bragantino's balanced squad and solid midfield creativity, led by Henry Mosquera, add to their edge. The match is expected to be competitive, with a moderate number of cards likely.
Key facts
- 1.RB Bragantino are 7th in the league with 35 points from 23 games (W10 D5 L8).
- 2.In 20 head-to-head meetings, Sao Paulo have won 6, RB Bragantino 8, with 6 draws.
- 3.J. Calleri is Sao Paulo's top scorer with 6 goals in 19 appearances.
- 4.Isidro Pitta leads RB Bragantino with 6 goals in 20 appearances.
- 5.Wendell is Sao Paulo's top assister with 3 assists this season.
- 6.Lucas Moura and Lucca are absent for Sao Paulo, reducing attacking options.
- 7.The predicted total number of cards is 4, indicating a moderately physical game.
Prediction
We predict RB Bragantino to secure a 2-1 victory over Sao Paulo. The away side's attacking consistency and defensive resilience should just tip the scales in their favour in this closely matched fixture.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Sao Paulo
Away — RB Bragantino
The verdict
Expect a tight game with moments of quality from both sides. RB Bragantino's ability to capitalise on key chances and maintain defensive discipline could prove decisive, edging out Sao Paulo in a 2-1 result.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Luciano
Penalty
Santana
Sant'Anna
Yellow Card
Ramires
Vinicius
Santana
Lucas Barbosa
Herrera
Aurélio Buta
Luciano
Pitta
Yellow Card
Silva
Yellow Card
Danielzinho
Artur
Henry Mosquera
Yellow Card
Juninho Capixaba
Yellow Card
Fernando
Assist: Henry Mosquera
Match Statistics
Sao Paulo
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5R. ArboledaD
- 8Marcos AntônioM
- 10LucianoF
- 12IagoM
- 20Aurélio ButaM
- 22Domingos DuarteD
- 23RafaelG
- 35SabinoD
- 37ArturF
- 43G. SantanaF
- 94DanielzinhoM
Substitutes
- 2R. TolóiD
- 9J. CalleriF
- 11FerreiraF
- 17André SilvaF
- 18WendellD
- 19Lucas RamonD
- 29Pablo MaiaM
- 31Carlos CoronelG
- 34P. dos SantosF
- 48D. FerreiraM
- 54Osorio LuisD
- 80CaulyM
RB Bragantino
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7Eric RamiresM
- 9I. PittaF
- 14Pedro HenriqueD
- 16Gustavo MarquesD
- 17ViniciusM
- 18Tiago VolpiG
- 20RodriguinhoM
- 21Lucas BarbosaM
- 23A. Sant'AnnaD
- 29Juninho CapixabaD
- 32J. HerreraM
Substitutes
- 1CleitonG
- 2Guzmán RodríguezD
- 4AlixD
- 5FabinhoM
- 6GabrielM
- 11FernandoF
- 22GustavinhoM
- 30Henry MosqueraF
- 34J. HurtadoD
- 35Matheus FernandesM
- 41YuriM
- 51Cauê Nascimento SantosD
Sao Paulo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Santana | F | 55 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Luciano(C) | F | 71 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Artur | F | 84 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Aurélio Buta | M | 71 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Marcos Antônio | M | 92 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0/2 |
| Domingos Duarte | D | 92 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sabino | D | 92 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Danielzinho | M | 84 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Iago Borduchi | M | 92 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Robert Arboleda | D | 92 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Rafael | G | 92 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jonathan Calleri | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Osorio | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tetê | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cauly | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Tolói | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Coronel | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wendell | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Silva | F | 37 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Ferreirinha | F | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Ramon | D | 21 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Pablo Maia | M | 21 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Djhordney Ferreira | M | 8 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
RB Bragantino
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiago Volpi | G | 92 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Henrique(C) | D | 92 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Marques | D | 92 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Agustin Sant Anna | D | 92 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Isidro Pitta | F | 78 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric Ramires | M | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Barbosa | M | 68 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| José Herrera | M | 68 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/5 |
| Rodriguinho | M | 92 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Vinicinho | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Juninho Capixaba | D | 92 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Matheus Fernandes | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cauê Nascimento | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cleiton | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Girotto | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alix Vinicius | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Andrés Hurtado | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guzmán Rodríguez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fernando | F | 47 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Henry Mosquera | F | 24 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/3 |
| Fabinho | M | 47 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Yuri Alves de Aquino | M | 14 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Gustavo Neves | M | 24 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |