Sao Paulo vs Corinthians
Sao Paulo and Corinthians share the spoils
A stubborn goalless draw frustrates expectations in Serie A clash
Sao Paulo and Corinthians played out a 0-0 stalemate in a match that defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a 3-0 home win. Neither side could find the net, resulting in a tight contest where defenses held firm. The unexpected deadlock leaves both teams with a point apiece in the Serie A standings.
Outcome probability
Sao Paulo and Corinthians face off in a crucial Regular Season - 34 clash, with Sao Paulo looking to capitalize on their home advantage and recent form.
Match factors
Home team's attacking trio in strong form
Jonathan Calleri and Luciano lead scoring with strong home form, supported by Ferreira's minutes
Home team excels in home scoring and clean sheets
Sao Paulo averages 1.6 goals and 0.8 conceded at home, better than league average
Corinthians' Matheus Bidu in hot scoring streak
Matheus Bidu scored 3 goals in last 5 games, above average for defenders
Bobadilla and Garro key creative outlets
Bobadilla leads home assists, Garro leads away assists, both crucial for chance creation
No confirmed injuries for either team
Full squads available, no confirmed outs to affect key players
The context
Sao Paulo currently sit 10th in the league with 43 points from 33 games, while Corinthians are 18th with 33 points from 32 games. Historically, Sao Paulo have the edge in their 20 meetings, winning 9 to Corinthians' 4, with 7 draws.
Key insights
Jonathan Calleri
Sao Paulo
Top scorer with 10 goals and strong home scoring form, making him a key threat in this match.
Serie A 26/2710 goals in 27 appearances, 0.37 goals/game
- D
Damián Bobadilla Benítez
Sao Paulo
Leading assister with 3 assists, providing crucial creativity and chance creation for the home side.
Serie A 26/273 assists in 22 appearances, 0.14 assists/game
- M
Matheus Bidu
Corinthians
In hot scoring streak with 3 goals in last 5 games, offering a rare attacking spark for Corinthians.
Serie A 26/274 goals in 23 appearances, 0.17 goals/game
Analysis
Sao Paulo's attacking trio, led by Jonathan Calleri and Luciano, have been in strong form at home, contributing significantly to the team's goal tally. Calleri, the top scorer with 10 goals, has been particularly effective on home turf. Midfielder Damián Bobadilla Benítez provides creative support with his assists, complementing the forwards well. Corinthians' Matheus Bidu has been a bright spot with a recent scoring streak, but overall, Corinthians have struggled to find consistency. Sao Paulo's home scoring average of 1.6 goals per game and defensive solidity make them favourites to keep a clean sheet.
Key facts
- 1.Sao Paulo are 10th in the league with 43 points from 33 games (W12 D7 L14).
- 2.Corinthians are 18th with 33 points from 32 games (W8 D9 L15).
- 3.In 20 head-to-head meetings, Sao Paulo have won 9, Corinthians 4, with 7 draws.
- 4.Sao Paulo average 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home game this season.
- 5.Jonathan Calleri is Sao Paulo's top scorer with 10 goals this season.
- 6.Damián Bobadilla Benítez leads Sao Paulo in assists with 3 this season.
- 7.Corinthians' Matheus Bidu has scored 3 goals in his last 5 games.
- 8.The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4.
Prediction
The most likely scenario is Sao Paulo taking a 1-0 lead into halftime and extending their advantage to a 3-0 victory by fulltime. The match is expected to feature moderate discipline, with around four cards shown.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Sao Paulo
Away — Corinthians
No standout top scorers flagged for Corinthians
The verdict
With strong attacking options and solid home form, Sao Paulo look set to claim a comfortable win over Corinthians. Expect the home side to control the game and secure all three points.
Prediction generated 31 Oct 2026, 01:03 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Ferreira
Yellow Card
Pereira
Red Card
Garro
Ramalho
Yellow Card
Ferreira
Artur
Milans
Yellow Card
Pedro Lima
Yellow Card
Newton
Yellow Card
Kaio César
Ramalho
Depay
Yellow Card
Luciano
Yellow Card
Moura
Yuri Alberto
Red Card
Luciano
Bobadilla
Ferreira
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | +42 | 76 |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -7 | 42 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -9 | 37 |
Match Statistics
Sao Paulo
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 2R. TolóiD
- 5R. ArboledaD
- 7Lucas MouraF
- 10LucianoF
- 12IagoM
- 16D. BobadillaM
- 23RafaelG
- 28NewtonD
- 32Pedro LimaM
- 37ArturF
- 48D. FerreiraM
Substitutes
- 9J. CalleriF
- 11FerreiraF
- 18WendellD
- 19Lucas RamonD
- 27Victor SáF
- 29Pablo MaiaM
- 31Carlos CoronelG
- 43G. SantanaF
- 45Lucca Marques AlencarF
- 46Pedro FerreiraM
- 54Osorio LuisD
- 94DanielzinhoM
Corinthians
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Hugo SouzaG
- 5André RamalhoD
- 7BrenoM
- 8R. GarroM
- 9Yuri AlbertoF
- 13Gustavo HenriqueD
- 20P. MilansD
- 21Matheus BiduM
- 26F. AngileriD
- 37Kaio CésarM
- 49AndreM
Substitutes
- 4João PedroD
- 10M. DepayF
- 11VitinhoF
- 18Pedro RaulF
- 19A. CarrilloM
- 23Matheus PereiraM
- 29AllanM
- 35CharlesM
- 46HugoD
- 51Kauê CamargoG
- 56Guilherme InácioF
- 61DieguinhoM
Sao Paulo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael | G | 88 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Lima | D | 88 | 7.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2/3 |
| Lucas Moura | M | 71 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Damián Bobadilla | M | 86 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Iago Borduchi | D | 88 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Rafael Tolói | D | 88 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robert Arboleda | D | 88 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Djhordney | M | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Artur | M | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Luciano(C) | F | 85 | 6.6 | — | — | 5 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Newton | M | 88 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Carlos Coronel | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Danielzinho | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Ferreira | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucca | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Santana | F | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Osorio | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wendell | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Sá | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Ramon | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ferreirinha | F | 17 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4/5 |
| Pablo Maia | M | 43 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Calleri | F | 43 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
Corinthians
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Ramalho | D | 88 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Souza | G | 88 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Breno Bidon | M | 84 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabrizio Angileri | D | 88 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Gustavo Henrique(C) | D | 88 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Kaio César | M | 62 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Rodrigo Garro | M | 41 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| Pedro Milans | D | 84 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| André Luiz | M | 62 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Yuri Alberto | F | 82 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/3 |
| Matheus Bidu | M | 88 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Charles | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Pedro Tchoca | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauê Camargo | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Raul | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Allan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gui Negão | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dieguinho | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Carrillo | M | 26 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitinho | F | 47 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Memphis Depay | F | 26 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Sao Paulo vs Corinthians?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Sao Paulo to win against Corinthians.
- What score did Fipster predict for Sao Paulo vs Corinthians?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Sao Paulo 3–0 Corinthians.
- What were the win probabilities for Sao Paulo vs Corinthians?
- Fipster's model gave Sao Paulo a 95% chance of winning, Corinthians a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.