San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps
Match recap
San Jose Earthquakes and Vancouver Whitecaps drew 1–1 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Judd scored for San Jose Earthquakes; Berhalter replied for Vancouver Whitecaps. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.02 for San Jose Earthquakes versus 2.23 for Vancouver Whitecaps. San Jose Earthquakes sit 4th in the Major League Soccer table while Vancouver Whitecaps are 1st.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-3 Vancouver Whitecaps win
Actual
1–1
Outcome probability
The upcoming MLS regular season clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Vancouver Whitecaps promises to be a cracker, with both sides boasting strong attacking credentials and recent scoring form.
Match factors
San Jose's attacking trio in form
Preston Judd and Ousseni Bouda lead San Jose's attack with strong recent scoring, pressuring Vancouver's defense
Vancouver's top scorer Brian White key threat
Brian White's 17 goals this season make him Vancouver's main scoring outlet, challenging San Jose's defense
San Jose's creative midfielders provide assists
Beau Leroux and Nikolas Tsakiris combine for 14 assists, boosting San Jose's chance creation
Vancouver missing Thomas Müller reduces creative options
Müller is out injured, removing a key assist provider and creative midfielder from Vancouver's lineup
Both teams on positive scoring streaks
Both San Jose and Vancouver have scored in their last 5 matches, indicating attacking momentum
The context
San Jose Earthquakes currently sit 4th in the league with 46 points from 28 games, while Vancouver Whitecaps lead the table with 51 points. Historically, these teams have met 20 times, with San Jose winning 9, Vancouver 6, and 5 draws. The average goals per match in their head-to-head is a lively 2.9.
Key insights
Preston Judd
San Jose Earthquakes
Top scorer for San Jose with 15 goals, including 4 in the last 5 games, making him a constant threat.
Major League Soccer 26/2715 goals in 26 apps, 0.58 goals/game
Brian White
Vancouver Whitecaps
Leading scorer for Vancouver with 17 goals, maintaining strong recent form with 3 goals in last 5 games.
Major League Soccer 26/2717 goals in 26 apps, 0.65 goals/game
Beau Leroux
San Jose Earthquakes
Creative force with 7 assists this season, providing key chances and recent form with 4 assists in last 5 games.
Major League Soccer 26/277 assists in 27 apps, 0.26 assists/game
Sebastian Berhalter
Vancouver Whitecaps
Important midfielder contributing both goals and assists, with 6 goals and 4 assists this season.
Major League Soccer 26/276 goals and 4 assists in 14 apps
Analysis
Vancouver Whitecaps hold a statistical edge with a superior goal difference and the league's top scorer, Brian White, who has netted 17 times this season. San Jose's Preston Judd is no slouch either, with 15 goals and recent strong form. Both teams have been on positive scoring streaks, but Vancouver's attacking firepower and creative midfielders give them the upper hand. The absence of Vancouver's Thomas Müller, a key creative player, might slightly blunt their creativity, but their overall quality remains high.
Key facts
- 1.Vancouver Whitecaps lead the league with 51 points from 28 games.
- 2.San Jose Earthquakes are 4th with 46 points from 28 games.
- 3.Brian White is Vancouver's top scorer with 17 goals this season.
- 4.Preston Judd leads San Jose with 15 goals and strong recent form.
- 5.Head-to-head matches average 2.9 goals per game.
- 6.San Jose has won 9 of 20 meetings; Vancouver has won 6.
- 7.Halftime score predicted as 1-1, fulltime 2-3 in favour of Vancouver.
- 8.Total cards expected around 3, indicating a competitive match.
Prediction
We foresee a thrilling encounter ending 3-2 in favour of Vancouver Whitecaps. The halftime score is expected to be 1-1, reflecting a balanced start before Vancouver pulls ahead in the second half. The match should feature around three cards, indicating a competitive but fair contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — San Jose Earthquakes
Away — Vancouver Whitecaps
The verdict
Expect an entertaining MLS fixture with plenty of goals and attacking intent from both sides. Vancouver's clinical edge and consistent scoring should see them narrowly overcome San Jose in what promises to be a memorable match.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 09:50 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Judd
Assist: Marie
Vieira
Yellow Card
Kikanovic
Yellow Card
Daniel
Yellow Card
Sabaly
Berhalter
Yellow Card
Marie
Badwal
Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez
Bouda
Berhalter
Skahan
Yellow Card
Ricketts
Judd
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +15 | 51 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 48 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 47 |
Match Statistics
San Jose Earthquakes
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2J. RickettsM
- 3P. MarieM
- 4D. RomneyD
- 5D. MunieD
- 7O. BoudaM
- 14R. VieiraM
- 18R. RobertsD
- 19P. JuddF
- 28B. KikanovicD
- 34Beau LerouxM
- 42DanielG
Substitutes
- 6I. HarkesM
- 16J. SkahanM
- 17Jack JasinskiD
- 20N. FernandezM
- 21N. BuckM
- 22N. CrockfordG
- 25M. FlorianiD
- 32N. AdimabuaF
- 40J. GónzalezM
Vancouver Whitecaps
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Y. TakaokaG
- 2M. LabordaD
- 7C. SabalyM
- 14Bruno Steven Caicedo QuiñonezM
- 16S. BerhalterM
- 18É. OcampoD
- 20A. CubasM
- 24B. WhiteF
- 28T. JohnsonD
- 33T. BlackmonD
- 59J. BadwalM
Substitutes
- 4R. VeselinovićD
- 8O. LarrazM
- 11E. SabbiF
- 17K. CabreraF
- 19R. ElloumiF
- 22A. JacksonM
- 26J. NgandoM
- 29M. GherasimencovD
- 32I. BoehmerG
San Jose Earthquakes
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Judd | F | 89 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 1/2 |
| Daniel | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dave Romney | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Kikanović | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jamar Ricketts | M | 89 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| Paul Marie | M | 62 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Beau Leroux | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Daniel Munie | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ronaldo Vieira(C) | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Ousseni Bouda | M | 72 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Reid Roberts | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Nate Crockford | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Gonzalez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nick Fernandez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max Floriani | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Jasinski | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noel Buck | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nonso Adimabua | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ian Harkes | M | 28 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Skahan | M | 18 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Vancouver Whitecaps
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Berhalter | M | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Andrés Cubas | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tristan Blackmon | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Yohei Takaoka | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tate Johnson | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Cheick Tidiane Sabaly | M | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Édier Ocampo | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Brian White(C) | F | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Jeevan Badwal | M | 63 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Bruno Quiñonez | M | 70 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/3 |
| Mathías Laborda | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Rayan Elloumi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mihail Gherasimencov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isaac Boehmer | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oliver Larraz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jean-Claude Ngando | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ranko Veselinović | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kenji Cabrera | F | 27 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Aziel Jackson | M | 20 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Emmanuel Sabbi | F | 45 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/4 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Vancouver Whitecaps to win against San Jose Earthquakes.
- What score did Fipster predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
- Fipster predicted a final score of San Jose Earthquakes 2–3 Vancouver Whitecaps.
- What were the win probabilities for San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
- Fipster's model gave San Jose Earthquakes a 16% chance of winning, Vancouver Whitecaps a 68% chance, and a 16% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 68% confidence — a high-confidence call.