Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor

Süper LigMatchweek 7
Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu, Samsun · 34,658 cap
Fipster Pick
Home Winhigh

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Samsunspor and Trabzonspor face off in what promises to be a competitive fixture in the regular season. Both teams have shown glimpses of quality, but Samsunspor's home form and attacking threats could prove decisive.

FıpsterPredicted Scoreline
Pre-Match
2–1
Half-time1–0
Samsunspor Win
HIGH
Confidence
Samsunspor 85%Draw 8%Trabzonspor 7%

The context

This match sees Samsunspor and Trabzonspor closely matched in the league standings, with Trabzonspor holding a slight points-per-game advantage. Their head-to-head history is fairly balanced, with Samsunspor winning three of eleven encounters and Trabzonspor four, alongside four draws. The average goals per match between these sides is a lively 2.8, suggesting an open game.

Match factors

Tactical Advantagehigh

Samsunspor's set-piece threat from defenders

Defenders Logi Tómasson and Josafat Mendes contribute goals and assists, posing aerial threat on set pieces

Statistical Edgehigh

Mohamed Salah's prolific scoring form

Salah has 4 goals in 5 games with a recent hat-trick, leading Trabzonspor's attack

Form Momentummedium

Samsunspor's defensive struggles at home

Samsunspor conceded 3+ goals in recent home games, indicating defensive vulnerability

Injury Impacthigh

Absence of Samsunspor's Fatih Kaya weakens attack

Kaya is confirmed out due to injury, removing a key attacker and assister from lineup

Tactical Advantagemedium

Trabzonspor's midfield creativity led by Ernest Muçi

Muçi provides goals and assists, linking play effectively and creating chances

Analysis

Samsunspor's attacking options are bolstered by midfielder Celil Yüksel and defender Logi Tómasson, both contributing goals this season and posing a threat especially on set pieces. However, the absence of Fatih Kaya due to injury weakens their attacking depth. Trabzonspor rely heavily on Mohamed Salah, who has been in prolific form with four goals in five games, including a recent hat-trick. Midfielder Ernest Muçi also provides creativity and assists, linking play effectively. Samsunspor's defensive vulnerabilities at home could be exploited, but their set-piece threat and home advantage may tip the scales.

Prediction

The prediction favours a home win for Samsunspor with a halftime lead of 1-0 and a final score of 2-1. The match is expected to be competitive with a moderate number of cards, around four, reflecting a spirited contest. Samsunspor's ability to capitalise on set pieces and home conditions is likely to be the difference.

Key facts

  1. 1.In 11 meetings, Samsunspor won 3, Trabzonspor 4, with 4 draws.
  2. 2.Average 2.8 total goals per match between these teams.
  3. 3.Trabzonspor ranks 8th with 4 points from 2 games; Samsunspor 9th with 4 points from 3 games.
  4. 4.Trabzonspor has 2.00 points per game versus Samsunspor's 1.33 this season.
  5. 5.Mohamed Salah has scored 4 goals in 5 games, including a recent hat-trick.
  6. 6.Celil Yüksel and Logi Tómasson contribute goals and are key to Samsunspor's set-piece threat.
  7. 7.Fatih Kaya is out with an injury, weakening Samsunspor's attack.

The verdict

Expect a tightly contested match where Samsunspor's home strengths and key players like Celil Yüksel and Logi Tómasson could outshine Trabzonspor's attacking prowess led by Mohamed Salah. A 2-1 victory for Samsunspor seems the most plausible outcome.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — Samsunspor

Celil Yüksel

Celil Yüksel

Midfielder

Samsunspor

Total Goals
1
League avg: 0.33
5 played
5 starts
427 mins
~85 mins/game
Logi Tómasson

Logi Tómasson

Defender

Samsunspor

Total Goals
1
League avg: 0.33
5 played
5 starts
429 mins
~86 mins/game

Away — Trabzonspor

Mohamed Salah

Mohamed Salah

Attacker

Trabzonspor

Total Goals
4
League avg: 0.33
5 played
4 starts
392 mins
~78 mins/game
Ebere Onuachu

Ebere Onuachu

Attacker

Trabzonspor

Total Goals
2
League avg: 0.33
5 played
5 starts
401 mins
~80 mins/game
Ernest Muçi

Ernest Muçi

Midfielder

Trabzonspor

Total Goals
1
League avg: 0.33
4 played
4 starts
273 mins
~68 mins/game

Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 15:54 UTC · Fipster Model v1.160

Prediction Q&A

Who does Fipster predict will win Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
Fipster's AI model predicts Samsunspor to win against Trabzonspor.
What is the predicted score for Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
Fipster predicts a final score of Samsunspor 2–1 Trabzonspor.
What are the win probabilities for Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
Fipster's model gives Samsunspor a 85% chance of winning, Trabzonspor a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigns this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.