Santos vs Chapecoense-sc
Santos held to draw by resilient Chapecoense-sc
Neymar's brace including a penalty wasn't enough to secure victory at home.
Santos and Chapecoense-sc shared the spoils in a 2-2 draw in Serie A. Neymar opened the scoring before halftime and added a penalty late on, but Chapecoense-sc fought back with a Marcinho goal and an own goal from João Paulo Ananias that levelled the match. The result defied Fipster's confident prediction of a 3-0 home win, proving the visitors tougher than expected.
Analysis
Santos face Chapecoense-sc in a Brazilian Serie A clash where the home side's superior form and firepower make them clear favourites. Expect a commanding performance from Santos as they look to extend their points tally.
Santos currently sit 15th in the league with 21 points from 19 games, while Chapecoense-sc languish near the bottom at 20th with just 9 points from 18 matches. The head-to-head record favours Santos, who have won 10 of their 17 meetings against Chapecoense-sc.
Santos boast a significantly better goal difference (+14) compared to Chapecoense-sc's -18, highlighting the gulf in quality. Their attacking duo, Gabriel Barbosa and Álvaro Barreal, have been in fine form, with Barbosa netting multiple goals recently. Chapecoense-sc's defensive frailty, conceding in all of their last five matches, will likely be exploited by Santos' potent attack.
Prediction
The prediction is a 3-0 home win for Santos, with a halftime lead of 1-0. The match is expected to be competitive but ultimately controlled by Santos, who should secure a comfortable victory. Four cards are anticipated, reflecting a moderately physical encounter.
Outcome probability
Match factors
Santos' attacking trio outperforms Chapecoense defense
Gabriel Barbosa and Álvaro Barreal's recent scoring form contrasts with Chapecoense's weak defense, favoring Santos' attack
Chapecoense's defensive frailty likely to be exploited
Chapecoense conceded in all last 5 matches, Santos has scored in 4 of last 5 home games
Gabriel Barbosa's consistent goal threat
Gabriel Barbosa scored multiple goals in recent matches, boosting Santos' scoring chances
Chapecoense missing key attackers and defenders
Several Chapecoense players confirmed out, weakening their attack and defense
Key Takeaways
In summary, Santos' superior form, attacking threat, and historical dominance over Chapecoense-sc point towards a straightforward win. Chapecoense-sc will need a miracle to avoid a heavy defeat, but Santos look set to deliver a clinical performance.
- Santos have won 10 of 17 meetings against Chapecoense-sc.
- Santos are 15th in the league with 21 points from 19 games.
- Chapecoense-sc are 20th with 9 points from 18 games.
- Santos have a +14 goal difference; Chapecoense-sc have -18.
- Santos average 1.11 points per game; Chapecoense-sc average 0.50.
- Gabriel Barbosa has scored multiple goals in recent matches.
- Chapecoense-sc have conceded in all of their last five matches.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Santos
Away — Chapecoense-sc
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Neymar
Assist: Barreal
David Antunes
Ramírez
Ênio
Marcinho
Assist: Giovanni Augusto
Camilo
Yellow Card
João Paulo Ananias (OG)
Rollheiser
Igor Vinicius
Arão
Veríssimo
Yellow Card
Matheus Aurélio
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
Neymar
Yellow Card
Barreal
Yellow Card
Unknown
Barbosa
Barreal
Camilo
Bruno Matias
Yellow Card
Neymar
Penalty
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | +22 | 47 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 23 |
| 15 |  Santos | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | -4 | 22 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -4 | 22 |
| 19 |  Remo | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -10 | 21 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 | 10 |
Match Statistics
Santos
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 4Lucas VeríssimoD
- 8Gabriel BontempoM
- 9Gabriel BarbosaF
- 10NeymarM
- 15Willian ArãoM
- 18Igor ViniciusD
- 22Á. BarrealM
- 26João Paulo AnaniasD
- 31G. EscobarD
- 32B. RollheiserM
- 77Gabriel BrazãoG
Substitutes
- 5João SchmidtM
- 7Nikita SolodchenkoF
- 11RonyF
- 14Luan PeresD
- 16ThacianoM
- 17G. CaballeroF
- 25Gabriel MeninoM
- 28C. OlivaM
- 30M. TercerosM
- 34João PauloG
- 81S. PierriM
- 98A. FríasD
Chapecoense-sc
4-5-1Starting XI
- 3DomaD
- 11Y. BolasieF
- 19David AntunesM
- 22MaxM
- 27CamiloM
- 30Matheus AurélioG
- 33Bruno LeonardoD
- 94K. RamírezM
- 97ÊnioM
Substitutes
- 1Rafael SantosG
- 7MarcinhoF
- 10Giovanni AugustoM
- 15Rafael ThyereD
- 16Bruno MatiasM
- 17Vinicius BalieiroM
- 18Neto PessoaF
- 21Kauan Faria GomesD
- 26EvertonD
- 50KassioF
- 91Bruno PachecoD
Santos
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neymar(C) | M | 96 | 9.3 | 2 | — | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2/6 |
| Álvaro Barreal | M | 80 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | 3/3 |
| Gabriel Bontempo | M | 96 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Willian Arão | M | 63 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Escobar | D | 96 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Igor Vinícius | D | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Lucas Veríssimo | D | 96 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Benjamín Rollheiser | M | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| João Paulo Ananias | D | 96 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Brazão | G | 96 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Barbosa | F | 80 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Luan Peres | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Paulo | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Schmidt | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adonis Frías | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robinho Júnior | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguelito | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Mendes | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Caballero | F | 33 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Menino | M | 33 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Thaciano | M | 16 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Oliva | M | 33 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Rony | F | 16 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
Chapecoense-sc
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Leonardo | D | 96 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Camilo | M | 83 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| David Antunes | M | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus | G | 96 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max | M | 96 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Yannick Bolasie | F | 96 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Kevin Ramírez | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Eduardo Doma(C) | D | 96 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ênio | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Everton | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kassio | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Thyere | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Santos | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Neto Pessoa | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcinho | F | 51 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Giovanni Augusto | M | 51 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Vinicius Balieiro | M | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Pacheco | D | 16 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Matias | M | 51 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |