San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City

Major League SoccerMatchweek 19

San Jose Earthquakes

Full Time
1–3
HT: 0–2

St. Louis City

Ref: Jon Freemon, USAPayPal Park, San Jose, California · 18,000 cap
Fipster Pick
Away WinmediumHit
Full-time story

St. Louis City storms past San Jose

Becher's brace and early strikes set the tone for a commanding away win.

St. Louis City took control early with D. Edelman opening the scoring in the 8th minute, followed by S. Becher doubling the lead before half-time. Although Beau Leroux pulled one back for San Jose just after the break, Becher sealed the victory with his second goal in the 55th minute, securing a 3-1 win on the road. Fipster's prediction of an away win was on point, though the margin was a bit more comfortable than forecast.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Underconfident✓ Hit
Fipster's Pick✓
1–2
HT 1–2
Final Result
1–3
HT 0–2
86%Excellent
A
✓Outcome✗Exact Score✓BTTS✓Over/Under 2.5✗Halftime
Fipster's self review16 Aug 2026

Outcome probability

San Jose Earthquakes 26%Draw 26%St. Louis City 48%

As the regular season rolls on, San Jose Earthquakes face off against St. Louis City in what promises to be a tightly contested match. Both teams have shown their scoring capabilities recently, setting the stage for an engaging encounter.

Match factors

Tactical Advantagehigh

San Jose's attacking trio in form

Judd and Werner lead scoring with strong recent form, likely focal points in attack against St. Louis defense.

Tactical Advantagehigh

St. Louis City's Hartel key offensive threat

Hartel leads St. Louis scoring and assists, pivotal in their attack and likely to challenge San Jose's defense.

Statistical Edgemedium

San Jose's creative midfield edge

Tsakiris provides more assists and creative passes than league average, enhancing San Jose's chance creation.

Form Momentummedium

Both teams scoring consistently recently

Both teams have positive scoring streaks, indicating an open game with multiple goal threats.

Injury Impacthigh

No confirmed injuries affecting key players

Both teams have full availability, so predicted lineups likely to feature top scorers and assisters.

The context

San Jose Earthquakes currently sit third in their league with 33 points from 17 games, boasting a strong record of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses. Meanwhile, St. Louis City are seventh with 25 points, having won 7, drawn 4, and lost 6. Historically, St. Louis City have had the upper hand in their head-to-head clashes, winning six of eight meetings against San Jose.

Analysis

The prediction leans towards an away win for St. Louis City, with a consistent halftime and fulltime scoreline of 2-1 in their favour. San Jose's attacking duo, P. Judd and T. Werner, have been in fine form, combining for a significant portion of their goals this season. Judd, in particular, has been prolific away from home, netting five goals in his last ten away appearances. On the other side, St. Louis City's M. Hartel leads their scoring charts and has been a constant threat, scoring three goals in his last five games. Both teams have been scoring regularly, suggesting an open game with multiple goal threats. The midfield creativity of San Jose's N. Tsakiris adds an extra dimension, but St. Louis City's resilience and clinical finishing are expected to tip the balance.

Key facts

  1. 1.San Jose Earthquakes are 3rd in the league with 33 points from 17 games (W10 D3 L4).
  2. 2.St. Louis City are 7th with 25 points from 17 games (W7 D4 L6).
  3. 3.St. Louis City have won 6 of 8 head-to-head matches against San Jose Earthquakes.
  4. 4.P. Judd leads San Jose scoring with 11 goals this season, including 5 in last 10 away games.
  5. 5.M. Hartel is St. Louis City's top scorer with 5 goals, 3 in the last 5 games.
  6. 6.N. Tsakiris provides creative spark with 4 assists in 11 games for San Jose.
  7. 7.The predicted fulltime score is 2-1 in favour of St. Louis City.
  8. 8.The match is expected to feature around 4 cards, indicating a competitive game.

Prediction

Expect St. Louis City to take an early lead and maintain their advantage, finishing the match 2-1 against San Jose Earthquakes. The game is likely to see around four cards, reflecting a competitive but fair contest.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — San Jose Earthquakes

P. Judd

P. Judd

Attacker

San Jose Earthquakes

Total Goals
11
League avg: 0.94
16 played
15 starts
1298 mins
~81 mins/game
T. Werner

T. Werner

Attacker

San Jose Earthquakes

Total Goals
4
League avg: 0.94
9 played
6 starts
649 mins
~72 mins/game

Away — St. Louis City

M. Hartel

M. Hartel

Attacker

St. Louis City

Total Goals
5
League avg: 0.94
15 played
15 starts
1368 mins
~91 mins/game

The verdict

With both sides boasting key players in form and a history of competitive encounters, this match should provide plenty of entertainment. St. Louis City's ability to edge out San Jose once again looks set to continue, but the Earthquakes will surely push hard to turn the tide.

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