Rennes vs Auxerre

Ligue 1Matchweek 6
Roazhon Park, Rennes · 31,127 cap
Fipster Pick
Home Winhigh

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Rennes and Auxerre face off in the sixth round of Ligue 1, with Rennes currently enjoying a better run in the league. This match promises attacking intent, especially from Rennes, who have been effective in front of goal at home.

FıpsterPredicted Scoreline
Pre-Match
3–1
Half-time2–0
Rennes Win
HIGH
Confidence
Rennes 95%Draw 3%Auxerre 2%

The context

Rennes sit comfortably in 5th place with 10 points from 5 games, while Auxerre find themselves near the bottom at 16th with just 3 points from 4 matches. Historically, Rennes hold a slight edge in their head-to-head record, having won 4 of their 11 meetings against Auxerre's 3, with 4 draws.

Match factors

Tactical Advantagehigh

Rennes' attacking midfielders dominate creativity

Adrien Thomasson and Sebastian Szymański provide strong assist potential, linking well with top scorer Lepaul.

Statistical Edgehigh

Esteban Lepaul's strong home scoring form

Lepaul has scored 2 goals in 2 home games, exceeding league attacker averages and boosting Rennes' goal threat.

Form Momentummedium

Rennes' recent home form supports predicted win

Rennes has won 3 of last 4 home games, scoring on average 2 goals per home match, aligning with predicted 3-1 score.

Injury Impacthigh

Auxerre missing key defensive players

Auxerre has 4 defenders confirmed out, weakening their defense against Rennes' attack.

Tactical Advantagemedium

Valentin Rongier's dual role boosts Rennes midfield

Rongier combines defensive solidity with goal threat, scoring 1 goal and making 12 tackles in 5 games.

Analysis

Rennes boast a superior goal difference (+5) and points per game (2.00) compared to Auxerre's -6 and 0.75 respectively. Their attacking midfielder duo, Adrien Thomasson and Sebastian Szymański, have been instrumental in creating chances, linking well with top scorer Esteban Lepaul, who has netted 3 goals this season including 2 at home. Auxerre, on the other hand, are hampered by the absence of four key defenders, which could leave their backline vulnerable against Rennes' potent attack.

Prediction

Expect Rennes to take an early lead, reflected in the predicted 2-0 halftime scoreline. Their attacking momentum should continue into the second half, with Auxerre managing a consolation goal. The final score is forecasted as 3-1 in favour of Rennes, with around four cards expected in what should be a competitive but controlled encounter.

Key facts

  1. 1.Rennes have won 4 of the last 11 meetings against Auxerre, who have won 3, with 4 draws.
  2. 2.Rennes are 5th in Ligue 1 with 10 points from 5 games; Auxerre are 16th with 3 points from 4 games.
  3. 3.Rennes have a goal difference of +5 compared to Auxerre's -6 this season.
  4. 4.Esteban Lepaul leads Rennes with 3 goals in 5 games, scoring twice at home.
  5. 5.Adrien Thomasson has provided 2 assists in 5 games, key to Rennes' creativity.
  6. 6.Auxerre are missing four defenders, weakening their defensive options.
  7. 7.Rennes average 2 points per game, Auxerre just 0.75 this season.

The verdict

Rennes look set to extend their good home form and climb further up the table, while Auxerre will need to regroup and shore up their defence after this likely setback. Fans can anticipate a lively match with Rennes asserting their quality and Auxerre fighting to keep the score respectable.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — Rennes

Esteban Lepaul

Esteban Lepaul

Attacker

Rennes

Total Goals
3
League avg: 0.25
5 played
4 starts
376 mins
~75 mins/game
Valentin Rongier

Valentin Rongier

Midfielder

Rennes

Total Goals
1
League avg: 0.25
5 played
5 starts
434 mins
~87 mins/game
Total Goals
1
League avg: 0.25
5 played
5 starts
409 mins
~82 mins/game

Away — Auxerre

No standout top scorers flagged for Auxerre

Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 14:53 UTC · Fipster Model v1.160

Prediction Q&A

Who does Fipster predict will win Rennes vs Auxerre?
Fipster's AI model predicts Rennes to win against Auxerre.
What is the predicted score for Rennes vs Auxerre?
Fipster predicts a final score of Rennes 3–1 Auxerre.
What are the win probabilities for Rennes vs Auxerre?
Fipster's model gives Rennes a 95% chance of winning, Auxerre a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigns this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.