San Marino vs Belarus

UEFA Nations LeagueMatchweek 5
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Fipster Pick
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San Marino and Belarus face off in a League C fixture where both sides will be eager to improve their standings. With San Marino yet to claim a win and Belarus showing stronger form, this match promises a competitive battle.

FıpsterPredicted Scoreline
Pre-Match
1–1
Half-time0–0
Draw
LOW
Confidence
San Marino 33%Draw 35%Belarus 32%

The context

In this League C campaign, San Marino have struggled, losing all four matches and scoring just once while conceding sixteen. Belarus, meanwhile, have recorded two wins, a draw, and a loss, netting five goals and conceding two. Their previous three meetings saw Belarus dominate with three wins and eleven goals scored without reply.

Match factors

Tactical Advantagehigh

Belarus' set-piece threat via Kirill Pechenin

Pechenin's 3 assists from defense highlight his key role in set-pieces and crossing, pressuring San Marino's defense

Statistical Edgehigh

Artem Kontsevoy's clinical scoring form

Kontsevoy has scored 2 goals in 2 games, showing high efficiency and home dominance for Belarus

Form Momentummedium

Lorenzo Lazzari's recent scoring impact

Lazzari scored in recent away match, providing San Marino's main goal threat despite team's struggles

Tactical Advantagemedium

San Marino's defensive midfield disruption

Meloni's tackling and interceptions exceed league averages, key to disrupting Belarus' midfield flow

Injury Impacthigh

Full squad availability for both teams

No confirmed injuries or absences, so teams can field strongest lineups, maintaining tactical balance

Analysis

Belarus enter this match with a clear statistical edge, having won all prior encounters and boasting a more solid record in the league phase. Key players like Artem Kontsevoy, who has scored two goals in two games, and Kirill Pechenin, with three assists from defence, provide attacking threats. San Marino's main hope lies with Lorenzo Lazzari, their sole goalscorer this season, who has shown better form away from home. Despite Belarus' superiority, San Marino's defensive midfield, led by C. Meloni, could disrupt their flow, making this a potentially close contest.

Key insights

Prediction

The forecast is for a 1-1 draw with a goalless first half, reflecting a balanced match where neither side dominates. While Belarus are more likely to win on paper, the prediction leans towards a shared point, acknowledging San Marino's resilience and the limited data available. Expect four cards in total, indicating a competitive but controlled game.

Key facts

  1. 1.San Marino have lost all 4 matches in this competition, scoring 1 and conceding 16.
  2. 2.Belarus have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss with 5 goals scored and 2 conceded.
  3. 3.Belarus won all 3 previous meetings against San Marino, scoring 11 goals without reply.
  4. 4.The average goals per head-to-head match is 3.7, heavily favouring Belarus.
  5. 5.Artem Kontsevoy has scored 2 goals in 2 games for Belarus this season.
  6. 6.Kirill Pechenin leads Belarus with 3 assists in 4 games, mainly from set-pieces.
  7. 7.Lorenzo Lazzari is San Marino's only goalscorer this season with 1 goal in 3 appearances.
  8. 8.No confirmed injuries for either team, so full squads are expected.

The verdict

This League C fixture between San Marino and Belarus is set to be a tight affair, with both teams eager to claim valuable points. The predicted draw honours the competitive spirit on display, with key players from both sides likely to make their mark. Fans should prepare for a match where every goal and tackle counts.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — San Marino

Lorenzo Lazzari

Lorenzo Lazzari

Midfielder

San Marino

Total Goals
1
League avg: 0.17
3 played
2 starts
159 mins
~53 mins/game

Away — Belarus

Artem Kontsevoy

Artem Kontsevoy

Midfielder

Belarus

Total Goals
2
League avg: 0.17
2 played
2 starts
135 mins
~68 mins/game
Artem Shumanskiy

Artem Shumanskiy

Attacker

Belarus

Total Goals
2
League avg: 0.17
3 played
2 starts
141 mins
~47 mins/game

Prediction generated 27 Oct 2026, 14:34 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166

Prediction Q&A

Who does Fipster predict will win San Marino vs Belarus?
Fipster's AI model predicts a draw between San Marino and Belarus.
What is the predicted score for San Marino vs Belarus?
Fipster predicts a final score of San Marino 1–1 Belarus.
What are the win probabilities for San Marino vs Belarus?
Fipster's model gives San Marino a 33% chance of winning, Belarus a 32% chance, and a 35% chance of a draw.
How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigns this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.