Samsunspor vs Amed
Amed snatches victory with late double
After falling behind early, Amed turned the game on its head with a penalty and a decisive strike in the second half.
Samsunspor took an early lead through L. Tómasson at 21 minutes, but Amed fought back with G. Orban converting a penalty at 73 minutes before D. Sabia sealed the win with a goal at 84 minutes. The 2-1 away win was exactly as Fipster predicted with high confidence, proving the call spot on.
Outcome probability
This league stage encounter between Samsunspor and Amed promises a tight contest, with both sides eager to climb the standings. Samsunspor have shown mixed form, while Amed bring a potent attack that could tip the scales.
Match factors
Amed's potent attacking duo
Gift Orban leads with 7 goals and Diaa Sabia adds 4, giving Amed a strong scoring edge
Amed's positive scoring streak
Amed has scored in their last 5 matches, showing strong offensive form
Samsunspor's midfield uncertainty
Celil Yüksel is doubtful due to injury, limiting Samsunspor's midfield creativity if absent
Amed's creative midfield support
Rayan Raveloson and Ermal Krasniqi provide strong assist potential, enhancing Amed's attack
Set-piece threat from Samsunspor defender
Logi Tómasson offers goal threat from defense, useful in dead-ball situations
The context
Samsunspor currently sit 9th in the league with 4 points from 3 games, reflecting a balanced record of one win, one draw, and one loss. Amed are just behind in 12th place with 3 points from 2 games, having won once and lost once. Both teams will be looking to improve their positions as the regular season progresses.
Key insights
Gift Orban
Amed
League top scorer with 7 goals in 7 games, a key threat for Amed's attack.
Süper Lig 26/277 goals in 7 appearances, 72.7 avg mins/game
Diaa Sabia
Amed
Consistent scorer with 4 goals, contributing significantly to Amed's offensive output.
Süper Lig 26/274 goals in 7 appearances, 85.4 avg mins/game
Rayan Raveloson
Amed
Creative midfielder with 2 assists, instrumental in setting up goals and controlling play.
Süper Lig 26/272 assists in 7 appearances, 88.6 avg mins/game
Celil Yüksel
Samsunspor
Doubtful due to injury, his absence could limit Samsunspor's midfield creativity.
Süper Lig 26/271 goal in 7 appearances, 77.4 avg mins/game
Analysis
Amed's attacking threat is spearheaded by Gift Orban, who boasts 7 goals in 7 appearances, making him a key player to watch. Alongside him, Diaa Sabia adds 4 goals, providing a strong scoring duo. Midfield creativity from Rayan Raveloson and Ermal Krasniqi, each with 2 assists, supports their offensive efforts. Samsunspor face uncertainty in midfield with Celil Yüksel doubtful due to injury, potentially limiting their creativity. Defensively, Logi Tómasson offers a set-piece threat for Samsunspor, but Amed's consistent scoring in recent matches suggests they have the edge.
Key facts
- 1.Samsunspor are 9th in the league with 4 points from 3 games (W1 D1 L1).
- 2.Amed are 12th with 3 points from 2 games (W1 D0 L1).
- 3.Gift Orban leads Amed with 7 goals in 7 appearances.
- 4.Diaa Sabia has scored 4 goals in 7 games for Amed.
- 5.Rayan Raveloson and Ermal Krasniqi each have 2 assists this season.
- 6.Celil Yüksel is doubtful for Samsunspor due to injury.
- 7.Logi Tómasson provides a goal threat from defence for Samsunspor.
- 8.The predicted total number of cards is 4, indicating moderate discipline.
Prediction
The prediction favours Amed to take an early lead, reflected in the most likely halftime score of 0-1. They are expected to maintain their advantage and secure a 2-1 victory by fulltime. The match is also anticipated to feature a moderate level of disciplinary action, with around four cards predicted.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Samsunspor
Away — Amed
The verdict
In summary, Amed's attacking prowess and midfield creativity should see them edge out Samsunspor in this league stage fixture. Samsunspor will need to overcome midfield doubts and capitalise on set-piece opportunities to challenge the visitors' expected dominance.
Prediction generated 18 Oct 2026, 12:27 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Sabia
Yellow Card
Tómasson
Assist: Coulibaly
Afonso Sousa
Yellow Card
Bayazıt
Yellow Card
Afonso Sousa
Yellow Card
Afonso Sousa
Red Card
Çift
Yellow Card
Soyalp
Yellow Card
Soyalp
Khalil
Dellova
Yellow Card
Diagne
Red Card
Diagne
Yellow Card
Drapiński
Coulibaly
Orban
Penalty
Krasniqi
Sekongo
Sabia
Assist: Orban
Mendes
Guarino
Ballet
Sabia
Tavşan
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 8 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 |  Samsunspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 |  Alanyaspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 |  Gaziantep FK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 |  Amed | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Beşiktaş | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Match Statistics
Samsunspor
3-5-2Starting XI
- 2J. MendesM
- 3I. DrapińskiD
- 4E. WattM
- 10T. CoulibalyF
- 16S. ErakovićD
- 17L. TómassonM
- 18M. BayoF
- 25B. BayazıtG
- 34G. GuarinoD
- 42Y. SekongoM
- 77Afonso SousaM
Substitutes
- 1O. KocukG
- 7E. TavşanF
- 8S. OnurM
- 15K. AssoumouF
- 19O. ØhlenschlægerF
- 20Y. KayanM
- 22Y. ÇiftD
- 23E. AlbakD
- 29H. TanD
- 30Saikuba JarjuF
Amed
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4D. BatesD
- 5L. DellovaD
- 7E. KrasniqiD
- 8F. SoyalpM
- 10S. BalletM
- 17U. MeraşD
- 22R. RavelosonM
- 40A. LafontG
- 74M. KhalilM
- 91D. SabiaM
- 99G. OrbanF
Substitutes
- 3M. AcerD
- 6C. ÜstündagM
- 18G. GülM
- 21M. YeşilD
- 27B. BozanG
- 33A. CisséD
- 45M. DiagneF
- 47K. DemirtaşD
- 81A. BülbülD
- 93R. LutinM
Samsunspor
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logi Tomasson(C) | M | 92 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Elliot Watt | M | 92 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Tanguy Coulibaly | F | 73 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Josafat Mendes | M | 84 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Strahinja Eraković | D | 92 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Mohamed Bayo | F | 92 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/3 |
| Gabriele Guarino | D | 85 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Igor Drapiński | D | 71 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antoine Sekongo | M | 79 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Bilal Bayazit | G | 92 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Afonso Sousa | M | 37 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Saikuba Jarju | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oskar Øhlenschlaeger | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enes Albak | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jaures Assoumou | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Okan Kocuk | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yalçın Kayan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samed Onur | M | 13 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Haluk Mustafa Tan | D | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Elayis Tavsan | F | 19 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yunus Emre Çift | D | 21 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Amed
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lumbardh Dellova | D | 92 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Dia Saba | M | 89 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0/3 |
| Gift Orban | F | 92 | 7.3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Rayan Raveloson | M | 92 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Ermal Krasniqi | D | 75 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 3/4 |
| Umut Meraş | D | 92 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Alban Lafont(C) | G | 92 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Robert Bates | D | 92 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Samuel Ballet | M | 85 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 3/6 |
| Mohamed Khalil | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Furkan Soyalp | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Amadou Cissé | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayan Lutin | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miraç Acer | D | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cem Üstündag | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Burak Bozan | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kahraman Demirtaş | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mehmet Yeşil | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Turap Bülbül | D | 47 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gökhan Gül | M | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mbaye Diagne | F | 16 | 4.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Samsunspor vs Amed?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Amed to win against Samsunspor.
- What score did Fipster predict for Samsunspor vs Amed?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Samsunspor 1–2 Amed.
- What were the win probabilities for Samsunspor vs Amed?
- Fipster's model gave Samsunspor a 16% chance of winning, Amed a 68% chance, and a 16% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 68% confidence — a high-confidence call.