Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe cruise past Samsunspor
Muriqi and Aydın strike to secure a comfortable away win.
Fenerbahçe took control early with V. Muriqi's goal in the third minute and sealed the deal after the break through O. Aydın's strike at 50'. The 2-0 victory was a solid display on the road, comfortably seeing off Samsunspor. Fipster's prediction of an away win was spot on, though the exact scoreline was slightly off.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with Samsunspor facing off against Fenerbahçe in what promises to be an intriguing encounter. Both teams have reshaped their squads over the summer, setting the stage for a competitive match as they look to make a strong start.
Key facts
- 1.Fenerbahçe are ranked 2nd with a significantly better goal difference than Samsunspor, who are 7th.
- 2.Samsunspor have signed E. Watt and lost C. Holse, R. van Drongelen, and Ľ. Šatka over the summer.
- 3.Fenerbahçe have added V. Muriqi and M. Greenwood to their squad, losing Fred.
- 4.The predicted halftime score is 0-2 in favour of Fenerbahçe, with a fulltime score of 1-2.
- 5.The model forecasts around four total cards, indicating moderate discipline.
- 6.Fenerbahçe have a higher points-per-game average (2.18) compared to Samsunspor (1.50).
The context
Samsunspor have welcomed E. Watt into their ranks while seeing the departures of C. Holse, R. van Drongelen, and Ľ. Šatka. Meanwhile, Fenerbahçe have bolstered their squad with the arrivals of V. Muriqi and M. Greenwood, offsetting the loss of Fred. These changes could prove pivotal as both sides aim to establish early momentum in the league.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Samsunspor
Away — Fenerbahçe
Analysis
Fenerbahçe enter this fixture with a clear statistical edge, ranked second with a superior goal difference and points-per-game average compared to Samsunspor, who sit seventh. The prediction model strongly favours an away win, with a 2-1 scoreline the most likely outcome. The forecast suggests Fenerbahçe will assert control early, leading 2-0 at halftime before Samsunspor pull one back in the second half. Discipline is expected to be moderate, with around four cards likely to be shown.
Prediction
Expect Fenerbahçe to take the spoils with a 2-1 victory. Their stronger squad depth and summer reinforcements should help them establish a two-goal cushion by halftime, weathering any late pressure from Samsunspor. This result aligns with the statistical probabilities and the teams' relative strengths heading into the new campaign.
The verdict
As the season gets underway, this fixture offers a glimpse of the battles to come. Fenerbahçe look poised to start on a high note, but Samsunspor will be eager to challenge and make their mark. Fans can anticipate a competitive match with moments of quality and tactical intrigue.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Muriqi
Assist: Aydın
Kaya
Yellow Card
Borevković
Aydın
Assist: Kahveci
Greenwood
Muriqi
Kayan
Lukaku
Yellow Card
Kahveci
Jarju
Guendouzi
Yüksel
Aydın
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 2 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 |  Kocaelispor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 8 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 |  Samsunspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 |  Alanyaspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Match Statistics
Samsunspor
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1O. KocukG
- 2J. MendesD
- 4E. WattM
- 5C. YükselM
- 11E. KılınçM
- 14F. KayaF
- 17L. TómassonD
- 20Y. KayanM
- 24T. BorevkovićD
- 30Saikuba JarjuM
- 34G. GuarinoD
Substitutes
- 3I. DrapińskiD
- 8S. OnurM
- 21Eyup DegirmenciM
- 22Y. ÇiftD
- 23E. AlbakD
- 25B. BayazıtG
- 42Y. SekongoM
- 70Tahsin Bülbül M
- 72H. TanD
- 77Afonso SousaM
Fenerbahçe
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3A. BrownD
- 6M. GuendouziM
- 11M. GreenwoodM
- 15N. AkéD
- 17İ. KahveciM
- 19V. MuriqiF
- 27Nélson SemedoD
- 31EdersonG
- 37M. ŠkriniarD
- 70O. AydınM
- 91N. KantéM
Substitutes
- 5İ. YüksekM
- 9R. LukakuF
- 13T. ÇetinG
- 14Y. DemirD
- 18M. MüldürD
- 21K. Peprah OppongD
- 22L. MercanD
- 28B. ElmazM
- 34M. GünokG
- 45N. DorgelesF
Samsunspor
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Okan Kocuk | G | 88 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Celil Yüksel | M | 86 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Elliot Watt | M | 88 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Logi Tomasson | D | 88 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Fatih Kaya | F | 16 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emre Kılınç(C) | M | 88 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Gabriele Guarino | D | 88 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saikuba Jarju | M | 86 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Yalçın Kayan | M | 66 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Josafat Mendes | D | 88 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Toni Borevković | D | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Eyup Degirmenci | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tahsin Bülbül | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Igor Drapiński | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samed Onur | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bilal Bayazit | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Haluk Mustafa Tan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enes Albak | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yunus Emre Çift | D | 43 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antoine Sekongo | M | 72 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Afonso Sousa | M | 22 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Fenerbahçe
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oğuz Aydın | M | 86 | 8.6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1/1 |
| Vedat Muriqi | F | 63 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 5 | 3 | 1 | — |
| N'Golo Kanté | M | 88 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Milan Škriniar(C) | D | 88 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| İrfan Can Kahveci | M | 78 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| Mattéo Guendouzi | M | 86 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Archie Brown | D | 88 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Nélson Semedo | D | 88 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Ederson | G | 88 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mason Greenwood | M | 64 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Nathan Aké | D | 88 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Kojo Peprah Oppong | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Levent Mercan | D | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bartuğ Elmaz | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yiğit Efe Demir | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mert Müldür | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mert Günok | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tarık Çetin | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| İsmail Yüksek | M | 24 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Dorgeles Nene | F | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Romelu Lukaku | F | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Fenerbahçe to win against Samsunspor.
- What score did Fipster predict for Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Samsunspor 1–2 Fenerbahçe.
- What were the win probabilities for Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe?
- Fipster's model gave Samsunspor a 7% chance of winning, Fenerbahçe a 86% chance, and a 7% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 86% confidence — a high-confidence call.