Saint Etienne vs Rodez
Match recap
Saint Etienne and Rodez drew 0–0 in their Ligue 1 fixture. Saint Etienne held 62% possession to 38% for Rodez.
Analysis
The semi-final clash between Saint Etienne and Rodez promises a balanced contest, with both teams showing resilience and tactical discipline. Fans should brace for a closely fought encounter with goals at a premium.
Saint Etienne hosts Rodez in this crucial semi-final fixture. Historically, their meetings have been tight, with 4 draws in 9 matches and an average of 2 goals per game. Both teams enter with full squads and a tactical battle expected to unfold.
Rodez's attacking threat from wide defenders like Galves and the goal-scoring form of Baldé provide them with offensive momentum. Saint Etienne relies heavily on striker L. Stassin to break through, but their limited recent scoring data suggests a cautious approach. Midfield dynamo Younoussa could be a game-changer off the bench, exploiting tired legs late on.
Prediction
The highest probability outcome is a 1-1 draw, reflecting the balanced nature of this fixture. The halftime score is expected to be 0-0, with a total of 4 cards likely, indicating a competitive but fair match. Confidence in this prediction stands at 35%, acknowledging the tight margins.
Outcome probability
Match factors
Rodez's Defensive Threat from Wide Areas
Rodez's wingbacks and wide defenders like Galves provide attacking width and assists, challenging Saint Etienne's fullbacks.
Rodez's Recent Scoring Form
Rodez averages 1.5 goals per game away, with multiple players contributing goals recently, indicating offensive momentum.
Saint Etienne's Limited Offensive Data
Saint Etienne shows limited recent scoring data, suggesting reliance on key striker Stassin to break deadlock.
Midfield Impact by Younoussa as Super-Sub
Younoussa's recent substitute goal and high rating suggest he could exploit tired defenders late in the match.
No Reported Injuries for Both Teams
Both teams have full squads available, so tactical choices will be key without injury disruptions.
Key Takeaways
In summary, expect a tactical chess match with both sides cancelling each other out. Saint Etienne and Rodez are evenly matched, and a 1-1 draw seems the most plausible result, setting up a nail-biting finish to this semi-final.
- In 9 meetings, Saint Etienne won 2, Rodez 3, and 4 ended in draws.
- Head-to-head matches average 2.0 total goals, aligning with the predicted 1-1 score.
- Rodez averages 1.5 goals per away game this season, showing strong offensive form on the road.
- Saint Etienne's primary striker L. Stassin is key to their goal threat despite limited recent scoring data.
- Midfielder W. Younoussa has scored recently as a substitute, offering a fresh attacking option late in games.
- No reported injuries for either team, so full squads are available for tactical battles.
- The predicted total of 4 cards suggests a competitive but controlled match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Saint Etienne
Away — Rodez
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Head to Head
Duffus
Kanté
Yellow Card
Ponti
Cardona
Le Cardinal
Mendes
Baldé
Trouillet
Younoussa
Benchamma
Yellow Card
Gadegbeku
Larsonneur
Match Statistics
Saint Etienne
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6M. BernauerD
- 7I. CardonaM
- 9L. StassinF
- 11B. OldD
- 14A. KantéM
- 17J. DuffusM
- 22Z. DavitashviliM
- 26J. Le CardinalD
- 30G. LarsonneurG
- 35L. GadegbekuM
- 39K. PedroD
Substitutes
- 1B. MaubleuG
- 3M. NadéD
- 8D. AppiahD
- 13João FerreiraD
- 25D. N'GuessanF
- 28I. MiladinovićM
- 29A. MoueffekM
Rodez
5-3-2Starting XI
- 1Q. BraatG
- 3R. LipinskiD
- 4M. MagninD
- 6J. MendesM
- 8W. YounoussaM
- 11T. ArconteF
- 18I. BaldéF
- 20R. PontiD
- 24Loni Laurent
- 25N. GalvesD
- 27A. TrouilletM
Substitutes
- 9K. NageraF
- 13C. RoubiouF
- 15E. Jean-LambertD
- 22O. JolyM
- 26S. BenchammaM
- 28M. SakaM
- 30E. CrombezG
Saint Etienne
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gautier Larsonneur(C) | G | 92 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maxime Bernauer | D | 96 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Old | D | 96 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Kevin Pedro | D | 96 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Zuriko Davitashvili | M | 96 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 5 | 1/3 |
| Abdoulaye Kanté | M | 96 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Julien Le Cardinal | D | 71 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Luan Gadegbeku | M | 92 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Lucas Stassin | F | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Joshua Duffus | M | 60 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Irvin Cardona | M | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| João Ferreira | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Igor Miladinović | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dennis Appiah | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brice Maubleu | G | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mickael Nade | D | 25 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Djylian N'Guessan | F | 25 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Aimen Moueffek | M | 36 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
Rodez
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loni Laurent | D | 96 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raphael Lipinski(C) | D | 96 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Alexis Trouillet | M | 79 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Tairyk Arconte | F | 96 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Jordan Mendes Correia | M | 72 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Wilitty Younoussa | M | 79 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| Ibrahima Baldé | F | 72 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Nolan Galves | D | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Quentin Braat | G | 96 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathis Magnin | D | 96 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ryan Ponti | D | 67 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Enzo Crombez | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Corentin Issanchou Roubiou | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Octave Joly | M | 17 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jean Lambert Evan's Allan | D | 29 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Kenny Nagera | F | 24 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathis Saka | M | 24 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Samy Benchama | M | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |