Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente snatch win at Santa Clara
A late strike from Murilo seals a 2-1 victory on the road.
Santa Clara were undone by an own goal from Espigares just before half-time, giving GIL Vicente an early advantage. Walace doubled the visitors' lead shortly after the break, and despite Santa Clara's efforts, Murilo's goal in the 81st minute confirmed the win for GIL Vicente. This result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a narrow home win, turning the fixture on its head.
Outcome probability
Santa Clara and GIL Vicente face off in the 11th round of the regular season, both eager to climb the league standings. With Santa Clara holding a stronger position and goal difference, this match promises a tactical battle with limited chances early on.
Match factors
Santa Clara's attacking edge through Gonçalo Paciência
Paciência's strong scoring form and central role give Santa Clara a key offensive weapon against Gil Vicente's defense
Santa Clara's superior home scoring rate
Santa Clara averages 1.6 goals per home game, above Gil Vicente's 0.67 home scoring, favoring a home win
Gil Vicente's recent scoring streak away
Gil Vicente has scored in their last 3 away matches, showing attacking potential despite overall lower scoring
Creative midfield presence of Gil Pinto Martins
Gil Pinto Martins leads Gil Vicente in assists, providing creative threat and linking play effectively
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or absences, ensuring strongest lineups and tactical plans for both sides
The context
Santa Clara currently sit 4th in the league with 21 points from 10 games, showcasing solid form and a +9 goal difference. GIL Vicente are 7th with 14 points from 9 games and a modest +1 goal difference. Historically, Santa Clara have the upper hand with 9 wins in 18 meetings against GIL Vicente, who have won 6 times.
Key insights
Gonçalo Paciência
Santa Clara
Paciência's strong scoring form and central role give Santa Clara a key offensive weapon against Gil Vicente's defence.
Primeira Liga 26/275 goals in 8 apps, 0.625 goals/game
Gil Pinto Martins
GIL Vicente
Gil Pinto Martins leads Gil Vicente in assists, providing creative threat and linking play effectively.
Primeira Liga 26/272 assists in 9 apps, 0.22 assists/game
Analysis
The first half is expected to be cagey, with both sides cautious and looking to avoid early mistakes. Santa Clara's attacking threat is led by Gonçalo Paciência, who has netted 5 goals this season and is in strong form. GIL Vicente's creative playmaker Gil Pinto Martins, with 2 assists, will look to unlock the home defence. Despite GIL Vicente's recent scoring streak away, Santa Clara's superior home scoring rate and defensive solidity give them the edge.
Key facts
- 1.Santa Clara lead head-to-head with 9 wins in 18 matches against GIL Vicente's 6.
- 2.Santa Clara rank 4th with 21 points from 10 games; GIL Vicente are 7th with 14 points from 9 games.
- 3.Santa Clara have a +9 goal difference compared to GIL Vicente's +1 this season.
- 4.Santa Clara average 1.6 goals per home game, higher than GIL Vicente's 0.67 at home.
- 5.Gonçalo Paciência is Santa Clara's top scorer with 5 goals in 8 appearances.
- 6.Gil Pinto Martins leads GIL Vicente with 2 assists this season.
- 7.No confirmed injuries for either team, ensuring full-strength lineups.
Prediction
A 0-0 halftime scoreline is the most probable scenario, reflecting a tight and balanced first half. The decisive moment is likely to come in the second half, with Santa Clara edging a 1-0 victory thanks to their attacking quality and home advantage. Expect a competitive match with around four cards issued as tensions rise.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Santa Clara
Away — GIL Vicente
The verdict
Santa Clara's blend of solid defence and clinical finishing should see them narrowly overcome GIL Vicente. While the visitors have shown glimpses of attacking promise, the home side's consistency and historical advantage make them the favourites to claim all three points in this encounter.
Prediction generated 2 Nov 2026, 22:08 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Soares
Yellow Card
Ferreira Prioste
Yellow Card
Espigares (OG)
Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira
Yellow Card
Walace
Assist: Murilo
Fernandes
Yellow Card
Pedro Pacheco
Red Card
João Vasconcelos
Ferreira Prioste
Infante
Yellow Card
Murilo
Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira
Walace
José Luís Rocha Tavares
Lausen
Lopes
Kaba
Yellow Card
Infante
Murilo
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | +22 | 33 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 24 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
Match Statistics
Santa Clara
4-3-3Starting XI
- 4Pedro PachecoD
- 7Luis Fernando Santos OliveiraF
- 8José Luís Rocha TavaresM
- 10Brenner Lucas Gonçalves SantosF
- 12NenecaG
- 17João VasconcelosM
- 21Emanuel FernandesD
- 41Daniel BorgesM
- 42Lucas SoaresD
- 70Vinícius LopesF
- 85A. InfanteD
Substitutes
- 3Henrique SilvaD
- 9Gonçalo PaciênciaF
- 11Welinton TorrãoF
- 18A. DuarteF
- 22VitinhoM
- 25F. MedeirosM
- 73Léo JacóF
- 81Seydou FofanaM
- 99SorrisoF
GIL Vicente
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3EspigaresD
- 9WalaceF
- 10Santi GarcíaM
- 12A. LausenM
- 20Gil Pinto MartinsM
- 30LucãoG
- 39Jonathan BuatuD
- 45David MoreiraD
- 47Ricardo EsgaioD
- 77MuriloM
- 86Diogo Ferreira PriosteM
Substitutes
- 1A. PicornellG
- 2José SilvaD
- 6Zé CarlosM
- 11Joelson FernandesF
- 19GuilhermeM
- 26WeversonD
- 27A. MoreiraF
- 32M. FernándezM
- 82Gonçalo Maia PereiraM
- 94SamuelG
- 99M. KabaF
Santa Clara
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Vasconcelos | M | 65 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira | F | 83 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 4/5 |
| Emanuel Fernandes | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Vinícius Lopes | F | 84 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 5/7 |
| José Luís Rocha Tavares | M | 84 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Henrique Silva | D | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sorriso | F | 6 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Borges | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Pedro Pacheco | D | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Léo Jacó | F | 2 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Vitinho | M | 6 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Paciência | F | 7 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Soares | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Infante | D | 88 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Neneca | G | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Seydou Fofana | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Medeiros | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Duarte | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Welinton Torrão | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
GIL Vicente
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murilo | M | 89 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4/5 |
| Walace | F | 84 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Jonathan Buatu | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zé Carlos | M | 19 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gil Pinto Martins | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| A. Lausen | M | 84 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| David Moreira | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| A. Moreira | F | 1 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santi García | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 4 | — | 2 | 0/3 |
| Guilherme | M | 6 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Diogo Ferreira Prioste | M | 71 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Kaba | F | 6 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucão | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Espigares | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Ricardo Esgaio | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Joelson Fernandes | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Weverson | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Silva | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Maia Pereira | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Fernández | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Picornell | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Santa Clara to win against GIL Vicente.
- What score did Fipster predict for Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Santa Clara 1–0 GIL Vicente.
- What were the win probabilities for Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente?
- Fipster's model gave Santa Clara a 54% chance of winning, GIL Vicente a 23% chance, and a 23% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 54% confidence — a medium-confidence call.