San Diego vs CF Montreal
Match recap
San Diego beat CF Montreal 5–0 in their Major League Soccer fixture. McVey, Pellegrino, Valakari, Ingvartsen, and B. Zamble scored for San Diego. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.61 for San Diego versus 0.33 for CF Montreal.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-1 San Diego win
Actual
5–0
Outcome probability
San Diego and CF Montreal face off in the opening round of the 2026 regular season, with San Diego expected to assert their attacking prowess early and maintain control.
Match factors
San Diego's attacking trio in strong form
Ingvartsen and Dreyer lead scoring and assisting charts, forming a potent attack against Montreal's leaky defense
Montreal's defensive struggles persist
Montreal concedes over 2 goals per game away, vulnerable to San Diego's high-quality attackers
Dreyer's recent assist and goal streak
Dreyer has multiple goals and assists in last 5 games, driving San Diego's offense
Owusu's dual threat for Montreal
Owusu leads Montreal in goals and assists, key to their attacking chances
Full squads available for both teams
No confirmed injuries or suspensions, so all key players expected to feature
The context
This match marks the first regular season encounter between San Diego and CF Montreal this year. San Diego currently sit 12th in their league with 32 points from 28 games last season, while Montreal will look to improve on their away form. Both teams have full squads available, setting the stage for a competitive fixture.
Key insights
Marcus Højriis Ingvartsen
San Diego
Top scorer for San Diego with 12 goals, showing strong recent form and key attacking role.
Major League Soccer 26/2712 goals in 23 apps, 0.52 goals/game
Anders Laustrup Dreyer
San Diego
Leading assist provider with 11 assists and 11 goals, pivotal in creating and finishing chances.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals and 11 assists in 26 apps, 0.42 assists/game
Prince-Osei Owusu
CF Montreal
Top scorer and assister for Montreal with 15 goals, key to their offensive threat.
Major League Soccer 26/2715 goals and 6 assists in 26 apps, 0.58 goals/game
Analysis
San Diego's attacking duo, Marcus Højriis Ingvartsen and Anders Laustrup Dreyer, have been in excellent form, combining for a significant portion of the team's goals and assists. Their ability to break down Montreal's defence, which concedes over two goals per away game, gives San Diego a clear tactical edge. Montreal's top scorer Prince-Osei Owusu remains a threat, but San Diego's defensive organisation and home advantage should limit his impact.
Key facts
- 1.San Diego won the only previous head-to-head meeting against CF Montreal with a 5-0 aggregate.
- 2.San Diego are ranked 12th in their league with 32 points from 28 games last season.
- 3.Marcus Højriis Ingvartsen is San Diego's top scorer with 12 goals this season.
- 4.Anders Laustrup Dreyer leads San Diego with 11 assists and 11 goals this season.
- 5.Prince-Osei Owusu is Montreal's top scorer with 15 goals and also leads in assists.
- 6.Montreal concedes over 2 goals per away game, highlighting defensive struggles.
- 7.Both teams have full squads available with no confirmed injuries or suspensions.
Prediction
We predict San Diego to take a commanding 2-0 lead by halftime and finish the match 3-1 winners. The home side's offensive firepower and Montreal's defensive vulnerabilities suggest a match where San Diego controls the tempo and capitalises on key chances.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — San Diego
Away — CF Montreal
The verdict
Expect San Diego to start strong and maintain pressure, with their key players likely to influence the scoreline. Montreal will need to tighten their defence and find a way to contain San Diego's attacking threats if they hope to avoid a heavy defeat.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 17:48 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Loturi
Yellow Card
McVey
Assist: Dreyer
Pellegrino
Piette
Synchuk
Card upgrade
Avilés
Red Card
Escobar
Valakari
Assist: Ingvartsen
Ingvartsen
Assist: Dreyer
Ingvartsen
Valakari
Owusu
McVey
Yellow Card
Godoy
Bombino
Pellegrino
Loturi
B. Zamble
Assist: Tverskov
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -3 | 34 |
| 13 |  Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 34 |
Match Statistics
San Diego
4-3-3Starting XI
- 6J. TverskovM
- 7M. IngvartsenF
- 8O. ValakariM
- 10A. DreyerF
- 18D. FerreeG
- 20A. GodoyM
- 26M. DuahD
- 27L. BombinoD
- 90A. PellegrinoF
- 97C. McVeyD
Substitutes
- 1C. dos SantosG
- 14B. B. ZambleF
- 15P. SomaM
- 17O. SøeD
- 19D. VazquezM
- 21B. DukeM
- 25I. PilcherD
- 33O. VerhoevenD
- 77A. MightenF
CF Montreal
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3T. AvilésD
- 4B. VeraD
- 6S. PietteM
- 9P. OwusuF
- 17D. ÞórhallssonM
- 18H. SynchukM
- 19B. HidalgoD
- 22V. LoturiM
- 24E. MoralesD
- 29O. EscobarM
- 31T. GillierG
Substitutes
- 1S. BrezaG
- 2J. NealD
- 5B. CraigD
- 7K. OpokuF
- 8M. LongstaffM
- 10Iván JaimeM
- 14D. RíosF
- 16W. CarmonaM
- 39Aleksandr GubogloD
San Diego
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeppe Tverskov(C) | M | 90 | 9.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Christopher McVey | D | 90 | 8.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Anders Dreyer | F | 90 | 8.3 | — | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3/3 |
| Onni Valakari | M | 60 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Amahl Pellegrino | F | 81 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | F | 60 | 7.5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Luca Bombino | D | 70 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manu Duah | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aníbal Godoy | M | 70 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Duran Ferree | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kieran Sargeant | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ian Pilcher | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Osvald Soe | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bryce Duke | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CJ dos Santos | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bryan Zamble | F | 9 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Oscar Verhoeven | D | 20 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Soma | M | 20 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Mighten | F | 30 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| David Vazquez | M | 30 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
CF Montreal
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Piette(C) | M | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hennadiy Synchuk | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Olger Escobar | M | 51 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Victor Loturi | M | 85 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomas Gillier | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Prince-Osei Owusu | F | 60 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Dagur Dan Þórhallsson | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Efraín Morales | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brayan Vera | D | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bode Hidalgo | D | 90 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/5 |
| Tomás Avilés | D | 50 | 5.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Yuri Aleksandr Guboglo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Jaime | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Breza | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kwadwo Opoku | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matthew Longstaff | M | 45 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Daniel Rios | F | 30 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Wikelman Carmona | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Jalen Neal | D | 11 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brandan Craig | D | 39 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win San Diego vs CF Montreal?
- Fipster's AI model predicted San Diego to win against CF Montreal.
- What score did Fipster predict for San Diego vs CF Montreal?
- Fipster predicted a final score of San Diego 3–1 CF Montreal.
- What were the win probabilities for San Diego vs CF Montreal?
- Fipster's model gave San Diego a 85% chance of winning, CF Montreal a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.