San Jose Earthquakes vs Seattle Sounders
Match recap
Seattle Sounders beat San Jose Earthquakes 1–0 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Rothrock scored for Seattle Sounders. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.67 for San Jose Earthquakes versus 0.51 for Seattle Sounders. San Jose Earthquakes sit 4th in the Major League Soccer table while Seattle Sounders are 7th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-3 Seattle Sounders win
Actual
0–1
Outcome probability
The upcoming MLS regular season fixture between San Jose Earthquakes and Seattle Sounders promises an exciting contest, with both sides boasting key attacking talents. Fans can expect a match filled with chances and tactical battles.
Match factors
San Jose's attacking trio in form
Preston Judd and Timo Werner lead San Jose's scoring with strong recent form, supported by creative midfielders Tsakiris and Leroux
Seattle's creative midfield edge
Albert Rusnák leads Seattle with 11 assists, providing key chances for forwards like Rothrock and Joveljić
Judd's prolific scoring rate
Judd's 15 goals in 25 games far exceed league average for attackers, making him a primary scoring threat
Tsakiris and Leroux's recent assist surge
Both have 6 assists combined in last 5 games, indicating strong creative form for San Jose
San Jose missing key defenders
Confirmed outs include defenders Jones and Roberts, potentially weakening defensive stability
The context
San Jose Earthquakes currently sit 4th in their league with a solid points tally and a positive goal difference, while Seattle Sounders are placed 7th, trailing slightly but still competitive. Historically, their head-to-head meetings have been fairly balanced, with Seattle holding a slight edge in wins.
Key insights
Preston Judd
San Jose Earthquakes
Judd’s 15 goals this season make him a formidable threat, especially with 4 goals in his last 5 games.
Major League Soccer 26/2715 goals in 25 appearances, 0.6 avg per game
Albert Rusnák
Seattle Sounders
Rusnák’s 11 assists and recent form with 4 assists in last 5 games provide Seattle with creative edge.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 assists in 26 appearances, 0.42 avg per game
Paul Rothrock
Seattle Sounders
Rothrock’s pace and positioning make him a key attacking outlet, contributing a goal in this fixture.
Major League Soccer 26/275 goals in 22 appearances, 0.23 avg per game
Niko Tsakiris
San Jose Earthquakes
Tsakiris’ 7 assists and recent form with 2 assists in last 5 games highlight his playmaking role.
Major League Soccer 26/277 assists in 19 appearances, 0.37 avg per game
Analysis
Seattle Sounders have shown creative spark through Albert Rusnák, their top assister with 11 assists this season, providing crucial service to forwards like Paul Rothrock. Meanwhile, San Jose's attacking threat is spearheaded by Preston Judd, who has netted 15 goals this season and is in fine form. The match is likely to be a high-scoring affair given the attacking prowess on display and the defensive absences San Jose face, which could be exploited by Seattle's pacey forwards.
Key facts
- 1.San Jose Earthquakes are 4th in the league with 46 points from 28 games.
- 2.Seattle Sounders are 7th with 41 points from 28 games.
- 3.Preston Judd leads San Jose with 15 goals this season.
- 4.Albert Rusnák tops Seattle's assists chart with 11 assists.
- 5.Head-to-head record: Seattle has 8 wins, San Jose 5, with 7 draws.
- 6.Average goals per head-to-head match is 3.2.
- 7.San Jose has a better goal difference by 7 goals this season.
- 8.Paul Rothrock scored in this fixture for Seattle Sounders.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards an away win for Seattle Sounders with a 3-2 scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 2-1 in favour of the visitors, reflecting a closely fought first half. Despite San Jose's home advantage and strong attacking players, Seattle's creative midfield and clinical finishing should see them edge this encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — San Jose Earthquakes
Away — Seattle Sounders
The verdict
In summary, expect a thrilling match with plenty of goals and attacking intent from both sides. Seattle Sounders' ability to capitalise on San Jose's defensive vulnerabilities and their own creative strengths should secure them a narrow victory in this MLS regular season fixture.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 18:59 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Tolo
Yellow Card
Rothrock
Assist: Ferreira
Ferreira
Petković
Yellow Card
Musovski
Yellow Card
Jones
Kingston
Yellow Card
Minoungou
Musovski
Petković
Bouda
Leroux
Kingston
Tsakiris
Yellow Card
Goal cancelled
Kikanovic
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 48 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 47 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +15 | 46 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
Match Statistics
San Jose Earthquakes
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5D. MunieD
- 7O. BoudaM
- 10N. TsakirisM
- 11T. WernerM
- 14R. VieiraM
- 18R. RobertsD
- 19P. JuddF
- 24D. JonesD
- 28B. KikanovicD
- 34Beau LerouxM
- 42DanielG
Substitutes
- 2J. RickettsD
- 3P. MarieD
- 4D. RomneyD
- 6I. HarkesM
- 16J. SkahanM
- 20N. FernandezM
- 36E. EdwardsG
- 40J. GónzalezM
- 87Vítor CostaD
Seattle Sounders
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5N. ToloD
- 9J. FerreiraM
- 14P. RothrockM
- 19D. MusovskiF
- 25J. RagenD
- 26A. ThomasG
- 33C. BakerD
- 35A. LopezD
- 44N. PetkovićM
- 45P. KingstonM
- 93G. MinoungouM
Substitutes
- 7C. RoldanM
- 11A. RusnákM
- 16A. RoldanD
- 17P. ArriolaF
- 24S. FreiG
- 37S. BrunellM
- 85K. Kossa-RienziM
- 90S. GomezM
- 95O. De RosarioF
San Jose Earthquakes
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niko Tsakiris | M | 99 | 8.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Beau Leroux | M | 77 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Reid Roberts | D | 99 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| DeJuan Jones | D | 57 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Timo Werner | M | 99 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1/3 |
| Ronaldo Vieira(C) | M | 99 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Daniel Munie | D | 99 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Preston Judd | F | 99 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel | G | 99 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Kikanović | D | 91 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Ousseni Bouda | M | 77 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jonathan Gonzalez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Earl Edwards Jr. | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ian Harkes | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jamar Ricketts | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dave Romney | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitor Costa | D | 42 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Nick Fernandez | M | 22 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Marie | D | 8 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Skahan | M | 22 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
Seattle Sounders
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Thomas | G | 99 | 9.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antino Lopez | D | 99 | 8.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Rothrock | M | 99 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/3 |
| Peter Kingston | M | 86 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Nouhou Tolo(C) | D | 99 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Jackson Ragen | D | 99 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Baker | D | 99 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jesús Ferreira | M | 45 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| Nikola Petković | M | 65 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Daniel Musovski | F | 65 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Georgi Minoungou | M | 65 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/5 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Stefan Frei | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Gomez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Arriola | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kalani Kossa-Rienzi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Roldán | D | 34 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Cristian Roldán | M | 34 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Osaze De Rosario | F | 34 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Snyder Brunell | M | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Albert Rusnák | M | 54 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win San Jose Earthquakes vs Seattle Sounders?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Seattle Sounders to win against San Jose Earthquakes.
- What score did Fipster predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Seattle Sounders?
- Fipster predicted a final score of San Jose Earthquakes 2–3 Seattle Sounders.
- What were the win probabilities for San Jose Earthquakes vs Seattle Sounders?
- Fipster's model gave San Jose Earthquakes a 30% chance of winning, Seattle Sounders a 40% chance, and a 30% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 40% confidence — a low-confidence call.