San Marino vs Finland
Finland steamroll San Marino in seven-goal blitz
J. Pohjanpalo's hat-trick leads a dominant away victory.
Finland dismantled San Marino with a commanding 7-0 win in the UEFA Nations League, featuring early strikes from J. Pohjanpalo and A. Svanbäck that set the tone. Pohjanpalo's hat-trick, including a penalty late on, alongside goals from Svanbäck, Källman, and a brace from Walta, ensured a comprehensive victory. This result was a stunning upset against Fipster's medium-confidence prediction favouring a San Marino win by a narrow margin.
Analysis
San Marino and Finland face off in what promises to be a tightly fought encounter. Both sides start this competition with zero points, setting the stage for a competitive opener.
Neither team has played a match in this competition yet, so both sit at the bottom of the table with no points. San Marino are ranked 4th and Finland 2nd, but with no games played, the rankings are more placeholders than prophecy.
The prediction leans towards a home win for San Marino, albeit by the narrowest of margins. The first half is expected to be cagey and goalless, reflecting a cautious approach from both sides. The second half should see the goals flow, with San Marino edging Finland 2-1. The confidence level is moderate, indicating a close contest where either side could snatch the result.
Prediction
Expect a 0-0 stalemate at halftime before San Marino find their rhythm to score twice in the second half. Finland will respond with a goal of their own, but it won't be enough to prevent a 2-1 defeat.
Outcome probability
Key Takeaways
This match could be a classic underdog story with San Marino pulling off a surprise win. Fans should brace for a tense first half followed by an exciting finish as both teams battle for early points in the competition.
- San Marino and Finland both start with 0 points from 0 games in this competition.
- San Marino are ranked 4th and Finland 2nd in the competition standings, but no matches have been played yet.
- The predicted halftime score is 0-0, indicating a tight first half.
- The fulltime prediction is a 2-1 win for San Marino, suggesting a close and competitive match.
- A total of 4 cards are expected, hinting at a physical encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — San Marino
No standout best passers flagged for San Marino
Away — Finland
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
Pohjanpalo
Svanbäck
Assist: Walta
Källman
Assist: Svanbäck
Marhiev
Yellow Card
Marhiev
Keskinen
Koski
Walta
Golinucci
Red Card
Walta
Assist: Lähteenmäki
Capicchioni
Källman
Giacopetti
Unknown
Walta
Unknown
Pohjanpalo
Assist: Svanbäck
Cevoli
Yellow Card
Pohjanpalo
Penalty
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Switzerland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 |  Albania | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 |  Belarus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 |  Italy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Match Statistics
San Marino
4-1-2-1-2Starting XI
- 5M. CevoliD
- 8L. CapicchioniM
- 9N. NanniF
- 11N. GiacopettiF
- 12A. TosiD
- 15M. PasoliniD
- 17A. GolinucciM
Substitutes
- 2G. BenvenutiD
- 3S. GiocondiD
- 6D. RossiD
- 7G. CapicchioniF
- 13M. ZavoliG
- 19S. PancottiF
- 21L. LazzariM
- 22M. MularoniM
- 23M. De AngelisG
Finland
4-3-3Starting XI
- 10L. WaltaM
- 11A. MarhievM
- 12V. SinisaloG
- 13J. LähteenmäkiD
- 14K. KairinenM
- 15S. MiettinenD
- 18T. KeskinenD
- 19B. KällmanF
- 20J. PohjanpaloF
- 21V. KoskiD
- 22A. SvanbäckF
Substitutes
- 1L. HrádeckýG
- 2L. VäisänenD
- 3A. StåhlD
- 4T. MiettinenD
- 5O. JukkolaM
- 6G. KamaraM
- 7O. ValakariM
- 8R. LodM
- 9S. VäänänenM
- 16A. SuhonenM
- 17R. MahutaD
- 23L. BergströmG
San Marino
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Giacopetti | F | 59 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| S. Pancotti | F | 31 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| N. Nanni | F | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| M. Pasolini | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Capicchioni | M | 59 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Cevoli | D | 79 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Mularoni | M | 31 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Benvenuti | D | 11 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Giocondi | D | 20 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Golinucci | M | 51 | 5.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Tosi | D | 90 | 5.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| D. Rossi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Zavoli | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. De Angelis | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Lazzari | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Capicchioni | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Finland
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pohjanpalo | F | 90 | 9.9 | 3 | — | 7 | 5 | 4 | — |
| L. Walta | M | 70 | 9.7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3/4 |
| A. Svanbäck | F | 90 | 9.1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — |
| J. Lähteenmäki | D | 90 | 8.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | — |
| B. Källman | F | 59 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Keskinen | D | 46 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3/4 |
| V. Koski | D | 46 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Lod | M | 31 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. Miettinen | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| T. Miettinen | D | 44 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Marhiev | M | 46 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| S. Väänänen | M | 44 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| K. Kairinen | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Ståhl | D | 44 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| O. Valakari | M | 20 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Sinisalo | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Kamara | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Väisänen | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Bergström | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Suhonen | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Jukkola | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Mahuta | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Hrádecký | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win San Marino vs Finland?
- Fipster's AI model predicted San Marino to win against Finland.
- What score did Fipster predict for San Marino vs Finland?
- Fipster predicted a final score of San Marino 2–1 Finland.
- What were the win probabilities for San Marino vs Finland?
- Fipster's model gave San Marino a 45% chance of winning, Finland a 27% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 45% confidence — a low-confidence call.