Saburtalo vs Jagiellonia

UEFA Europa LeaguePlay-offs

Saburtalo

Full Time
1–2
HT: 1–1

Jagiellonia

Ref: Simone Sozza, ItalyMikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni, Tbilisi · 25,453 cap
Fipster Pick
Away WinhighHit
Full-time story

Jagiellonia edge Saburtalo in tight Europa clash

A penalty and a second-half strike secure a narrow win for the visitors.

Jagiellonia claimed a 2-1 victory over Saburtalo in the UEFA Europa League, with Jesús Imaz opening the scoring from the penalty spot before Z. Natchkebia levelled for the hosts shortly after. A. Klynge's second-half goal proved decisive, sealing the win for Jagiellonia. Fipster's prediction of an away win was spot on, though the exact scoreline was a bit off.

Qualifying — two-legged tieLeg 2 of 2Decisive leg
First leg:
Jagiellonia 4 0 Saburtalo
Aggregate:
Jagiellonia 6 1 Saburtalo
Advances:
Jagiellonia
FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Appropriate✓ Hit
Fipster's Pick✓
1–3
HT 0–2
Final Result
1–2
HT 1–1
86%Excellent
A
✓Outcome✗Exact score✓Both scored✓Goals✗Halftime
Fipster's self review27 Aug 2026

Outcome probability

Saburtalo 2%Draw 3%Jagiellonia 95%

The upcoming play-off clash between Saburtalo and Jagiellonia promises to be a showcase of Jagiellonia's attacking prowess. With recent encounters heavily favouring the visitors, this match looks set to follow suit.

Match factors

Statistical Edgehigh

Jagiellonia's superior scoring form

Jagiellonia averages 2.33 goals per game vs Saburtalo's 0.33, indicating strong attacking edge

Form Momentumhigh

Jagiellonia's 3-match scoring streak

Jagiellonia has scored in all last 3 matches, showing consistent offensive form

Injury Impacthigh

No confirmed absences for either team

Both teams have full squads available, so no injury disruptions expected

Tactical Advantagehigh

Jagiellonia's attacking players in form

Players like Jesús Imaz and Sergio Lozano have scored recently, likely to exploit Saburtalo's weak defense

The context

In this competition's play-offs, Jagiellonia have been in fine fettle, boasting two wins and a draw from three matches, scoring seven goals while conceding just two. Saburtalo, on the other hand, have struggled to find the net, with just one goal in three matches and a recent heavy 0-4 defeat to Jagiellonia in the same stage.

Key insights

  • J

    Jesús Imaz

    Jagiellonia

    Key figure in Jagiellonia's attacking success with 3 goals in recent fixtures, including a penalty against Saburtalo.

    UEFA Europa League 26/273 goals in recent fixtures, scored penalty vs Saburtalo

  • S

    Sergio Lozano

    Jagiellonia

    Contributed a late goal in the last match vs Saburtalo, showing strong attacking form and connection with teammates.

    UEFA Europa League 26/27Scored late goal vs Saburtalo

  • I

    I. Alhassan

    Saburtalo

    Key defender but involved in an own goal against Jagiellonia; Saburtalo's defence has conceded heavily recently.

    UEFA Europa League 26/27Involved in own goal, defence conceded 5 goals in 3 matches

Analysis

Jagiellonia's dominance is clear from their recent 4-0 win over Saburtalo in the play-offs, highlighting their attacking edge. Key players like Jesús Imaz and Sergio Lozano have been instrumental, with Imaz scoring a penalty and Lozano netting a late goal in that fixture. Saburtalo's defence has been leaky, conceding five goals in three matches, and their own defender I. Alhassan has had a tough time, including involvement in an own goal. The predicted halftime score of 0-2 aligns with Jagiellonia's strong start in previous matches, and the fulltime forecast of 1-3 reflects their sustained pressure and scoring ability.

Key facts

  1. 1.Jagiellonia have won all recent matches against Saburtalo in this competition, including a 4-0 play-off victory.
  2. 2.Saburtalo have played 3 matches in this competition with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 1 and conceding 5 goals.
  3. 3.Jagiellonia have played 3 matches with 2 wins and 1 draw, scoring 7 and conceding 2 goals.
  4. 4.The predicted halftime score is 0-2, consistent with Jagiellonia's strong starts in recent matches.
  5. 5.The modal fulltime score prediction is 1-3 in favour of Jagiellonia.
  6. 6.Both teams have full squads available with no confirmed absences.
  7. 7.Jagiellonia's Jesús Imaz and Sergio Lozano have been key contributors in recent fixtures.
  8. 8.Saburtalo's defence has struggled, with defender I. Alhassan involved in an own goal against Jagiellonia.

Prediction

Expect Jagiellonia to continue their winning streak with a 3-1 victory over Saburtalo. The visitors' attacking players are in form and should exploit Saburtalo's defensive vulnerabilities, while Saburtalo may manage a consolation goal but struggle to keep the scoreline close.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — Saburtalo

No standout risk players flagged for Saburtalo

Away — Jagiellonia

Bernardo Vital

Bernardo Vital

Defender

Jagiellonia

Discipline (Y+R*3)
1
1 played
0 mins

The verdict

With Jagiellonia's recent performances and clear statistical advantages, this play-off encounter looks set to be another comfortable win for them. Saburtalo will need to tighten up defensively and find more attacking spark to challenge the visitors effectively.

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