Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe cruise to comfortable win
Asensio sets the tone early before Kahveci and Aydın seal the deal.
Fenerbahçe delivered a commanding 3-0 victory over Rizespor in the Süper Lig, with Marco Asensio opening the scoring in the 12th minute. İ. Kahveci and O. Aydın added late goals to wrap up the win, ensuring a dominant finish. The result matched Fipster's prediction of an away win, though the margin was more emphatic than anticipated.
Outcome probability
Rizespor and Fenerbahçe meet in the seventh round of the Turkish league season, both sitting on six points from three games. With similar starts, this fixture promises a tactical battle where a single goal could decide the outcome.
Match factors
Fenerbahçe's attacking duo in strong form
Greenwood and Muriqi have combined for 11 goals in last 5 games, providing a potent attacking threat.
Mithat Pala's assist threat from defense
Pala's 3 assists in last 5 away games exceed league average for defenders, boosting Rizespor's chance to create chances.
Ali Sowe's consistent away scoring
Sowe has scored 2 goals in last 5 away games, showing good form despite team's lower predicted score.
Fenerbahçe missing Marco Asensio
Asensio's absence due to muscle injury removes a creative midfielder, potentially limiting midfield creativity.
The context
Fenerbahçe hold a commanding record against Rizespor, having won 17 of their 20 encounters, while Rizespor have managed just one victory. Both teams have identical points but Fenerbahçe's higher league position suggests a slight edge in form.
Key insights
Mason Greenwood
Fenerbahçe
Greenwood has been a standout performer with 5 goals and 3 assists in the last 5 games, making him a key attacking threat.
Süper Lig 26/275 goals and 3 assists in last 5 games, 270 mins, 0.6 assists/game
Vedat Muriqi
Fenerbahçe
Muriqi's 6 goals in the last 5 games highlight his clinical finishing and importance to Fenerbahçe's attack.
Süper Lig 26/276 goals in 5 games, 233 mins, 1.2 goals/game
Mithat Pala
Rizespor
Pala's 3 assists in the last 5 away games show his creative influence from defence, boosting Rizespor's chance to create chances.
Süper Lig 26/273 assists in 5 games, 436 mins, 0.6 assists/game
Ali Sowe
Rizespor
Sowe has been consistent away with 2 goals in the last 5 away games, providing a key attacking outlet for Rizespor.
Süper Lig 26/272 goals in 5 games, 425 mins, 0.4 goals/game
Analysis
The prediction leans heavily towards an away win for Fenerbahçe, with a 1-0 scoreline expected. The model suggests Fenerbahçe will strike early, maintaining their lead throughout. Key attacking players like Mason Greenwood and Vedat Muriqi have been in fine form, combining for 11 goals in recent matches. Rizespor's Mithat Pala offers creativity from defence, but Fenerbahçe's defensive solidity should keep them at bay. The absence of Marco Asensio for Fenerbahçe might limit midfield creativity, but their attacking duo's potency remains a significant threat.
Key facts
- 1.Fenerbahçe have won 17 of 20 matches against Rizespor.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 4.1 goals, with Fenerbahçe scoring 61 in 20 games.
- 3.Both teams have 6 points from 3 games, but Fenerbahçe sit 3rd and Rizespor 5th in the league.
- 4.Fenerbahçe's Mason Greenwood has 5 goals and 3 assists in last 5 games.
- 5.Vedat Muriqi has scored 6 goals in his last 5 games for Fenerbahçe.
- 6.Mithat Pala has provided 3 assists in last 5 away games for Rizespor.
- 7.Fenerbahçe are missing creative midfielder Marco Asensio due to injury.
Prediction
Expect Fenerbahçe to secure a narrow 1-0 victory, likely taking the lead by halftime and holding on to it. The match should be competitive, but the away side's attacking quality and historical dominance make them favourites to claim all three points.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Rizespor
Away — Fenerbahçe
The verdict
This fixture is set to be a tight affair with Fenerbahçe's clinical edge making the difference. Rizespor will need to tighten up defensively and hope for moments of brilliance from players like Ali Sowe to challenge the visitors. Ultimately, the prediction favours a slender away win.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 18:59 UTC · Fipster Model v1.161
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Asensio
Assist: Aktürkoğlu
Asensio
Kutucu
Adedire Emmanuel Awokoya-Mebude
Laçi
Muriqi
Greenwood
Antalyalı
Kahveci
Assist: Aydın
Aydın
Assist: Lukaku
Guendouzi
Aktürkoğlu
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 2 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 |  Kocaelispor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 5 |  Rizespor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 |  Kasımpaşa | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
Match Statistics
Rizespor
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 4A. MocsiD
- 9A. SoweF
- 10I. OlawoyinM
- 11Adedire Emmanuel Awokoya-MebudeM
- 14T. AntalyalıM
- 17Z. ArissD
- 20Q. LaçiM
- 23A. KutucuM
- 54M. PalaD
- 75Y. FofanaG
- 93M. SagnanD
Substitutes
- 5T. SanuçD
- 6M. DiakitéM
- 19U. ErdemD
- 21S. BakayokoD
- 29G. BorrelliF
- 30Z. GörgenG
- 37T. ŞahinD
- 70C. BozdoğanM
- 79Iustin DoicaruF
- 99E. BulutF
Fenerbahçe
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3A. BrownD
- 6M. GuendouziM
- 7K. AktürkoğluM
- 10Marco AsensioM
- 11M. GreenwoodM
- 15N. AkéD
- 19V. MuriqiF
- 27Nélson SemedoD
- 31EdersonG
- 37M. ŠkriniarD
- 91N. KantéM
Substitutes
- 5İ. YüksekM
- 8M. YandaşM
- 9R. LukakuF
- 17İ. KahveciM
- 21K. Peprah OppongD
- 22L. MercanD
- 28B. ElmazM
- 34M. GünokG
- 45N. DorgelesF
- 70O. AydınF
Rizespor
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylan Antalyalı(C) | M | 82 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ahmed Kutucu | M | 66 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 0/2 |
| Adedire Mebude | M | 72 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Ibrahim Olawoyin | M | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3/3 |
| Modibo Sagnan | D | 89 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Qazim Laci | M | 72 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Mithat Pala | D | 89 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Ali Sowe | F | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Attila Mocsi | D | 89 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zakaria Ariss | D | 89 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Yahia Fofana | G | 89 | 5.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Taha Şahin | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tayyip Talha Sanuç | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Umut Erdem | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Siaka Bakayoko | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moussa Diakité | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gennaro Borrelli | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zafer Görgen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iustin Doicaru | F | 23 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Emrecan Bulut | F | 17 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Can Bozdoğan | M | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Fenerbahçe
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mattéo Guendouzi | M | 88 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Marco Asensio | M | 59 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Ederson | G | 89 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Milan Škriniar(C) | D | 89 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathan Aké | D | 89 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nélson Semedo | D | 89 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Mason Greenwood | M | 80 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| N'Golo Kanté | M | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| Vedat Muriqi | F | 80 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Archie Brown | D | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Kerem Aktürkoğlu | M | 88 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Mert Hakan Yandaş | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Levent Mercan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bartuğ Elmaz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| İsmail Yüksek | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dorgeles Nene | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kojo Peprah Oppong | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mert Günok | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oğuz Aydın | F | 9 | 8.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| İrfan Can Kahveci | M | 30 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Romelu Lukaku | F | 9 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Fenerbahçe to win against Rizespor.
- What score did Fipster predict for Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Rizespor 0–1 Fenerbahçe.
- What were the win probabilities for Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe?
- Fipster's model gave Rizespor a 13% chance of winning, Fenerbahçe a 73% chance, and a 14% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 73% confidence — a high-confidence call.