Saburtalo vs Larne

UEFA Europa League3rd Qualifying Round
After Extra Time
21
HT: 00
AET: 10
Ref: Rohit Saggi, NorwayMikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni, Tbilisi · 25,453 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinlowHit
Full-time story

Saburtalo edge Larne in extra time thriller

A late flurry of goals sent the tie beyond 90 minutes before Saburtalo clinched victory.

Saburtalo and Larne traded blows late in normal time with V. Bedoshvili and J. Simpson scoring within minutes of each other around the 74th and 76th minutes. The deadlock was finally broken in extra time when N. Sikharulashvili netted the winner for Saburtalo at 102 minutes. While Fipster had predicted a narrow home win, the actual 2-1 result after extra time added a bit more drama to the outcome, with the call landing but the scoreline proving more eventful than expected.

Qualifying — two-legged tieLeg 2 of 2Decisive leg
First leg:
Larne 0 0 Saburtalo
Aggregate:
Saburtalo 1 1 Larne (a.e.t.)
Advances:
Saburtalo
FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Underconfident✓ Hit
Fipster's Pick
10
HT 1–0
Final ResultAET
21
HT 0–0 · FT 1–1
50%Fair
C
OutcomeExact ScoreBTTSOver/Under 2.5Halftime
Fipster's self review11 Aug 2026

Outcome probability

Saburtalo 43%Draw 29%Larne 28%

This 3rd Qualifying Round fixture between Saburtalo and Larne promises a cautious and tightly contested affair, with both sides yet to find the net in this competition so far.

Match factors

Statistical Edgehigh

Both teams have yet to score this season

Neither Saburtalo nor Larne have recorded goals or assists data this season, indicating a low-scoring, cautious match.

Form Momentummedium

Both teams have clean sheets in recent matches

Both teams kept clean sheets in their last fixture against each other, suggesting strong defensive organization.

Injury Impacthigh

No confirmed injuries for either team

Both squads have no confirmed absences, so teams can field their strongest available lineups.

The context

Both Saburtalo and Larne have played one match each in this competition, both ending in goalless draws. Their previous head-to-head meeting also finished 0-0, highlighting a history of tight defensive battles between these teams.

Key facts

  1. 1.Saburtalo and Larne have each played one match in this competition, both draws with no goals scored.
  2. 2.Their only head-to-head meeting ended 0-0, indicating a history of tight matches.
  3. 3.Both teams kept clean sheets in their last fixture against each other.
  4. 4.Neither team has recorded any goals or assists this season in the competition.
  5. 5.No confirmed injuries for either side, allowing full-strength squads.
  6. 6.The predicted total number of cards is four, suggesting a moderately physical game.

Analysis

Neither side has scored in their recent outings, and both kept clean sheets in their last encounter, suggesting a match where defences will dominate. With no confirmed injuries, both teams can field their strongest lineups, which may contribute to a disciplined and low-scoring game. Saburtalo's slight edge comes from playing at home and the statistical probability favouring a narrow win.

Prediction

The forecast is for Saburtalo to clinch a 1-0 victory, likely taking the lead by halftime and holding on through a disciplined defensive display. Expect a total of around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled match.

The verdict

In a fixture where goals have been scarce, Saburtalo's home advantage and marginal statistical edge should see them through. Fans can anticipate a tight contest decided by a single moment of quality or a defensive lapse.