Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor dismantle Samsunspor with swift hat-trick
A commanding three-goal burst before half-time sealed a convincing away win.
Trabzonspor delivered a clinical performance at Samsunspor, racing to a 3-0 lead with goals from E. Muçi, C. Nwaiwu, and Franculino Djú all before the break. The visitors' early dominance left Samsunspor chasing shadows and ensured a comfortable victory. This result was a clear upset against Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a Samsunspor win, proving the visitors' firepower too hot to handle.
Outcome probability
Samsunspor and Trabzonspor face off in what promises to be a competitive fixture in the regular season. Both teams have shown glimpses of quality, but Samsunspor's home form and attacking threats could prove decisive.
Match factors
Samsunspor's set-piece threat from defenders
Defenders Logi Tómasson and Josafat Mendes contribute goals and assists, posing aerial threat on set pieces
Mohamed Salah's prolific scoring form
Salah has 4 goals in 5 games with a recent hat-trick, leading Trabzonspor's attack
Samsunspor's defensive struggles at home
Samsunspor conceded 3+ goals in recent home games, indicating defensive vulnerability
Absence of Samsunspor's Fatih Kaya weakens attack
Kaya is confirmed out due to injury, removing a key attacker and assister from lineup
Trabzonspor's midfield creativity led by Ernest Muçi
Muçi provides goals and assists, linking play effectively and creating chances
The context
This match sees Samsunspor and Trabzonspor closely matched in the league standings, with Trabzonspor holding a slight points-per-game advantage. Their head-to-head history is fairly balanced, with Samsunspor winning three of eleven encounters and Trabzonspor four, alongside four draws. The average goals per match between these sides is a lively 2.8, suggesting an open game.
Key insights
Logi Tómasson
Samsunspor
Defenders Logi Tómasson and Josafat Mendes contribute goals and assists, posing aerial threat on set pieces.
Süper Lig 26/271 goal in 5 apps, 85.8 avg mins/game
Mohamed Salah
Trabzonspor
Salah has 4 goals in 5 games with a recent hat-trick, leading Trabzonspor's attack.
Süper Lig 26/274 goals in 5 apps, 78.4 avg mins/game
Celil Yüksel
Samsunspor
Consistent starter with solid goal contribution and key link between defense and attack.
Süper Lig 26/271 goal in 5 apps, 85.4 avg mins/game
- F
Fatih Kaya
Samsunspor
Absence of Fatih Kaya weakens Samsunspor's attack due to injury.
Süper Lig 26/271 goal in 5 apps
Analysis
Samsunspor's attacking options are bolstered by midfielder Celil Yüksel and defender Logi Tómasson, both contributing goals this season and posing a threat especially on set pieces. However, the absence of Fatih Kaya due to injury weakens their attacking depth. Trabzonspor rely heavily on Mohamed Salah, who has been in prolific form with four goals in five games, including a recent hat-trick. Midfielder Ernest Muçi also provides creativity and assists, linking play effectively. Samsunspor's defensive vulnerabilities at home could be exploited, but their set-piece threat and home advantage may tip the scales.
Key facts
- 1.In 11 meetings, Samsunspor won 3, Trabzonspor 4, with 4 draws.
- 2.Average 2.8 total goals per match between these teams.
- 3.Trabzonspor ranks 8th with 4 points from 2 games; Samsunspor 9th with 4 points from 3 games.
- 4.Trabzonspor has 2.00 points per game versus Samsunspor's 1.33 this season.
- 5.Mohamed Salah has scored 4 goals in 5 games, including a recent hat-trick.
- 6.Celil Yüksel and Logi Tómasson contribute goals and are key to Samsunspor's set-piece threat.
- 7.Fatih Kaya is out with an injury, weakening Samsunspor's attack.
Prediction
The prediction favours a home win for Samsunspor with a halftime lead of 1-0 and a final score of 2-1. The match is expected to be competitive with a moderate number of cards, around four, reflecting a spirited contest. Samsunspor's ability to capitalise on set pieces and home conditions is likely to be the difference.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Samsunspor
Away — Trabzonspor
The verdict
Expect a tightly contested match where Samsunspor's home strengths and key players like Celil Yüksel and Logi Tómasson could outshine Trabzonspor's attacking prowess led by Mohamed Salah. A 2-1 victory for Samsunspor seems the most plausible outcome.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 15:54 UTC · Fipster Model v1.160
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Tómasson
Yellow Card
Yüksel
Muçi
Assist: Eskihellaç
Nwaiwu
Djú
Assist: Salah
Yellow Card
Kabasakal
Red Card
Watt
Yellow Card
Sekongo
Muçi
Watt
Coulibaly
Djú
Eskihellaç
Salah
Mendes
Şimşir
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 7 |  Başakşehir | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 |  Samsunspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 |  Alanyaspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Match Statistics
Samsunspor
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1O. KocukG
- 2J. MendesD
- 4E. WattM
- 5C. YükselM
- 10T. CoulibalyM
- 11E. KılınçM
- 17L. TómassonD
- 18M. BayoF
- 22Y. ÇiftD
- 34G. GuarinoD
- 42Y. SekongoM
Substitutes
- 3I. DrapińskiD
- 7E. TavşanF
- 8S. OnurM
- 14F. KayaF
- 16S. ErakovićD
- 19O. ØhlenschlægerF
- 20Y. KayanM
- 25B. BayazıtG
- 29H. TanD
- 77Afonso SousaM
Trabzonspor
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6FabinhoM
- 7E. MuçiM
- 9Franculino DjúF
- 10Mohamed SalahM
- 15S. SavićD
- 19M. EskihellaçD
- 20Wagner PinaD
- 24A. OnanaG
- 27C. NwaiwuD
- 57M. KabasakalM
- 58A. ŞimşirM
Substitutes
- 1A. YıldırımG
- 4S. AkaydinD
- 11O. TufanM
- 26T. Jabol-FolcarelliM
- 30P. OnuachuF
- 39C. ÖzkacarD
- 55S. Lopes CabralD
- 61C. ÇanakF
- 70N. SavioloF
- 77M. MimaroğluF
Samsunspor
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriele Guarino | D | 77 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Mohamed Bayo | F | 77 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Elliot Watt | M | 67 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Celil Yüksel | M | 26 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Antoine Sekongo | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Josafat Mendes | D | 77 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Logi Tomasson | D | 77 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Yunus Emre Çift | D | 77 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Okan Kocuk | G | 77 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emre Kılınç(C) | M | 77 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/2 |
| Tanguy Coulibaly | M | 67 | 5.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Haluk Mustafa Tan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Igor Drapiński | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Afonso Sousa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bilal Bayazit | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samed Onur | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Strahinja Eraković | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yalçın Kayan | M | 51 | 7.6 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Fatih Kaya | F | 32 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Elayis Tavsan | F | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Oskar Øhlenschlaeger | F | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Trabzonspor
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mustafa Eskihellaç | D | 71 | 8.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Ernest Muçi | M | 45 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | — | — |
| Chibuike Nwaiwu | D | 77 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| André Onana | G | 77 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wagner Pina | D | 77 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Mohamed Salah | M | 77 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Franculino Djú | F | 71 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/4 |
| Stefan Savić(C) | D | 77 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aral Şimşir | M | 77 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| Fabinho | M | 77 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Melih Kabasakal | M | 43 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Noah Saviolo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sidny Lopes Cabral | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cihan Çanak | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmet Doğan Yıldırım | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Onuachu | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tim Jabol-Folcarelli | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samet Akaydın | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cenk Özkaçar | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Metehan Mimaroğlu | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ozan Tufan | M | 32 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Samsunspor to win against Trabzonspor.
- What score did Fipster predict for Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Samsunspor 2–1 Trabzonspor.
- What were the win probabilities for Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
- Fipster's model gave Samsunspor a 85% chance of winning, Trabzonspor a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.