Santa Clara vs Famalicao
Santa Clara edges Famalicao in tight contest
Gonçalo Paciência's first-half strike secures a narrow home victory.
Santa Clara claimed a slender 1-0 win over Famalicao in the Primeira Liga thanks to Gonçalo Paciência's 22nd-minute goal. The match was a closely fought affair with the single goal proving decisive. Fipster's prediction of a home win was on the money, though the exact scoreline was a bit off.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with Santa Clara facing Famalicao in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Both teams have reshaped their squads over the summer, setting the stage for an intriguing battle as they look to start their campaigns on a positive note.
Key facts
- 1.Santa Clara have transferred out Serginho, Gabriel Batista, and Gabriel Silva over the summer.
- 2.Famalicao have signed Paulo Moreira on a free transfer.
- 3.Famalicao finished last season with a better goal difference than Santa Clara.
- 4.Famalicao averaged 1.65 points per game last season, compared to Santa Clara's 1.06.
- 5.This is the first competitive fixture of the new season for both teams.
- 6.The predicted full-time score is 2-1 in favour of Santa Clara.
- 7.Four total cards are expected during the match.
The context
Santa Clara have parted ways with Serginho, Gabriel Batista, and Gabriel Silva, trimming their squad ahead of the new season. Meanwhile, Famalicao have welcomed Paulo Moreira on a free transfer but lost J. de Haas, Gustavo Sá, and Rafa Soares. These changes could influence the dynamics as both sides seek to establish early momentum.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Santa Clara
Away — Famalicao
Analysis
Despite Famalicao's stronger points-per-game average and superior goal difference last season, Santa Clara's home advantage and squad stability could prove decisive. The prediction leans towards a narrow 2-1 win for Santa Clara, reflecting a match where both sides find the net but the hosts just edge it. The medium confidence in this outcome suggests a competitive game with moments of quality from both teams.
Prediction
Expect Santa Clara to clinch a 2-1 victory in this season opener. The home side's familiarity and tactical setup should allow them to overcome Famalicao's challenge, who will nonetheless provide stern resistance. Four cards are anticipated, indicating a spirited contest.
The verdict
As the new season unfolds, Santa Clara look poised to start with a win, setting a positive tone for their campaign. Famalicao will aim to bounce back quickly, making this fixture a promising watch for fans of competitive football.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Paciência
Assist: Sorriso
Lopes
Yellow Card
Dias
Sorriso
Lopes
Pedro Santos
Paciência
Borges
Realpe
Yellow Card
De Amorim
Yellow Card
Realpe
Francisco
Koutsias
José Luís Rocha Tavares
Jangeal
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +13 | 18 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Guimaraes | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 5 |
Match Statistics
Santa Clara
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Lucas FrançaG
- 2Diogo CalilaD
- 4Pedro PachecoD
- 5Guilherme RomãoD
- 6Pedro FerreiraM
- 8José Luís Rocha TavaresM
- 9Gonçalo PaciênciaF
- 21Emanuel FernandesD
- 41Daniel BorgesM
- 70Vinícius LopesM
- 99SorrisoM
Substitutes
- 3H. SilvaD
- 7Luis Fernando Santos OliveiraF
- 10Brenner Lucas Gonçalves SantosF
- 11Welinton TorrãoF
- 12NenecaG
- 18A. DuarteF
- 20Tiago RibeiroM
- 22VitinhoM
- 37RildoF
- 42Lucas SoaresD
Famalicao
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3L. RealpeD
- 4F. van BreemenD
- 6T. van de LooiM
- 7SorrisoM
- 10Pedro SantosM
- 14Mathias De AmorimM
- 17Rodrigo PinheiroD
- 23Gil DiasM
- 25L. CarevićG
- 28Pedro FranciscoD
- 70G. KoutsiasF
Substitutes
- 1I. ZlobinG
- 2Gustavo GarciaD
- 8Marcos PeñaM
- 11Óscar ArandaF
- 18R. BeneyF
- 19Paulo MoreiraM
- 21T. SzucsM
- 22GabrielG
- 24Mathis JangealM
- 30V. SerafimovićD
- 36M. MattaraD
- 91R. AlmeidaF
Santa Clara
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonçalo Paciência(C) | F | 74 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Lucas França | G | 84 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diogo Calila | D | 84 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vinícius Lopes | M | 62 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 3/4 |
| Pedro Pacheco | D | 84 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Tavares | M | 84 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Emanuel Fernandes | D | 84 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Borges | M | 74 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Pedro Ferreira | M | 84 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Romão | D | 84 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Sorriso | M | 62 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Vitinho | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Soares | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rildo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Henrique Silva | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Neneca | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Afonso Duarte | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brenner | F | 22 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Luis Fernando | F | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Ribeiro | M | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Welinton Torrao | F | 22 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Famalicao
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Pinheiro | D | 84 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Sorriso | M | 84 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3/5 |
| Finn van Breemen | D | 84 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Bondo | D | 84 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 4/6 |
| Pedro Santos | M | 65 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Tom Van De Looi(C) | M | 84 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Mathias De Amorim | M | 84 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/4 |
| Lazar Carević | G | 84 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Léo Realpe | D | 81 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Georgios Koutsias | F | 84 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Gil Dias | M | 45 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Rudi Almeida | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Mattara | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathis Jangeal | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Peña | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tamás Szűcs | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vojin Serafimović | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Cabral | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo García | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Moreira | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Zlobin | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Óscar Aranda | F | 19 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 2/2 |
| Romeo Beney | F | 39 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 4/6 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Santa Clara vs Famalicao?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Santa Clara to win against Famalicao.
- What score did Fipster predict for Santa Clara vs Famalicao?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Santa Clara 2–1 Famalicao.
- What were the win probabilities for Santa Clara vs Famalicao?
- Fipster's model gave Santa Clara a 62% chance of winning, Famalicao a 19% chance, and a 19% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 62% confidence — a medium-confidence call.