San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC
Earthquakes snatch late draw against LAFC
San Jose's R. Roberts denies Los Angeles FC a win with a stoppage-time equaliser.
Los Angeles FC looked comfortable with goals from Son Heung-Min and D. Bouanga putting them ahead before the break and early second half. However, San Jose Earthquakes fought back with P. Judd pulling one back and R. Roberts sealing a dramatic 2-2 draw deep into stoppage time. This result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a 2-1 home win, as the Earthquakes salvaged a point against the odds.
Outcome probability
The upcoming clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles FC promises a tight contest, with both sides closely matched in the league standings and boasting a competitive head-to-head record. Fans can expect a tactical battle with offensive sparks given their history of high-scoring encounters.
Match factors
San Jose's top scorer Judd doubtful
Preston Judd is doubtful due to injury, limiting San Jose's primary goal threat
LAFC missing key midfielder Tillman
Timothy Tillman is confirmed out, reducing LAFC's midfield creativity and depth
LAFC's Bouanga leads scoring and form
Denis Bouanga leads LAFC with 12 goals and strong recent form, a key attacking edge
Tsakiris key playmaker for San Jose
Niko Tsakiris provides creativity and assists, crucial for San Jose's attacking transitions
San Jose's defensive threat Munie scoring recently
Daniel Munie has scored 3 goals this season, adding offensive threat from defense
The context
San Jose Earthquakes sit just behind Los Angeles FC in the league table, with only two points separating them. Their previous meetings have been closely fought, with San Jose winning 8 times and LAFC 9 times out of 19 encounters. Matches between these two teams have averaged four goals, highlighting their attacking potential.
Key insights
Preston Judd
San Jose Earthquakes
Top scorer with 12 goals but doubtful due to injury, which could limit San Jose's attacking threat.
Major League Soccer 26/2712 goals in 20 apps, 0.6 avg per game
Niko Tsakiris
San Jose Earthquakes
Leading assister with 7 assists, crucial for San Jose's attacking transitions and creativity.
Major League Soccer 26/277 assists in 15 apps, 0.47 avg per game
Denis Bouanga
Los Angeles FC
Top scorer for LAFC with 12 goals and strong recent form, a key attacking edge.
Major League Soccer 26/2712 goals in 24 apps, 0.5 avg per game
- T
Timothy Tillman
Los Angeles FC
Confirmed out injured, reducing LAFC's midfield creativity and depth.
Major League Soccer 26/270 goals in season
Daniel Munie
San Jose Earthquakes
Adds offensive threat from defense with 3 goals this season, including recent home goals.
Major League Soccer 26/273 goals in 21 apps, 0.14 avg per game
Analysis
The prediction leans slightly towards a San Jose victory, with a 2-1 scoreline the most likely outcome. The first half is expected to be cagey, ending 0-0, before the home side pulls ahead in the second half. San Jose's top scorer Preston Judd is doubtful due to injury, which could limit their attacking threat, but creative midfielder Niko Tsakiris is key to their chances with his seven assists this season. Los Angeles FC will rely on Denis Bouanga, their leading scorer with 12 goals, but they will miss midfielder Timothy Tillman, who is out injured, potentially reducing their midfield creativity.
Key facts
- 1.San Jose Earthquakes have 8 wins and Los Angeles FC 9 wins in 19 meetings, showing a balanced rivalry.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 4.0 goals, indicating attacking potential from both sides.
- 3.Los Angeles FC are 5th in the league with 40 points from 26 games.
- 4.San Jose Earthquakes are 6th with 38 points from 24 games.
- 5.Preston Judd is doubtful for San Jose, potentially limiting their main goal threat.
- 6.Denis Bouanga leads LAFC with 12 goals and is in strong recent form.
- 7.Timothy Tillman is out injured for LAFC, affecting their midfield creativity.
- 8.Niko Tsakiris is a key playmaker for San Jose with 7 assists this season.
Prediction
Expect a closely fought match with San Jose Earthquakes narrowly securing a 2-1 victory over Los Angeles FC. The first half should be tight and goalless, with the decisive goals coming after the break as San Jose capitalises on their home advantage and creative spark from Tsakiris.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — San Jose Earthquakes
Away — Los Angeles FC
The verdict
This fixture is set to be a classic MLS encounter with both teams evenly matched. While Los Angeles FC have the firepower to challenge, San Jose's home form and key creative players should see them edge this one. Fans should prepare for a thrilling second half where the goals are likely to come.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Son Heung-Min
Assist: Delgado
Long
Red Card
Sieb
Munie
Ricketts
Bouanga
Assist: Son Heung-Min
Kikanovic
Bouda
Judd
Yellow Card
Judd
Goal Disallowed - Foul
Palencia
Yellow Card
Vieira
Choinière
Bouanga
Son Heung-Min
Tsakiris
Yellow Card
Roberts
Assist: Leroux
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | +33 | 50 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | +8 | 47 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +10 | 45 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | +2 | 44 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +13 | 41 |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 36 |
Match Statistics
San Jose Earthquakes
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1A. GunnG
- 2J. RickettsM
- 4D. RomneyD
- 5D. MunieD
- 7O. BoudaF
- 10N. TsakirisF
- 14R. VieiraM
- 18R. RobertsD
- 23E. LöwenM
- 28B. KikanovicM
- 34Beau LerouxF
Substitutes
- 3P. MarieD
- 6I. HarkesM
- 11T. WernerF
- 16J. SkahanM
- 17Jack JasinskiD
- 19P. JuddF
- 20N. FernandezM
- 36E. EdwardsG
- 87Vítor CostaD
Los Angeles FC
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1H. LlorisG
- 4E. SeguraM
- 5R. PorteousD
- 7Son Heung-MinF
- 8M. DelgadoM
- 9A. SiebF
- 14Sergi PalenciaD
- 23Y. CheberkoD
- 33A. LongD
- 66M. ChoinièreM
- 99D. BouangaF
Substitutes
- 17J. EbobisseF
- 18J. ShaffelburgF
- 19T. BoydF
- 21L. WaltaM
- 22Jude TerryM
- 24R. HollingsheadD
- 31Cabral CarterG
- 91N. TafariD
San Jose Earthquakes
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduard Löwen | M | 94 | 7.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1/1 |
| Beau Leroux | F | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Niko Tsakiris | F | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | — |
| Dave Romney | D | 94 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Reid Roberts | D | 94 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Ousseni Bouda | F | 62 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Daniel Munie | D | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ronaldo Vieira(C) | M | 78 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Jamar Ricketts | M | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Kikanović | M | 62 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Angus Gunn | G | 94 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ian Harkes | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Earl Edwards Jr | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Jasinski | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nick Fernandez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Timo Werner | F | 32 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0/1 |
| Preston Judd | F | 49 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | — | — |
| Vitor Costa | D | 49 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Jack Skahan | M | 16 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Paul Marie | D | 32 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
Los Angeles FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Lloris | G | 94 | 9.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Son Heung-min | F | 92 | 7.9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/6 |
| Denis Bouanga | F | 86 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Ryan Porteous | D | 94 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yevhen Cheberko | D | 94 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mark Delgado | M | 94 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Eddie Segura | M | 94 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergi Palencia | D | 94 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathieu Choinière | M | 79 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Armindo Sieb | F | 45 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Aaron Long(C) | D | 36 | 5.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jude Terry | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Hollingshead | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeremy Ebobisse | F | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leo Walta | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cabral Carter | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nkosi Tafari | D | 49 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacob Shaffelburg | F | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Tyler Boyd | F | 15 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted San Jose Earthquakes to win against Los Angeles FC.
- What score did Fipster predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of San Jose Earthquakes 2–1 Los Angeles FC.
- What were the win probabilities for San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC?
- Fipster's model gave San Jose Earthquakes a 51% chance of winning, Los Angeles FC a 24% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 51% confidence — a medium-confidence call.