San Marino vs Albania
Albania strolls to a comfortable win
A dominant display from Albania sees them cruise past San Marino with a 3-0 victory.
Albania put on a clinical performance in the UEFA Nations League, with goals from A. Mehmeti and M. Uzuni in the first half setting the tone before R. Manaj sealed the deal after the break. The 3-0 scoreline was a clear statement, defying Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a narrow home win for San Marino. Instead, Albania's commanding display left no doubt about the outcome.
Outcome probability
San Marino and Albania face off in a League C match where the home side is tipped to pull off a narrow win. Despite Albania's stronger recent results, the probabilities suggest a close contest with San Marino just edging it.
Match factors
Albania's attacking efficiency and defensive solidity
Albania scored 2 goals and kept a clean sheet in their last home match, showing strong form
Albania's experienced defenders vs San Marino's attack
Albania's defenders have higher passing and defensive stats, likely to stifle San Marino's limited attack
San Marino struggling to score and concede heavily
San Marino failed to score and conceded 7 goals in their last home match, indicating poor form
No injury concerns for either team
Both teams have no confirmed injuries or doubtful players, so full squads expected
The context
In this League C round, San Marino have played one match, suffering a heavy 0-7 defeat to Finland, leaving them with no points and a tough task ahead. Albania, meanwhile, have yet to play a match in this competition but come off a 2-0 home win against Belarus in their recent outing, positioning them second in the standings.
Key insights
- E
E. Muçi
Albania
Top performer with a goal and high shot involvement, likely focal point of Albania's attack.
UEFA Nations League 26/278.2 rating and 3 shots in last match
- K
K. Asllani
Albania
Key in midfield creativity and attack, scored a penalty and provided 52 passes in last match.
UEFA Nations League 26/27Penalty scored and 52 passes in last match
- E
E. Hysaj
Albania
Strong defensive contribution with high passing volume and no cards, key in build-up play.
UEFA Nations League 26/2754 passes and 3 tackles in last match
Analysis
Albania's recent form shows attacking efficiency and defensive solidity, with key players like E. Muçi and K. Asllani contributing significantly in attack and midfield. Their defenders, including E. Hysaj and A. Ismajli, have demonstrated strong passing and defensive stats, likely to challenge San Marino's attack. However, San Marino's struggle to score and their heavy defeat in the last match suggest they are underdogs. Yet, the prediction leans slightly towards a home win, reflecting a close and competitive match where San Marino might just find a way to upset the odds.
Key facts
- 1.San Marino lost 0-7 at home to Finland in their only match in this competition.
- 2.Albania won 2-0 at home against Belarus in their recent match.
- 3.San Marino are currently 4th in the competition with 0 points from 1 game.
- 4.Albania are 2nd in the competition but have yet to play a match in this season's League C.
- 5.The predicted full-time scoreline is 2-1 in favour of San Marino.
- 6.Total cards expected in the match are around four, indicating moderate discipline issues.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a 2-1 victory for San Marino. The model shows a slight edge for the home side with a 0.33 probability, narrowly ahead of draws and away wins. The expected total cards are around four, indicating a moderately physical game. While the confidence in this prediction is low due to limited match history and close probabilities, the forecast favours San Marino to clinch a narrow win.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — San Marino
No standout best passers flagged for San Marino
Away — Albania
The verdict
This League C fixture promises a tight contest with San Marino predicted to sneak a 2-1 win over Albania. Despite Albania's stronger form and defensive capabilities, the home side's determination could see them claim a memorable victory. Expect a competitive match with moderate disciplinary action and a few goals to keep fans entertained.
Prediction generated 26 Sep 2026, 20:45 UTC · Fipster Model v1.162
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
Mehmeti
Assist: Manaj
Uzuni
Asllani
Yellow Card
Nanni
Yellow Card
Djimsiti
Lazzari
Cevoli
Capicchioni
Manaj
Muçi
Manaj
Pancotti
Shehu
Capicchioni
Mehmeti
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Switzerland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 |  Albania | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 |  Belarus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 |  Italy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Match Statistics
San Marino
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2G. BenvenutiD
- 3S. GiocondiD
- 5M. CevoliD
- 6D. RossiD
- 7G. CapicchioniF
- 8L. CapicchioniM
- 9N. NanniF
- 19S. PancottiM
- 21L. LazzariM
- 22M. MularoniM
Substitutes
- 11N. GiacopettiF
- 12A. TosiD
- 13P. AmiciG
- 15M. PasoliniD
- 20P. MarinucciD
- 23M. De AngelisG
Albania
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3M. MitajD
- 6B. DjimsitiD
- 7R. ManajF
- 8K. AsllaniM
- 9A. MehmetiM
- 10E. MuçiM
- 11M. UzuniM
- 12A. SherriG
- 16J. ShehuM
- 18A. IsmajliD
Substitutes
- 1E. BerishaG
- 4E. HysajD
- 5K. QefalijaM
- 13L. HasaM
- 14C. ShpendiF
- 15M. KumbullaD
- 17T. SeferiF
- 19M. DakuF
- 20Y. RamadaniM
- 21A. HoxhaF
- 22S. PiliosD
- 23M. DajsinaniG
San Marino
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Rossi | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Giacopetti | F | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| G. Capicchioni | F | 78 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| M. Cevoli | D | 60 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Benvenuti | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Pancotti | M | 74 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Mularoni | M | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| L. Capicchioni | M | 60 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| N. Nanni | F | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| S. Giocondi | D | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| L. Lazzari | M | 60 | 5.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| P. Marinucci | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. De Angelis | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Tosi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Amici | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Pasolini | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Albania
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Manaj | F | 66 | 8.5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1/3 |
| M. Uzuni | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| A. Mehmeti | M | 80 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/4 |
| A. Ismajli | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Mitaj | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| B. Djimsiti | D | 46 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Kumbulla | D | 44 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Asllani | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| J. Shehu | M | 74 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| A. Sherri | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Qefalija | M | 16 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| L. Hasa | M | 10 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| E. Muçi | M | 66 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| A. Hoxha | F | 24 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| C. Shpendi | F | 24 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Dajsinani | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Daku | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Ramadani | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Pilios | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Berisha | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Seferi | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Hysaj | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win San Marino vs Albania?
- Fipster's AI model predicted San Marino to win against Albania.
- What score did Fipster predict for San Marino vs Albania?
- Fipster predicted a final score of San Marino 2–1 Albania.
- What were the win probabilities for San Marino vs Albania?
- Fipster's model gave San Marino a 35% chance of winning, Albania a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.