Saint Etienne vs Rodez

Ligue 1Semi-finals
After Penalties
00
HT: 00
Pen: 76
Ref: Marc Bollengier, FranceStade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Ètienne · 41,965 cap
Fipster Pick
DrawlowHit

Match recap

Saint Etienne and Rodez drew 0–0 in their Ligue 1 fixture. Saint Etienne held 62% possession to 38% for Rodez.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Underconfident✓ Hit
Fipster's Pick
11
HT 0–0
Final ResultAET · 7–6 pens
00
HT 0–0 · FT 0–0
70%Good
B
OutcomeExact ScoreBTTSOver/Under 2.5Halftime
Fipster's self review17 May 2026

Analysis

The semi-final clash between Saint Etienne and Rodez promises a balanced contest, with both teams showing resilience and tactical discipline. Fans should brace for a closely fought encounter with goals at a premium.

Saint Etienne hosts Rodez in this crucial semi-final fixture. Historically, their meetings have been tight, with 4 draws in 9 matches and an average of 2 goals per game. Both teams enter with full squads and a tactical battle expected to unfold.

Rodez's attacking threat from wide defenders like Galves and the goal-scoring form of Baldé provide them with offensive momentum. Saint Etienne relies heavily on striker L. Stassin to break through, but their limited recent scoring data suggests a cautious approach. Midfield dynamo Younoussa could be a game-changer off the bench, exploiting tired legs late on.


Prediction

The highest probability outcome is a 1-1 draw, reflecting the balanced nature of this fixture. The halftime score is expected to be 0-0, with a total of 4 cards likely, indicating a competitive but fair match. Confidence in this prediction stands at 35%, acknowledging the tight margins.

Outcome probability

Saint Etienne 33%Draw 35%Rodez 32%

Key Insights

Tactical Advantagemedium

Rodez's Defensive Threat from Wide Areas

Rodez's wingbacks and wide defenders like Galves provide attacking width and assists, challenging Saint Etienne's fullbacks.

Statistical Edgehigh

Rodez's Recent Scoring Form

Rodez averages 1.5 goals per game away, with multiple players contributing goals recently, indicating offensive momentum.

Form Momentummedium

Saint Etienne's Limited Offensive Data

Saint Etienne shows limited recent scoring data, suggesting reliance on key striker Stassin to break deadlock.

Tactical Advantagemedium

Midfield Impact by Younoussa as Super-Sub

Younoussa's recent substitute goal and high rating suggest he could exploit tired defenders late in the match.

Injury Impacthigh

No Reported Injuries for Both Teams

Both teams have full squads available, so tactical choices will be key without injury disruptions.

Key Takeaways

In summary, expect a tactical chess match with both sides cancelling each other out. Saint Etienne and Rodez are evenly matched, and a 1-1 draw seems the most plausible result, setting up a nail-biting finish to this semi-final.

  • In 9 meetings, Saint Etienne won 2, Rodez 3, and 4 ended in draws.
  • Head-to-head matches average 2.0 total goals, aligning with the predicted 1-1 score.
  • Rodez averages 1.5 goals per away game this season, showing strong offensive form on the road.
  • Saint Etienne's primary striker L. Stassin is key to their goal threat despite limited recent scoring data.
  • Midfielder W. Younoussa has scored recently as a substitute, offering a fresh attacking option late in games.
  • No reported injuries for either team, so full squads are available for tactical battles.
  • The predicted total of 4 cards suggests a competitive but controlled match.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

HomeSaint Etienne

L. Stassin

L. Stassin

F

Saint Etienne

Total Goals
0
League avg: 1.15
1 played
1 starts
96 mins
~96 mins/game

AwayRodez

I. Baldé

I. Baldé

F

Rodez

Total Goals
1
League avg: 1.15
2 played
2 starts
157 mins
~79 mins/game
Total Goals
1
League avg: 1.15
2 played
1 starts
103 mins
~52 mins/game
Total Goals
0
League avg: 1.15
2 played
2 starts
186 mins
~93 mins/game