Santos vs Mirassol
Mirassol stuns Santos with a resilient draw
Eduardo's first-half strike earns Mirassol a share of the spoils against Santos.
Mirassol took the lead through Eduardo's 36th-minute goal, only for Santos to level the score after the break thanks to Á. Barreal's effort in the 68th minute. Despite Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a comfortable Santos win, the match ended in a 1-1 draw, defying expectations and showcasing Mirassol's resilience on the road.
Outcome probability
Santos and Mirassol face off in what promises to be an entertaining clash, with both sides eager to improve their league standings. Santos, sitting 14th, and Mirassol, just below them in 16th, have struggled for consistency this season, making this match crucial for momentum.
Match factors
Santos' attacking duo in strong form
Gabriel Barbosa and Neymar combine high scoring and assist rates, driving Santos' offense effectively.
Mirassol's key attacker out injured
Negueba, a main attacker for Mirassol, is confirmed out, weakening their offensive threat.
Santos' home scoring consistency
Santos averages 1.4 goals at home with a positive recent scoring streak, favoring their predicted win.
Mirassol's scoring streak despite defensive struggles
Mirassol has scored in last 5 games but concedes frequently, indicating defensive vulnerability.
Gabriel Bontempo doubtful for Santos
Bontempo's doubtful status caps his assist probability, adding uncertainty to Santos' midfield creativity.
The context
In their 10 previous meetings, Santos have edged Mirassol with four wins to two, while four matches ended in draws. These encounters have been relatively open, averaging 3.3 goals per game, suggesting an attacking spectacle is on the cards once again.
Key insights
Gabriel Barbosa
Santos
Leads Santos scoring with 7 goals, showing strong recent form and key attacking role.
Serie A 26/277 goals in 15 appearances, 0.47 goals/game
Neymar
Santos
High scoring rate with 6 goals in 9 games, excellent home form, main attacking threat.
Serie A 26/276 goals in 9 appearances, 0.67 goals/game
Igor Formiga
Mirassol
Notable scoring defender with 4 goals, recent goal in last 5 games, important attacking outlet.
Serie A 26/274 goals in 18 appearances, 0.22 goals/game
Reinaldo
Mirassol
Top assister with 3 assists, strong recent form, key wide provider.
Serie A 26/273 assists in 18 appearances, 0.17 assists/game
Analysis
Santos boast a potent attacking duo in Gabriel Barbosa and Neymar, who have been instrumental in their goal-scoring this season. Barbosa leads with seven goals in 15 appearances, while Neymar's impressive strike rate of 0.67 goals per game highlights his threat. Mirassol, despite scoring in their last five games, have defensive vulnerabilities that Santos are likely to exploit. The absence of Mirassol's key attacker Negueba further weakens their offensive options. Santos' home scoring consistency and recent form give them the edge in this encounter.
Key facts
- 1.Santos have won 4 of the last 10 meetings against Mirassol.
- 2.The average goals per match in their head-to-head is 3.3, indicating open play.
- 3.Santos are 14th in the league with 25 points from 22 games.
- 4.Mirassol sit 16th with 23 points from 21 games.
- 5.Gabriel Barbosa leads Santos with 7 goals in 15 appearances.
- 6.Neymar has scored 6 goals in 9 games, boasting a high goal rate.
- 7.Mirassol's key attacker Negueba is out, weakening their attack.
- 8.Santos average 1.4 goals per home game this season.
Prediction
We anticipate Santos to take control early, leading 2-0 at halftime before Mirassol pulls one back. However, Santos should seal the win with a third goal, finishing 3-1. Expect a competitive match with around four cards shown, reflecting the intensity of this league tussle.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Santos
Away — Mirassol
The verdict
With their attacking stars firing and Mirassol's defence under pressure, Santos look well placed to secure all three points. Fans can expect a lively game with goals and some robust challenges, but ultimately a home win to keep Santos climbing the table.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
João Schmidt
Yellow Card
Gabriel
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
Gabriel
Eduardo
Rony
Eduardo
João Schmidt
Cazonatti
Barreal
Assist: Neymar
Wallisson
Red Card
Barreal
Igor Formiga
Yellow Card
Alesson
Santos
Barbosa
Igor Vinicius
Neymar
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Santos
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5João SchmidtM
- 9Gabriel BarbosaF
- 10NeymarM
- 11RonyM
- 14Luan PeresD
- 15Willian ArãoD
- 18Igor ViniciusD
- 22Á. BarrealM
- 31G. EscobarD
- 48Gustavo Henrique PereiraM
- 77Gabriel BrazãoG
Substitutes
- 8Gabriel BontempoM
- 16ThacianoM
- 17G. CaballeroF
- 21MoisésF
- 26João Paulo AnaniasD
- 27D. FernandesF
- 28C. OlivaM
- 30M. TercerosM
- 32B. RollheiserF
- 34João PauloG
- 42João AlencarD
- 81S. PierriM
Mirassol
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 3Willian MachadoD
- 6ReinaldoM
- 22WalterG
- 25Neto MouraM
- 30Bruno SantosF
- 32Igor FormigaM
- 33EduardoF
- 34João VictorD
- 44GabrielD
- 55Gustavo CazonattiM
- 77AlessonF
Substitutes
- 2Lucas OliveiraD
- 5JapaM
- 7ShaylonM
- 9André LuísF
- 10ChicoM
- 12Victor LuísD
- 17FernandinhoF
- 19Gustavo SilvaM
- 20Daniel BorgesD
- 23Alex MuralhaG
- 80WallissonM
- 96Carlos EduardoF
Santos
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Álvaro Barreal | M | 74 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Willian Arão | D | 96 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Neymar(C) | M | 96 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 3/9 |
| Gonzalo Escobar | D | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Gustavinho | M | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Luan Peres | D | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Barbosa | F | 82 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Igor Vinícius | D | 82 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Gabriel Brazão | G | 96 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rony | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| João Schmidt | M | 61 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| João Alencar | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Paulo Ananias | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moisés | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguelito | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Mendes | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Paulo | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Oliva | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Bontempo | M | 51 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Benjamín Rollheiser | F | 35 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Davizinho | F | 14 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Caballero | F | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thaciano | M | 22 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Mirassol
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter | G | 96 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo | F | 61 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| João Victor(C) | D | 96 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Neto Moura | M | 96 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Alesson | F | 78 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/3 |
| Willian Machado | D | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Cazonatti | M | 61 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Igor Formiga | M | 96 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 4/12 |
| Gabriel Knesowitsch | D | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Bruno Santos | F | 78 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Reinaldo | M | 96 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Gustavo Silva | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Muralha | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chico | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Luis | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Shaylon | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Luis | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Borges | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fernandinho | F | 18 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/3 |
| Carlos Eduardo | F | 18 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Lucas Oliveira | D | 68 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Japa | M | 35 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Wallisson Luiz | M | 12 | 4.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |