San Diego vs Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union steamroll San Diego
A commanding 5-0 victory silences the home crowd in a one-sided MLS clash.
Philadelphia Union delivered a dominant performance against San Diego, running out 5-0 winners with Cavan Sullivan starring by netting twice shortly after the break. B. Damiani added to the tally before an own goal by A. Godoy sealed the emphatic win. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a narrow home win, turning the fixture into a comprehensive away triumph instead.
Outcome probability
San Diego and Philadelphia Union are gearing up for what promises to be a goal-fest in their upcoming regular season fixture. Both sides have shown attacking flair this season, and the prediction points to a closely contested match with plenty of goals.
Match factors
San Diego missing top scorer Ingvartsen
Marcus Ingvartsen is confirmed out injured, removing San Diego's leading scorer with 11 goals this season
Dreyer's dual threat in goals and assists
Anders Dreyer leads San Diego with 8 goals and 10 assists, key to their attacking output
Philadelphia's Iloski in strong scoring form
Milan Iloski has 11 goals this season with 8 in last 10 games, showing consistent scoring threat
Philadelphia's defensive assists from Westfield and Wagner
Defenders Westfield and Wagner provide creative outlets with 5 and 3 assists respectively, aiding attack from deep
San Diego's strong home scoring streak
San Diego averages 2.46 goals per home game, above league average, boosting their home win chances
The context
San Diego currently sit 9th in their league with 30 points from 23 games, reflecting a mixed bag of results but a decent attacking record at home. Philadelphia Union bring a potent forward line, led by Milan Iloski, who has been in fine scoring form recently. The stage is set for an entertaining encounter between two teams eager to climb the standings.
Key insights
Anders Laustrup Dreyer
San Diego
Dreyer is pivotal for San Diego, leading with 8 goals and 10 assists, making him a dual threat in attack.
Major League Soccer 26/278 goals and 10 assists in 22 appearances (0.36 goals and 0.45 assists per game)
Milan Iloski
Philadelphia Union
Iloski is in strong scoring form with 11 goals this season, including 8 in the last 10 games, consistently troubling defences.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals in 23 appearances (0.48 goals per game)
Onni Simonpoika Valakari
San Diego
Valakari provides creativity and goal threat from midfield, contributing 4 goals and 3 assists this season.
Major League Soccer 26/274 goals and 3 assists in 23 appearances
Francis Westfield
Philadelphia Union
Westfield offers attacking support from defence with 5 assists, aiding Philadelphia's forward play.
Major League Soccer 26/275 assists in 19 appearances (0.26 assists per game)
Analysis
The prediction favours a home win with a 4-3 scoreline, suggesting an open game with defensive vulnerabilities on both sides. San Diego's Anders Laustrup Dreyer is a key figure, contributing significantly with 8 goals and 10 assists this season. Meanwhile, Philadelphia's Milan Iloski, their top scorer with 11 goals, poses a constant threat. The halftime score of 2-1 aligns well with the fulltime prediction, indicating a lively first half. Expect a few cards too, with four predicted, hinting at a competitive and possibly feisty encounter.
Key facts
- 1.San Diego are 9th in the league with 30 points from 23 games (W8 D6 L9).
- 2.Anders Laustrup Dreyer leads San Diego with 8 goals and 10 assists this season.
- 3.Milan Iloski is Philadelphia Union's top scorer with 11 goals this season.
- 4.San Diego averages 2.46 goals per home game, above the league average.
- 5.The predicted halftime score is 2-1, consistent with the fulltime 4-3 outcome.
- 6.Four cards are expected in the match, indicating a competitive game.
Prediction
We see San Diego edging out Philadelphia Union 4-3, with the home side taking a 2-1 lead into halftime. The match is likely to be a rollercoaster of goals and momentum shifts, but ultimately San Diego's attacking prowess should see them through.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — San Diego
Away — Philadelphia Union
The verdict
In summary, this fixture promises goals, excitement, and a narrow victory for San Diego. Keep an eye on Dreyer and Iloski for moments of magic, and brace yourself for a match that could keep fans on the edge of their seats until the final whistle.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Damiani
Yellow Card
Alvarado
Yellow Card
Sullivan
Assist: Vassilev
Pierre
Yellow Card
Red card cancelled
Pellegrino
Alvarado
Valakari
Sullivan
Assist: Vassilev
Damiani
Assist: Westfield
Vassilev
Achouri
Damiani
Sullivan
Murphy
Iloski
Pierre
Godoy (OG)
Verhoeven
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | +33 | 50 |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -4 | 32 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 32 |
| 13 |  Austin | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | -12 | 31 |
Match Statistics
San Diego
4-3-3Starting XI
- 5Kieran SargeantD
- 6J. TverskovM
- 8O. ValakariM
- 10A. DreyerF
- 18D. FerreeG
- 26M. DuahD
- 32I. MurphyD
- 33O. VerhoevenD
- 70A. AlvaradoM
- 90A. PellegrinoF
- 99E. AchouriF
Substitutes
- 3D. ÞórhallssonD
- 13P. SisniegaG
- 14B. B. ZambleF
- 15P. SomaM
- 19D. VazquezM
- 20A. GodoyM
- 23S. VinesD
- 94C. BakambuF
- 97C. McVeyD
Philadelphia Union
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4J. LukićM
- 6Cavan SullivanM
- 9B. DamianiF
- 10M. IloskiF
- 18A. BlakeG
- 19I. VassilevM
- 21D. Jean-JacquesM
- 26N. HarrielD
- 27K. WagnerD
- 39F. WestfieldD
- 44Neil PierreD
Substitutes
- 5J. Sery LarsenD
- 8J. BuenoM
- 11A. BedoyaM
- 16B. BenderM
- 23E. AlladohF
- 28A. AnelloF
- 33Q. SullivanM
- 51M. JakupovicF
- 76A. RickG
San Diego
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Duah | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| A. Pellegrino | F | 60 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| E. Achouri | F | 73 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| A. Dreyer | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 0/2 |
| A. Alvarado | M | 60 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| C. Bakambu | F | 30 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| B. B. Zamble | F | 17 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| I. Murphy | D | 81 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Tverskov | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Vazquez | M | 30 | 6.0 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| D. Ferree | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Godoy | M | 30 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| D. Þórhallsson | D | 9 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kieran Sargeant | D | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| O. Valakari | M | 60 | 5.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| O. Verhoeven | D | 90 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. McVey | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Sisniega | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Vines | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Soma | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Philadelphia Union
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavan Sullivan | M | 77 | 9.8 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2/4 |
| I. Vassilev | M | 70 | 8.6 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| B. Damiani | F | 77 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | — |
| F. Westfield | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 0/2 |
| K. Wagner | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| N. Harriel | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Blake | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Lukić | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Neil Pierre | D | 86 | 7.1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| J. Bueno | M | 13 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| D. Jean-Jacques | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 3/4 |
| Q. Sullivan | M | 20 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Sery Larsen | D | 4 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Alladoh | F | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Iloski | F | 86 | 6.5 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| M. Jakupovic | F | 4 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bedoya | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Rick | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Bender | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Anello | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win San Diego vs Philadelphia Union?
- Fipster's AI model predicted San Diego to win against Philadelphia Union.
- What score did Fipster predict for San Diego vs Philadelphia Union?
- Fipster predicted a final score of San Diego 4–3 Philadelphia Union.
- What were the win probabilities for San Diego vs Philadelphia Union?
- Fipster's model gave San Diego a 95% chance of winning, Philadelphia Union a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.