San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego
Match recap
San Jose Earthquakes beat San Diego 3–0 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Tsakiris, Tsakiris, and Judd scored for San Jose Earthquakes. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 3.76 for San Jose Earthquakes versus 0.47 for San Diego. San Jose Earthquakes sit 4th in the Major League Soccer table while San Diego are 12th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-2 San Jose Earthquakes win
Actual
3–0
Outcome probability
The upcoming clash between San Jose Earthquakes and San Diego promises an exciting spectacle, with both teams boasting key attacking talents. San Jose's strong form and goal-scoring ability set the stage for a high-scoring encounter.
Match factors
San Jose's attacking midfield trio in strong form
Tsakiris and Leroux combine creativity and assists, feeding Judd who is in prolific scoring form
Preston Judd's superior goal-scoring rate
Judd's 15 goals in 26 games (0.58 per game) surpass league average attacker rate of 0.30
Anders Dreyer's recent goal and assist surge
Dreyer has 4 goals and 2 assists in last 5 matches, boosting San Diego's attack
San Jose missing key midfielders out injured
Confirmed outs include Skahan and Gonzalez, reducing midfield depth and creativity
San Diego's Dreyer and Ingvartsen form a potent attacking duo
Dreyer's 12 assists and 11 goals complement Ingvartsen's 12 goals, posing threat to San Jose defense
The context
San Jose Earthquakes currently sit 4th in their league, demonstrating stronger form compared to San Diego, who are 12th. The teams have a balanced head-to-head record, each winning twice in their four meetings, adding an extra edge to this regular season fixture.
Key insights
Preston Judd
San Jose Earthquakes
Judd's prolific scoring with 15 goals this season makes him the focal point of San Jose's attack, especially given his recent form.
Major League Soccer 26/2715 goals in 26 apps, 0.58 goals/game
N. Tsakiris
San Jose Earthquakes
Tsakiris provides vital creativity and assists, with 7 assists in 19 games, feeding the forwards effectively.
Major League Soccer 26/277 assists in 19 apps, 0.37 assists/game
Beau Leroux
San Jose Earthquakes
Leroux's recent form with 4 assists in last 5 games boosts San Jose's midfield creativity and attacking options.
Major League Soccer 26/277 assists in 27 apps, 0.26 assists/game
Anders Laustrup Dreyer
San Diego
Dreyer's combined 11 goals and 12 assists make him a key threat for San Diego, capable of turning the tide.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals and 12 assists in 27 apps
Analysis
San Jose's attacking midfield duo, N. Tsakiris and Beau Leroux, have been instrumental this season, combining creativity and assists to feed top scorer Preston Judd, who boasts an impressive 15 goals. San Diego's Anders Laustrup Dreyer and Marcus Højriis Ingvartsen form a potent attacking partnership, with Dreyer contributing 11 goals and 12 assists. Despite San Diego's threat, San Jose's superior goal difference and home advantage give them the upper hand.
Key facts
- 1.San Jose Earthquakes rank 4th with 46 points from 28 games, outperforming San Diego who are 12th with 32 points.
- 2.San Jose have a goal difference of +10 compared to San Diego's -3 this season.
- 3.In four head-to-head meetings, both teams have won twice, indicating a balanced rivalry.
- 4.Preston Judd leads San Jose with 15 goals in 26 appearances, averaging 0.58 goals per game.
- 5.N. Tsakiris is San Jose's top assister with 7 assists in 19 games, providing key creativity.
- 6.Anders Laustrup Dreyer has 11 goals and 12 assists for San Diego, forming a major attacking threat.
- 7.San Jose's midfield creativity is slightly hampered by injuries to key players Skahan and Gonzalez.
Prediction
We predict a thrilling 3-2 victory for San Jose Earthquakes. Their attacking trio's form and goal-scoring consistency should see them edge out San Diego in a closely contested match, with both sides finding the net multiple times.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — San Jose Earthquakes
Away — San Diego
The verdict
Expect an entertaining match with plenty of goals and attacking flair. San Jose's ability to capitalise on their chances and maintain defensive resilience will be key to securing the win against a determined San Diego side.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 23:53 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Bouda
Yellow Card
Tsakiris
Assist: Judd
Duah
Red Card
Card upgrade
Tsakiris
Penalty
Vazquez
Judd
Assist: Leroux
Søe
Yellow Card
Morgan
Skahan
Ingvartsen
Tverskov
Yellow Card
Ricketts
Leroux
Bouda
Gónzalez
Yellow Card
Valakari
Verhoeven
Vieira
Tsakiris
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 48 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 47 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -3 | 34 |
| 13 |  Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 34 |
Match Statistics
San Jose Earthquakes
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2J. RickettsD
- 5D. MunieD
- 7O. BoudaM
- 10N. TsakirisM
- 14R. VieiraM
- 16J. SkahanM
- 18R. RobertsD
- 19P. JuddF
- 28B. KikanovicD
- 34Beau LerouxM
- 42DanielG
Substitutes
- 3P. MarieD
- 4D. RomneyD
- 6I. HarkesM
- 17Jack JasinskiD
- 20N. FernandezM
- 21N. BuckM
- 25M. FlorianiD
- 36E. EdwardsG
- 40J. GónzalezM
San Diego
4-3-3Starting XI
- 6J. TverskovM
- 7M. IngvartsenF
- 8O. ValakariM
- 9L. MorganF
- 10A. DreyerF
- 17O. SøeD
- 18D. FerreeG
- 19D. VazquezM
- 26M. DuahD
- 27L. BombinoD
- 33O. VerhoevenD
Substitutes
- 1C. dos SantosG
- 2W. KumadoD
- 14B. B. ZambleF
- 15P. SomaM
- 20A. GodoyM
- 21B. DukeM
- 22W. EisnerD
- 29A. SaidiF
- 77A. MightenF
San Jose Earthquakes
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niko Tsakiris | M | 90 | 10.0 | 2 | — | 5 | 5 | 7 | 1/3 |
| Benjamin Kikanović | D | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Preston Judd | F | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Beau Leroux | M | 70 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Daniel Munie | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Daniel | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Reid Roberts | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ronaldo Vieira(C) | M | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Jamar Ricketts | D | 69 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Jack Skahan | M | 57 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Ousseni Bouda | M | 70 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Noel Buck | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max Floriani | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Jasinski | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Earl Edwards Jr. | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Marie | D | 33 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dave Romney | D | 21 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Ian Harkes | M | 9 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Nick Fernandez | M | 20 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Jonathan Gonzalez | M | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
San Diego
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duran Ferree | G | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anders Dreyer | F | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | F | 57 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Onni Valakari | M | 78 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Vazquez | M | 40 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jeppe Tverskov(C) | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Osvald Soe | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oscar Verhoeven | D | 78 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lewis Morgan | F | 57 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Bombino | D | 90 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Manu Duah | D | 32 | 4.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Bryce Duke | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CJ dos Santos | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anisse Saidi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Soma | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bryan Zamblé | F | 33 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Aníbal Godoy | M | 33 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Wilson Eisner | D | 50 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Willy Kumado | D | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Alex Mighten | F | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego?
- Fipster's AI model predicted San Jose Earthquakes to win against San Diego.
- What score did Fipster predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego?
- Fipster predicted a final score of San Jose Earthquakes 3–2 San Diego.
- What were the win probabilities for San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego?
- Fipster's model gave San Jose Earthquakes a 95% chance of winning, San Diego a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.