Santos vs Palmeiras
Santos and Palmeiras settle for stalemate
A goalless draw leaves both sides sharing the spoils in Serie A.
Neither Santos nor Palmeiras could find the net in a tight contest that ended 0-0. The match lacked the goals Fipster tentatively expected, but the prediction of a draw was spot on, albeit with low confidence. Both teams will rue missed chances as they take a point apiece from this cautious encounter.
Outcome probability
This regular season match between Santos and Palmeiras promises a tactical battle, with Palmeiras holding a strong league position and Santos eager to close the gap. Both teams have key players who could influence the outcome, making for an intriguing contest.
Match factors
Neymar's absence weakens Santos attack
Neymar is out due to suspension, removing a key goal and assist threat
Gabriel Barbosa leads scoring threat for Santos
Gabriel Barbosa has 15 goals this season, well above league average for attackers
Andreas Pereira is Palmeiras' key creative force
Andreas Pereira tops assists with 10 this season, driving Palmeiras' attack
Palmeiras' strong recent form boosts confidence
Palmeiras have a 62.5% win rate and 4-game scoring streak recently
Santos' defense missing key players
Santos miss key defenders and goalkeeper, potentially weakening defense
The context
Palmeiras lead the league with 69 points, comfortably ahead of Santos who sit 8th with 46 points. Historically, Palmeiras have dominated head-to-head encounters, winning 14 of their last 20 meetings against Santos. The goal difference also favours Palmeiras significantly, highlighting their attacking and defensive strengths this season.
Key insights
Gabriel Barbosa
Santos
Gabriel Barbosa leads Santos' attack with 15 goals this season, well above the league average for attackers, making him the key threat to Palmeiras' defence.
Serie A 26/2715 goals in 24 apps, 0.625 avg per game
Andreas Pereira
Palmeiras
Andreas Pereira is Palmeiras' top assister with 10 assists this season, driving their creative play and chances creation.
Serie A 26/2710 assists in 30 apps, 0.333 avg per game
J. López
Palmeiras
J. López is Palmeiras' leading scorer with 9 goals and consistent starter, contributing significantly to their attacking threat.
Serie A 26/279 goals in 29 apps, 0.31 avg per game
Analysis
Palmeiras are expected to start strong, possibly taking an early lead as suggested by the predicted halftime score of 0-1. Their top assister Andreas Pereira, with 10 assists this season, will be key in creating chances. Santos will rely heavily on Gabriel Barbosa, their top scorer with 15 goals, to find the net and level the score. Santos' defence is somewhat weakened due to absences, which could be exploited by Palmeiras' consistent attack led by J. López.
Key facts
- 1.Palmeiras lead the league with 69 points; Santos are 8th with 46 points.
- 2.Palmeiras have won 14 of 20 head-to-head matches against Santos.
- 3.Palmeiras have a +34 goal difference compared to Santos' +2.
- 4.Gabriel Barbosa is Santos' top scorer with 15 goals this season.
- 5.Andreas Pereira leads Palmeiras with 10 assists this season.
- 6.Palmeiras have a recent 4-game scoring streak boosting their confidence.
- 7.Santos miss key defenders and goalkeeper, potentially weakening their defence.
Prediction
The forecast is for a 1-1 draw, with Palmeiras likely to lead at halftime before Santos equalise in the second half. The match is finely balanced, and while Palmeiras have the edge on paper, Santos' resilience should see them secure a point. Expect a competitive game with a total of around three cards issued, reflecting the intensity of the encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Santos
Away — Palmeiras
The verdict
In summary, this match should provide an entertaining contest with both teams showing strengths and vulnerabilities. Palmeiras' league dominance and creative midfield will test Santos, but the home side's attacking threat and determination to respond make a draw a fitting outcome.
Prediction generated 27 Oct 2026, 14:22 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Coutinho
Yellow Card
Freitas
Yellow Card
Piquerez
Yellow Card
Freitas
Andreas Pereira
Piquerez
Barboza
Yellow Card
Coutinho
Arias
Henrique Pereira
Gabriel Bontempo
Yellow Card
López
Giay
Yellow Card
Oliva
Everton
Rodinei
João Schmidt
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Santos
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1DiógenesG
- 7EvertonM
- 8Gabriel BontempoM
- 9Gabriel BarbosaF
- 11Philippe CoutinhoM
- 14Luan PeresD
- 22Á. BarrealD
- 23RodineiD
- 28C. OlivaM
- 42João AlencarD
- 48Gustavo Henrique PereiraM
Substitutes
- 5João SchmidtM
- 17G. CaballeroF
- 18Igor ViniciusD
- 25Gabriel MeninoM
- 26João Paulo AnaniasD
- 30M. TercerosM
- 32B. RollheiserF
- 33RonyF
- 34João PauloG
- 38Rafael GonzagaD
- 39Pedro AssisF
- 45LimaM
Palmeiras
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1Carlos MiguelG
- 2A. BarbozaD
- 4A. GiayM
- 8Andreas PereiraM
- 11J. AriasM
- 15G. GómezD
- 17Marlon FreitasM
- 22J. PiquerezM
- 26MuriloD
- 30Lucas EvangelistaM
- 42J. LópezF
Substitutes
- 3Bruno FuchsD
- 7Felipe AndersonM
- 9Vitor RoqueF
- 12KhellvenD
- 14Marcelo LombaG
- 18MaurícioM
- 32E. MartínezM
- 43BenedettiD
- 45Erick MachadoM
- 48LarsonM
- 50Luis FelipeM
- 56ArthurD
Santos
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diógenes | G | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodinei | D | 85 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 3/4 |
| Gabriel Bontempo | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4/4 |
| Á. Barreal | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Luan Peres | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Everton | M | 85 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 4/8 |
| João Alencar | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Philippe Coutinho | M | 70 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 0/4 |
| Rony | F | 5 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| B. Rollheiser | F | 20 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/3 |
| Igor Vinicius | D | 5 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Schmidt | M | 13 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lima | M | 5 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Oliva | M | 85 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Barbosa | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 7 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Henrique Pereira | M | 77 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Pedro Assis | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Paulo | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Caballero | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Menino | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Terceros | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Paulo Ananias | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Gonzaga | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Palmeiras
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Miguel | G | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marlon Freitas | M | 66 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Evangelista | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Maurício | M | 24 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| J. López | F | 79 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3/5 |
| Felipe Anderson | M | 11 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| J. Arias | M | 75 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| Andreas Pereira | M | 66 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Arthur | D | 24 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Gómez | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Larson | M | 24 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Vitor Roque | F | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| A. Giay | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1/3 |
| Murilo | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| A. Barboza | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3/3 |
| J. Piquerez | M | 66 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Khellven | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcelo Lomba | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Fuchs | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Martínez | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benedetti | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erick Machado | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Felipe | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Santos vs Palmeiras?
- Fipster's AI model predicted a draw between Santos and Palmeiras.
- What score did Fipster predict for Santos vs Palmeiras?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Santos 1–1 Palmeiras.
- What were the win probabilities for Santos vs Palmeiras?
- Fipster's model gave Santos a 33% chance of winning, Palmeiras a 32% chance, and a 35% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.