San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo
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Challenge a friendThe Round of 16 fixture between San Jose Earthquakes and Houston Dynamo promises an intriguing battle, with both sides eager to progress. San Jose's superior league standing and goal difference suggest they hold the upper hand in this encounter.
The context
This knockout match sees San Jose Earthquakes, ranked 3rd with 52 points, face Houston Dynamo, sitting 5th with 51 points. Despite Houston's historical edge in head-to-head wins, San Jose's current form and goal difference (+8 vs +1) provide them with a statistical advantage.
Match factors
San Jose's attacking trio in strong form
Preston Judd leads with 17 goals and strong home form, supported by Bouda and Werner, creating multiple scoring threats
Nikolas Tsakiris excels as primary playmaker
Tsakiris leads team with 9 assists and high passing accuracy, key to unlocking Houston's defense
Houston's Guilherme remains a key scoring threat
Despite no goals in last 5, Guilherme has 16 goals this season and consistent minutes, likely to impact
Defensive solidity from San Jose's Roberts and Munie
Roberts and Munie provide strong defensive stats and occasional goals, crucial to maintain lead
Analysis
San Jose's attacking trio, led by Preston Judd with 17 goals and strong home form, is expected to trouble Houston's defence. Playmaker Nikolas Tsakiris, with 9 assists and high passing accuracy, will be key in unlocking chances. Houston's Guilherme remains a threat with 16 goals, but recent goal droughts may limit his impact. Defensively, San Jose's Roberts and Munie offer solidity to maintain a lead.
Key insights
Preston Judd
San Jose Earthquakes
Leading scorer with 17 goals and strong home scoring rate, making him a key threat in this match.
Major League Soccer 26/2717 goals in 31 appearances, 0.66 goals/game at home
Nikolas Tsakiris
San Jose Earthquakes
Top assister with 9 assists and high passing accuracy, crucial for creating scoring opportunities.
Major League Soccer 26/279 assists in 23 appearances, 84% passing accuracy
Guilherme
Houston Dynamo
Despite a recent goal drought, remains a significant scoring threat with 16 goals this season.
Major League Soccer 26/2716 goals in 31 appearances
- R
Reid Roberts
San Jose Earthquakes
Provides defensive solidity and occasional goals, important for maintaining a lead.
Major League Soccer 26/274 goals, 51 tackles, 37 interceptions
Prediction
We anticipate San Jose to take an early lead, going 2-0 up by halftime and finishing the match 3-1 winners. The match is expected to feature around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Key facts
- 1.Houston Dynamo lead the head-to-head record with 11 wins to San Jose's 4 in 20 matches.
- 2.San Jose Earthquakes rank 3rd in the league with 52 points from 33 games (W14 D10 L9).
- 3.Houston Dynamo are 5th with 51 points from 33 games (W14 D9 L10).
- 4.San Jose has a superior goal difference of +8 compared to Houston's +1 this season.
- 5.Preston Judd is San Jose's top scorer with 17 goals in 31 appearances.
- 6.Nikolas Tsakiris leads San Jose with 9 assists and an 84% passing accuracy.
- 7.Guilherme of Houston has scored 16 goals this season but is currently in a goal drought.
- 8.San Jose's defenders Roberts and Munie contribute both defensively and offensively.
The verdict
San Jose Earthquakes look poised to advance with a confident performance, leveraging their attacking strengths and defensive resilience. Houston Dynamo will need to find a way to break through early to avoid falling behind too far.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — San Jose Earthquakes
Away — Houston Dynamo
Prediction generated 10 Nov 2026, 06:15 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 |  FC Dallas | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | +9 | 55 |
| 3 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | +8 | 52 |
| 4 |  St. Louis City | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | +10 | 51 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 51 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | +13 | 47 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who does Fipster predict will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo?
- Fipster's AI model predicts San Jose Earthquakes to win against Houston Dynamo.
- What is the predicted score for San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo?
- Fipster predicts a final score of San Jose Earthquakes 3–1 Houston Dynamo.
- What are the win probabilities for San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo?
- Fipster's model gives San Jose Earthquakes a 95% chance of winning, Houston Dynamo a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigns this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.