Rio Ave vs Famalicao
Famalicao cruise to commanding win at Rio Ave
A dominant display sees Famalicao rack up a 4-0 victory away from home.
Famalicao put on a clinical performance to dismantle Rio Ave 4-0 in the Primeira Liga. R. Beney opened the scoring just after the break, setting the tone for a comfortable win that was sealed by late goals from Pedro Santos and Óscar Aranda. While Fipster had confidently tipped an away win, the emphatic margin exceeded expectations, making it a thoroughly convincing result for Famalicao.
Outcome probability
As the regular season unfolds, Rio Ave and Famalicao prepare to clash in what promises to be a lively contest. Both sides have had their struggles and successes, but the visitors appear poised to take the spoils in this one.
Match factors
Famalicao's prolific striker advantage
Georgios Koutsias leads with 5 goals in 7 games, significantly boosting Famalicao's scoring potential
Rio Ave's creative midfield presence
Diogo Bezerra provides 3 assists in 8 games, above league average, aiding Rio Ave's attack
Famalicao's recent scoring streak
Famalicao has scored in 4 of last 5 matches, with Koutsias and Sorriso in strong form
Full squad availability for Rio Ave
No confirmed injuries for Rio Ave, ensuring full strength squad for attacking and defensive roles
Full squad availability for Famalicao
Famalicao has no confirmed injuries, maintaining their key attacking and creative players
The context
Rio Ave sit 14th in the league with 7 points from 8 games, while Famalicao are just above them in 13th with 7 points from 7 games. Both teams have shown flashes of attacking intent, but Famalicao's superior goal difference hints at a more potent offensive edge this season.
Key insights
Georgios Koutsias
Famalicao
Leads team scoring with 5 goals in 7 games, significantly boosting Famalicao's scoring potential
Primeira Liga 26/275 goals in 7 appearances, 0.71 goals/game
Mathias De Amorim
Famalicao
Top assister with 3 assists in 7 games, strong passing and defensive contribution
Primeira Liga 26/273 assists in 7 appearances, 0.43 assists/game
Jalen Miller Blesa
Rio Ave
Top scorer with 3 goals in 8 games, good home scoring form and creative threat
Primeira Liga 26/273 goals in 8 appearances, 0.38 goals/game
Analysis
Famalicao's Georgios Koutsias is the standout threat, boasting 5 goals in 7 appearances and an impressive recent away form with 4 goals in his last 2 away matches. Rio Ave's Jalen Miller Blesa leads his side with 3 goals and 3 assists, showing good home form and creativity. Both teams have full squads available, so expect a competitive match. The predicted halftime score of 1-2 suggests Famalicao will start strong, with Rio Ave fighting back but ultimately falling short.
Key facts
- 1.Famalicao have a significantly better goal difference (11 goals) than Rio Ave this season
- 2.Rio Ave are ranked 14th with 7 points from 8 games (W2 D1 L5)
- 3.Famalicao are ranked 13th with 7 points from 7 games (W1 D4 L2)
- 4.Georgios Koutsias leads Famalicao with 5 goals in 7 games
- 5.Jalen Miller Blesa is Rio Ave's top scorer with 3 goals in 8 games
- 6.Mathias De Amorim has provided 3 assists for Famalicao in 7 games
- 7.Diogo Bezerra leads Rio Ave with 3 assists in 8 games
- 8.No confirmed injuries for either team, both squads at full strength
Prediction
The forecast is for a 3-2 victory to Famalicao, with the away side's attacking prowess likely to outgun Rio Ave's efforts. The match should be entertaining, with goals at both ends and a few cards along the way, tallying around four in total.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Rio Ave
Away — Famalicao
The verdict
In summary, Famalicao's sharper attack and recent scoring streak give them the edge in this encounter. Rio Ave will not go down without a fight, but the visitors are expected to secure all three points in a closely contested match.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 23:22 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Yellow Card
Patricio
Yellow Card
Beney
Assist: Pinheiro
Koutsias
Szücs
João Tomé
Clemmensen
Beney
Patricio
Yellow Card
Pedro Santos
Assist: Sorriso
Bezerra
Liavas
Sorriso
van de Looi
Aranda
Assist: Pedro Santos
Petrasso
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Rio Ave
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5A. NtoiD
- 7Diogo BezerraM
- 11J. BlesaF
- 17M. VrousaiD
- 20João ToméD
- 23F. PetrassoD
- 32Vitor HugoG
- 54G. LiavasM
- 79M. PatricioM
- 80S. ClemmensenM
- 90Diogo NascimentoM
Substitutes
- 3S. GarciaD
- 8Ryan GuilhermeM
- 9Tamble MonteiroF
- 19M. SelloukiM
- 30R. GalčíkF
- 39Gustavo ManchaD
- 44T. NikitscherM
- 60CaikeD
- 70A. WenckM
- 77D. ŠpikićF
- 99E. van der GouwG
Famalicao
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2Gustavo GarciaD
- 3L. RealpeD
- 6T. van de LooiM
- 7SorrisoM
- 14Mathias De AmorimM
- 15Víctor RofinoD
- 17Rodrigo PinheiroD
- 18R. BeneyM
- 21Tamás SzücsM
- 25L. CarevićG
- 70G. KoutsiasF
Substitutes
- 1I. ZlobinG
- 4F. van BreemenD
- 8Marcos PeñaM
- 9U. AbubakarF
- 10Pedro SantosF
- 11Óscar ArandaF
- 19Paulo MoreiraM
- 22GabrielG
- 24Mathis JangealM
- 30V. SerafimovićD
- 33P. SalasF
Rio Ave
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ntoi | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| G. Liavas | M | 82 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Diogo Nascimento | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| D. Špikić | F | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Tamble Monteiro | F | 8 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Blesa | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. Galčík | F | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Clemmensen | M | 65 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/3 |
| João Tomé | D | 65 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Sellouki | M | 25 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Diogo Bezerra | M | 82 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| F. Petrasso | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Patricio | M | 77 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Vitor Hugo | G | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Vrousai | D | 90 | 5.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| S. Garcia | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Mancha | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. van der Gouw | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Wenck | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Caike | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Nikitscher | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Guilherme | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Famalicao
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Beney | M | 66 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Sorriso | M | 83 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Pedro Santos | F | 30 | 7.7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Óscar Aranda | F | 7 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| L. Realpe | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Garcia | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Víctor Rofino | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Pinheiro | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Tamás Szücs | M | 60 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Mathias De Amorim | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| L. Carević | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Moreira | M | 24 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. van de Looi | M | 83 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| G. Koutsias | F | 60 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| P. Salas | F | 30 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Marcos Peña | M | 7 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Zlobin | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Serafimović | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. van Breemen | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| U. Abubakar | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathis Jangeal | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Rio Ave vs Famalicao?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Famalicao to win against Rio Ave.
- What score did Fipster predict for Rio Ave vs Famalicao?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Rio Ave 2–3 Famalicao.
- What were the win probabilities for Rio Ave vs Famalicao?
- Fipster's model gave Rio Ave a 7% chance of winning, Famalicao a 85% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.