San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy
Galaxy and Earthquakes share spoils in stalemate
A late penalty miss keeps the points evenly split in a tight MLS clash.
Los Angeles Galaxy took an early lead through J. Paintsil's strike at 13 minutes, but San Jose Earthquakes fought back after the break with R. Roberts leveling the score at 62 minutes. Despite a last-gasp penalty opportunity for T. Werner in stoppage time, San Jose couldn't find a winner, resulting in a 1-1 draw that defied Fipster's prediction of a home win.
Analysis
The upcoming clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles Galaxy promises an exciting contest, with both sides eager to secure valuable points in the regular season. Expect a match filled with attacking intent and a few twists along the way.
San Jose Earthquakes currently sit 2nd in the league with 32 points from 15 games, showcasing strong form and a potent attack. In contrast, Los Angeles Galaxy are 9th with 20 points from 16 games, struggling to find consistency, especially away from home. This sets the stage for a fascinating battle between a confident home side and a visiting team looking to upset the odds.
San Jose's attacking line, led by Preston Judd, has been in fine fettle, with Judd boasting multiple recent goals and a strong shooting presence. Meanwhile, Los Angeles Galaxy rely heavily on their captain Marco Reus, who is both their top scorer and assist provider. However, Galaxy's defence may be vulnerable, particularly with the doubtful status of defender Harbor Miller, potentially exposing them to San Jose's incisive forwards. San Jose's midfield creativity will be slightly hampered by the confirmed absence of Niko Tsakiris, but their overall form and goal difference advantage (+19 compared to Galaxy's -3) suggest they have the edge.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a home win for San Jose Earthquakes with a final scoreline of 3-2. The halftime score is expected to be 2-1, indicating an open and competitive first half. The match is also likely to see around four cards, reflecting a spirited encounter. Confidence in this outcome stands at a healthy 66%, supported by San Jose's superior points per game and goal difference.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
San Jose missing key midfielder Niko Tsakiris
Tsakiris is confirmed out with groin injury, reducing San Jose's midfield creativity and assist potential
San Jose's attacking form vs LA Galaxy's defensive vulnerabilities
San Jose's forwards have strong recent scoring form against a Galaxy defense conceding frequently
Marco Reus leads LA Galaxy's attack with goal and assist threat
Reus is LA Galaxy's top scorer and assist provider, key to their offensive chances
San Jose's home scoring streak contrasts with Galaxy's inconsistent away form
San Jose scores regularly at home, while Galaxy's away scoring is less consistent
Doubtful status of LA Galaxy defender Harbor Miller may weaken defense
Miller's uncertain availability could expose Galaxy's defense to San Jose's attackers
Key Takeaways
In summary, San Jose Earthquakes appear poised to continue their strong season with a narrow victory over Los Angeles Galaxy. While Galaxy will provide resistance, especially through Marco Reus, the home side's attacking form and tactical advantages should see them edge this entertaining fixture.
- San Jose Earthquakes rank 2nd with 32 points from 15 games, outperforming Los Angeles Galaxy who are 9th with 20 points from 16 games.
- San Jose Earthquakes have a goal difference of +19, significantly better than Los Angeles Galaxy's -3.
- San Jose averages 2.13 points per game, compared to Los Angeles Galaxy's 1.25 points per game.
- Preston Judd is a consistent scorer for San Jose with multiple recent goals including braces.
- Marco Reus leads Los Angeles Galaxy in goals and assists, being their key offensive threat.
- San Jose's Niko Tsakiris is out with a groin injury, reducing midfield creativity.
- Los Angeles Galaxy defender Harbor Miller is doubtful, potentially weakening their defence.
- The predicted total number of cards in the match is four, indicating a competitive game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — San Jose Earthquakes
Away — Los Angeles Galaxy
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Paintsil
Assist: Reus
Gónzalez
Sanabria
Yellow Card
Aude
Yellow Card
Aude
Taylor
Roberts
Fernandez
Skahan
Leroux
Yellow Card
Harkes
Yellow Card
Sanabria
Werner
Missed Penalty · Assist: Werner
Ricketts
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | +21 | 34 |
| 2 |  Los Angeles FC | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | +16 | 34 |
| 3 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | +13 | 33 |
| 4 |  Houston Dynamo | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | +1 | 29 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | +3 | 21 |
| 13 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -5 | 21 |
| 14 |  Austin | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -14 | 17 |
Match Statistics
San Jose Earthquakes
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1A. GunnG
- 2J. RickettsD
- 5D. MunieD
- 7O. BoudaF
- 11T. WernerM
- 16J. SkahanM
- 18R. RobertsD
- 20N. FernandezM
- 28B. KikanovicD
- 34Beau LerouxM
- 40J. GónzalezM
Substitutes
- 3P. MarieD
- 4D. RomneyD
- 6I. HarkesM
- 17Jack JasinskiD
- 21N. BuckM
- 25M. FlorianiD
- 31Francesco MontaliG
- 79D. JohnsonF
- 87Vítor CostaD
Los Angeles Galaxy
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2M. YamaneD
- 3J. AudeD
- 4M. YoshidaD
- 6E. CerrilloM
- 8L. SanabriaM
- 12J. MarcinkowskiG
- 15J. HaakD
- 18M. ReusF
- 21R. TaylorM
- 26Harbor MillerM
- 28J. PaintsilF
Substitutes
- 1N. MićovićG
- 14J. NelsonD
- 16I. ParenteM
- 20C. RindovD
- 22E. WynderM
- 76T. ElgersmaM
San Jose Earthquakes
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Roberts | D | 93 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Timo Werner | M | 93 | 7.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0/1 |
| Ousseni Bouda | F | 93 | 7.3 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Angus Gunn(C) | G | 93 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jamar Ricketts | D | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Beau Leroux | M | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 2/3 |
| Nick Fernandez | M | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jonathan Gonzalez | M | 20 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Kikanović | D | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Daniel Munie | D | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jack Skahan | M | 73 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Vitor Costa | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dave Romney | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francesco Montali | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Jasinski | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noel Buck | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max Floriani | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ian Harkes | M | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Paul Marie | D | 20 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Darius Johnson | F | 20 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Los Angeles Galaxy
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Paintsil | F | 93 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| JT Marcinkowski | G | 93 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haak | D | 93 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Edwin Cerrillo | M | 93 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Marco Reus | F | 93 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| Lucas Sanabria | M | 82 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Robert Taylor | M | 60 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/3 |
| Julián Aude | D | 60 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Miki Yamane | D | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harbor Miller | M | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 4/8 |
| Maya Yoshida(C) | D | 93 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Troy Elgersma | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Novak Mićović | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Rindov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isaiah Parente | M | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elijah Wynder | M | 33 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| John Nelson | D | 33 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |