Rennes vs Auxerre
Rennes run riot with late double
A commanding 4-1 victory for Rennes, sealed by B. Dia's stoppage-time brace.
Rennes took an early lead through E. Lepaul before Auxerre's C. Archer levelled the scores. After the break, A. Thomasson restored Rennes' advantage, and B. Dia wrapped up the win with two goals deep into stoppage time. Fipster's prediction of a Rennes win was spot on, though the actual scoreline was even more emphatic than forecast.
Outcome probability
Rennes and Auxerre face off in the sixth round of Ligue 1, with Rennes currently enjoying a better run in the league. This match promises attacking intent, especially from Rennes, who have been effective in front of goal at home.
Match factors
Rennes' attacking midfielders dominate creativity
Adrien Thomasson and Sebastian Szymański provide strong assist potential, linking well with top scorer Lepaul.
Esteban Lepaul's strong home scoring form
Lepaul has scored 2 goals in 2 home games, exceeding league attacker averages and boosting Rennes' goal threat.
Rennes' recent home form supports predicted win
Rennes has won 3 of last 4 home games, scoring on average 2 goals per home match, aligning with predicted 3-1 score.
Auxerre missing key defensive players
Auxerre has 4 defenders confirmed out, weakening their defense against Rennes' attack.
Valentin Rongier's dual role boosts Rennes midfield
Rongier combines defensive solidity with goal threat, scoring 1 goal and making 12 tackles in 5 games.
The context
Rennes sit comfortably in 5th place with 10 points from 5 games, while Auxerre find themselves near the bottom at 16th with just 3 points from 4 matches. Historically, Rennes hold a slight edge in their head-to-head record, having won 4 of their 11 meetings against Auxerre's 3, with 4 draws.
Key insights
Esteban Lepaul
Rennes
Lepaul has been clinical at home, scoring 2 goals in 2 matches, making him Rennes' top attacking threat.
Ligue 1 26/273 goals in 5 games, 2 at home
Adrien Thomasson
Rennes
Thomasson leads Rennes in assists, providing 2 in 5 games and orchestrating much of the team's attacking play.
Ligue 1 26/272 assists in 5 games
Valentin Rongier
Rennes
Rongier combines defensive grit with offensive contributions, tallying 1 goal and 12 tackles in 5 games.
Ligue 1 26/271 goal, 12 tackles in 5 games
Analysis
Rennes boast a superior goal difference (+5) and points per game (2.00) compared to Auxerre's -6 and 0.75 respectively. Their attacking midfielder duo, Adrien Thomasson and Sebastian Szymański, have been instrumental in creating chances, linking well with top scorer Esteban Lepaul, who has netted 3 goals this season including 2 at home. Auxerre, on the other hand, are hampered by the absence of four key defenders, which could leave their backline vulnerable against Rennes' potent attack.
Key facts
- 1.Rennes have won 4 of the last 11 meetings against Auxerre, who have won 3, with 4 draws.
- 2.Rennes are 5th in Ligue 1 with 10 points from 5 games; Auxerre are 16th with 3 points from 4 games.
- 3.Rennes have a goal difference of +5 compared to Auxerre's -6 this season.
- 4.Esteban Lepaul leads Rennes with 3 goals in 5 games, scoring twice at home.
- 5.Adrien Thomasson has provided 2 assists in 5 games, key to Rennes' creativity.
- 6.Auxerre are missing four defenders, weakening their defensive options.
- 7.Rennes average 2 points per game, Auxerre just 0.75 this season.
Prediction
Expect Rennes to take an early lead, reflected in the predicted 2-0 halftime scoreline. Their attacking momentum should continue into the second half, with Auxerre managing a consolation goal. The final score is forecasted as 3-1 in favour of Rennes, with around four cards expected in what should be a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Rennes
Away — Auxerre
No standout top scorers flagged for Auxerre
The verdict
Rennes look set to extend their good home form and climb further up the table, while Auxerre will need to regroup and shore up their defence after this likely setback. Fans can anticipate a lively match with Rennes asserting their quality and Auxerre fighting to keep the score respectable.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 14:53 UTC · Fipster Model v1.160
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Lepaul
Assist: Cresswell
Archer
Assist: Diop
Rouault
Yellow Card
Thomasson
Assist: Reynolds
Lepaul
Yellow Card
Thomasson
Yellow Card
Mousa Tamari
Thomasson
Akpa
Lepaul
Soumaré
Namaso
Ahamada
Piedfort
Nagida
Faivre
Dia
Assist: Blas
Dia
Assist: Reynolds
Cissé
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Rennes
4-3-3Starting XI
- 4C. CresswellD
- 9E. LepaulF
- 11Mousa TamariF
- 14B. ReynoldsD
- 18M. NagidaD
- 21V. RongierM
- 24A. RouaultD
- 28A. ThomassonM
- 30B. SambaG
- 45M. CamaraM
- 90I. SoumaréF
Substitutes
- 6D. CisséM
- 10L. BlasF
- 12Eliezer MayendaF
- 16N. LemaîtreG
- 17S. SzymańskiM
- 22B. DiaF
- 48A. Ait BoudlalD
- 65H. Do MarcolinoF
- 95P. FrankowskiM
Auxerre
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 4A. TuanzebeD
- 5K. DanoisM
- 8N. AhamadaM
- 9C. ArcherF
- 10D. NamasoM
- 21R. FaivreM
- 22F. OppegårdM
- 23M. DiopG
- 27L. SyM
- 46A. PiedfortD
- 92C. AkpaD
Substitutes
- 1P. NardiG
- 3R. Labeau LascaryF
- 17P. EkwahM
- 20S. DiomandéD
- 34L. DioubateM
- 35E. LegrosD
- 45Salimou DanfakhaD
- 77Aristide ZossouM
Rennes
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Dia | F | 13 | 8.3 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| E. Lepaul | F | 77 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0/1 |
| A. Thomasson | M | 67 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Samba | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Cresswell | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Reynolds | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| L. Blas | F | 13 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| M. Nagida | D | 85 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/3 |
| V. Rongier | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Eliezer Mayenda | F | 23 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Camara | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Mousa Tamari | F | 67 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| I. Soumaré | F | 77 | 6.4 | — | — | 5 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| D. Cissé | M | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Rouault | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| P. Frankowski | M | 5 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Lemaître | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Szymański | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ait Boudlal | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Do Marcolino | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Auxerre
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Archer | F | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Diop | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| R. Faivre | M | 87 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3/4 |
| N. Ahamada | M | 77 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| K. Danois | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/4 |
| R. Labeau Lascary | F | 13 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| C. Akpa | D | 76 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Oppegård | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Piedfort | D | 82 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| D. Namaso | M | 77 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| A. Tuanzebe | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| P. Ekwah | M | 13 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| L. Sy | M | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 4/8 |
| Aristide Zossou | M | 8 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Legros | D | 14 | 5.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Salimou Danfakha | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Nardi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Diomandé | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Dioubate | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Rennes vs Auxerre?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Rennes to win against Auxerre.
- What score did Fipster predict for Rennes vs Auxerre?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Rennes 3–1 Auxerre.
- What were the win probabilities for Rennes vs Auxerre?
- Fipster's model gave Rennes a 95% chance of winning, Auxerre a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.