Samsunspor vs Göztepe
Samsunspor and Göztepe share six-goal thriller
A pulsating Süper Lig clash ended in a 3-3 draw with Marius and E. Bekiroğlu starring.
Göztepe struck early through Alex Matos, but Samsunspor fought back with a penalty from Marius and a goal from E. Kılınç before the break. After the interval, S. Armstrong and E. Bekiroğlu restored Göztepe's lead, only for Samsunspor's C. Yüksel to level in the 90th minute. Despite Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a narrow home win, the match defied expectations with a thrilling six-goal draw.
Analysis
As the new season kicks off, Samsunspor and Göztepe face off in what promises to be a tightly contested encounter. Both teams start with zero points, setting the stage for a competitive match where every goal and defensive effort will count.
This fixture marks the first round of the regular season, with both Samsunspor and Göztepe eager to make a positive start. Historically, their head-to-head record is perfectly balanced with six wins apiece and one draw from 13 meetings, highlighting the competitive nature of this matchup. Neither side has yet to register points this season, adding an extra layer of urgency to their performances.
The prediction leans towards a narrow home victory for Samsunspor, with a 1-0 scoreline deemed most probable. The aggregated probabilities show a slight edge for the home side over a draw or away win, reflecting a balanced but cautiously optimistic outlook. The model's confidence is moderate at 39%, acknowledging the close nature of the contest and the balanced historical record. Expect a match where defensive solidity and a single moment of quality could decide the outcome.
Prediction
Our forecast sees Samsunspor clinching a 1-0 win, capitalising on home advantage and a disciplined defensive approach. The halftime score remains uncertain, but the full-time result is expected to favour the hosts by a slender margin. Anticipate a total of around four cards, suggesting a competitive but controlled game.
Outcome probability
Key Takeaways
In summary, this season opener should be a tight affair with Samsunspor just about edging out Göztepe. Fans can look forward to a match where tactical discipline and a single goal could make all the difference. Both teams will be keen to start their campaigns positively, but the home side holds a slight advantage in this evenly matched contest.
- Samsunspor and Göztepe have an equal head-to-head record with 6 wins each in 13 meetings.
- The average goals per head-to-head match is 2.6, indicating moderately open games.
- Both teams start the season with zero points and no games played yet.
- Prediction confidence is moderate at 39%, reflecting a closely matched fixture.
- A narrow 1-0 home win is the most probable full-time scoreline.
- The model expects around 4 total cards, suggesting a competitive match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Samsunspor
Away — Göztepe
No standout best passers flagged for Göztepe
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Matos
Yellow Card
Matos
Yellow Card
Marius
Penalty
Kılınç
Assist: Mendes
Armstrong
Armstrong
Yellow Card
Borevković
Yellow Card
Godói
Yellow Card
Marius
Missed Penalty · Assist: Marius
Matos
Antunes
Armstrong
André Henrique
Bekiroğlu
Assist: Janderson
Marius
Kayan
Jarju
Kurtulan
Yüksel
Assist: Kaya
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 | |
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | |
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | |
| 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 | |
| 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 |
Match Statistics
Samsunspor
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1O. KocukG
- 2J. MendesD
- 5C. YükselM
- 6Badra Diabbate AliD
- 9MariusF
- 11E. KılınçF
- 17L. TómassonD
- 20Y. KayanM
- 24T. BorevkovićD
- 29A. MakoumbouM
- 30Saikuba JarjuF
Substitutes
- 8S. OnurM
- 13Efe ÜstünG
- 14F. KayaF
- 23E. AlbakD
- 25B. BayazıtG
- 70Tahsin Bülbül M
- 72H. TanD
Göztepe
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 2A. KurtulanM
- 3Allan GodóiD
- 4T. AltıkardeşD
- 6Alex MatosM
- 7André HenriqueF
- 8A. AntunesF
- 13Ege YildirimD
- 15A. CherniM
- 20N. DismasM
- 22S. ArmstrongF
- 25L. GugeshashviliG
Substitutes
- 5RhaldneyM
- 9JuanF
- 10E. BekiroğluM
- 11Guilherme LuizF
- 16O. BayrakD
- 33Ş. ÖztürkG
- 39JandersonF
Samsunspor
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emre Kılınç(C) | F | 93 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Celil Yüksel | M | 93 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Josafat Mendes | D | 93 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | — |
| Marius Mouandilmadji | F | 93 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Saikuba Jarju | F | 78 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Toni Borevković | D | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yalçın Kayan | M | 78 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Logi Tomasson | D | 93 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Antoine Makoumbou | M | 70 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Ali Diabaté | D | 93 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Okan Kocuk | G | 93 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Haluk Mustafa Tan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bilal Bayazit | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tahsin Bülbül | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Efe Yiğit Üstün | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enes Albak | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samed Onur | M | 15 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fatih Kaya | F | 23 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
Göztepe
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Matos | M | 60 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Sinclair Armstrong | F | 61 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Amine Cherni | M | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Arda Kurtulan | M | 92 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/4 |
| Novatus Miroshi | M | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Alexis Antunes | F | 60 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| André Henrique | F | 61 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Taha Altıkardeş(C) | D | 93 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Allan | D | 93 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Ege Yildirim | D | 93 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Luka Gugeshashvili | G | 93 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Guilherme Luiz | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mehmet Şamil Öztürk | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ogün Bayrak | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Efkan Bekiroğlu | M | 33 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Rhaldney | M | 33 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Juan Santos da Silva | F | 32 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Janderson | F | 32 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |





