San Marino vs Belarus

UEFA Nations LeagueMatchweek 5
Not Started
VS
Fipster Pick
Away Winmedium

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San Marino face a tough challenge against Belarus in this League C encounter, with the away side expected to leverage their stronger form and previous dominance.

FıpsterPredicted Scoreline
Pre-Match
0–1
Half-time0–1
Belarus Win
MEDIUM
Confidence
San Marino 19%Draw 19%Belarus 62%

The context

In the league phase so far, San Marino have struggled, losing all four matches and scoring just once while conceding 16. Belarus, meanwhile, have a more respectable record with two wins, a draw, and a single loss, netting five goals and conceding only two. Their head-to-head history is also one-sided, with Belarus winning all three previous meetings and scoring 11 goals without reply.

Match factors

Statistical Edgehigh

Belarus' attacking efficiency advantage

Belarus have multiple players with strong goal and assist records, unlike San Marino who have no top scorers or assisters

Tactical Advantagehigh

Kirill Pechenin's set-piece threat

Pechenin's 3 assists in 3 games highlight his key role in creating chances from set pieces and open play

Form Momentumhigh

Artem Kontsevoy's recent scoring form

Kontsevoy scored 2 goals in last 2 games, showing strong momentum to influence this match

Injury Impactmedium

San Marino's lack of attacking threats

San Marino have no players listed as top scorers or assisters, limiting their offensive threat

Analysis

Belarus have demonstrated clear superiority in this competition, boasting multiple players with strong goal and assist records. Artem Kontsevoy leads the charge with two goals in two games, while Kirill Pechenin’s three assists highlight his key role in creating chances, particularly from set pieces. San Marino’s lack of attacking threats and heavy defensive frailties suggest they will struggle to contain Belarus’ organised and efficient attack. The predicted 1-0 scoreline reflects Belarus taking an early lead and maintaining control without needing to overextend.

Prediction

Expect Belarus to take the lead by halftime and hold on for a narrow 1-0 victory. San Marino’s defensive woes and limited offensive output make it unlikely they will find an equaliser, while Belarus’ clinical edge should be enough to secure all three points.

Key facts

  1. 1.San Marino have lost all 4 matches in this competition, scoring 1 and conceding 16.
  2. 2.Belarus have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss with 5 goals scored and 2 conceded.
  3. 3.Belarus won all 3 previous head-to-head matches against San Marino, scoring 11 goals without reply.
  4. 4.The most probable outcome is a 1-0 away win for Belarus, with the lead taken by halftime.
  5. 5.Kirill Pechenin leads Belarus with 3 assists in 3 games, a key creator from set pieces.
  6. 6.Artem Kontsevoy is Belarus’ top scorer with 2 goals in 2 appearances.
  7. 7.San Marino have no players among the top scorers or assisters in this competition.

The verdict

This fixture looks set to continue Belarus’ dominance over San Marino, with the away side’s superior form and tactical strengths likely to deliver a slender but deserved win. San Marino will need to tighten up defensively and find some attacking spark if they are to avoid another heavy defeat in this competition.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — San Marino

No standout top scorers flagged for San Marino

Away — Belarus

Artem Kontsevoy

Artem Kontsevoy

Midfielder

Belarus

Total Goals
2
League avg: 0.17
2 played
2 starts
135 mins
~68 mins/game
Afrid Ebong Ngome

Afrid Ebong Ngome

Midfielder

Belarus

Total Goals
1
League avg: 0.17
3 played
3 starts
249 mins
~83 mins/game
Artem Shumanskiy

Artem Shumanskiy

Attacker

Belarus

Total Goals
1
League avg: 0.17
3 played
2 starts
95 mins
~32 mins/game

Prediction generated 6 Oct 2026, 20:45 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163

Prediction Q&A

Who does Fipster predict will win San Marino vs Belarus?
Fipster's AI model predicts Belarus to win against San Marino.
What is the predicted score for San Marino vs Belarus?
Fipster predicts a final score of San Marino 0–1 Belarus.
What are the win probabilities for San Marino vs Belarus?
Fipster's model gives San Marino a 19% chance of winning, Belarus a 62% chance, and a 19% chance of a draw.
How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigns this prediction 62% confidence — a medium-confidence call.