Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan
AC Milan dismantle Salzburg with clinical display
A. Cissè's hat-trick sets the tone as Milan cruise to a commanding 4-0 victory.
AC Milan delivered a stunning performance at Red Bull Salzburg, with A. Cissè netting a first-half hat-trick and Gonçalo Ramos adding a fourth after the break. The visitors dominated from early on, overturning Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a Salzburg win to secure a comprehensive 4-0 triumph. This emphatic result was a clear upset against the expected home victory.
Outcome probability
Red Bull Salzburg face AC Milan in a Group Stage encounter where Salzburg's recent home performances and scoring streak suggest they have the edge. The Rossoneri will need to be at their best to counter Salzburg's attacking momentum.
Match factors
Red Bull Salzburg's recent scoring streak
Salzburg has scored in their last 3 of 4 matches, showing strong attacking momentum at home.
Home scoring advantage for Salzburg
Salzburg averages 3 goals per home game, well above their away average of 0.5, indicating strong home attacking performance.
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have no confirmed out players, so full squads are expected, maintaining tactical stability.
Salzburg's positive scoring streak at home
Salzburg's current 2-game home scoring streak supports their predicted 3-1 win, leveraging home advantage.
The context
In this competition, Salzburg have played four matches with a record of two wins, one draw, and one loss, scoring seven goals and conceding four. Their latest knockout success was a 3-0 home win against Mjallby AIF in the Play-offs. AC Milan, known as the Rossoneri or Diavolo, bring their own pedigree but face a Salzburg side confident on home turf.
Key facts
- 1.Red Bull Salzburg have scored 7 goals and conceded 4 in 4 matches in this competition.
- 2.Salzburg's recent knockout win was a 3-0 home victory against Mjallby AIF.
- 3.Salzburg average 3 goals per home game compared to 0.5 away goals.
- 4.No confirmed injuries for either team, so full squads are expected.
- 5.Predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of Salzburg.
- 6.Predicted fulltime score is 3-1 to Salzburg.
- 7.Four cards are expected during the match.
Analysis
Salzburg's home scoring average of three goals per game contrasts sharply with their away average of just 0.5, highlighting a significant home advantage. Their recent run includes scoring in three of their last four matches, underpinning their attacking threat. Both teams have full squads available, so tactical plans should proceed without disruption. The predicted halftime score of 1-0 aligns with Salzburg's tendency to start strongly at home, setting the stage for a 3-1 fulltime result.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Red Bull Salzburg
Away — AC Milan
Prediction
The forecast is a home win for Red Bull Salzburg with a halftime lead of 1-0 and a final score of 3-1. The match is expected to feature four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter. Salzburg's positive home form and scoring streak make them the likely victors against AC Milan in this Group Stage fixture.
The verdict
Salzburg's attacking momentum and home advantage are key factors in this prediction. While AC Milan will undoubtedly challenge, the evidence points to Salzburg securing a confident 3-1 win. Fans can expect an entertaining match with goals and a fair share of competitive spirit.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Cissè
Assist: Hutchinson
Hutchinson
Yellow Card
Cissè
Assist: Bartesaghi
Zabransky
Yellow Card
Cissè
Assist: Rabiot
Baidoo
Cissè
Camarda
Kitano
Rabiot
Tomori
Ramos
Tabaković
Lindstrøm
Pavlović
Morgalla
Terracciano
Red Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |  Omonia Nicosia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 34 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 35 |  AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Red Bull Salzburg
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8S. KitanoM
- 9H. TabakovićF
- 15B. MazurekM
- 20E. BaidooM
- 31D. SchmidD
- 32A. BarryM
- 35J. LindstrømM
- 39L. MorgallaD
- 44K. BomaD
- 47Valentin ZabranskyD
- 52Christian ZawieschitzkyG
Substitutes
- 1C. FrüchtlG
- 4J. MellbergD
- 7U. TohumcuM
- 11Y. VertessenF
- 13F. KrätzigD
- 21T. DrexlerD
- 22S. LainerD
- 23D. RedzicF
- 30G. DiakitéF
- 33A. CamaraM
- 41Nikola ŠarčevićG
AC Milan
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5K. De WinterD
- 8R. Loftus-CheekM
- 12A. RabiotM
- 16M. MaignanG
- 20O. HutchinsonM
- 23F. TomoriD
- 30A. JashariM
- 31S. PavlovićD
- 33D. BartesaghiM
- 70A. CissèM
- 73F. CamardaF
Substitutes
- 2P. EstupiñánD
- 9Gonçalo RamosF
- 11C. PulišićM
- 13S. BocoumD
- 14L. ModrićM
- 21S. ChukwuezeF
- 22Diego MoreiraF
- 28C. ComottoM
- 34Mario GilaD
- 42F. TerraccianoD
- 80Y. MusahM
- 96L. TorrianiG
Red Bull Salzburg
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Barry | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Christian Zawieschitzky | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Mazurek | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/4 |
| D. Redzic | F | 17 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| Y. Vertessen | F | 30 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
| G. Diakité | F | 30 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| H. Tabaković | F | 73 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| S. Kitano | M | 60 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| D. Schmid | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| J. Lindstrøm | M | 73 | 6.1 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| E. Baidoo | M | 60 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 3/9 |
| L. Morgalla | D | 81 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| K. Boma | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Valentin Zabransky | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Camara | M | 17 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| T. Drexler | D | 9 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Mellberg | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Šarčević | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Lainer | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Früchtl | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| U. Tohumcu | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Krätzig | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
AC Milan
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Cissè | M | 60 | 9.7 | 3 | — | 4 | 4 | — | 1/2 |
| D. Bartesaghi | M | 90 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2/4 |
| A. Rabiot | M | 61 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1/1 |
| S. Pavlović | D | 81 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| K. De Winter | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| F. Tomori | D | 67 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Gonçalo Ramos | F | 30 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| O. Hutchinson | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4/4 |
| A. Jashari | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| C. Pulišić | M | 30 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 3/4 |
| M. Maignan | G | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Bocoum | D | 9 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Modrić | M | 29 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| R. Loftus-Cheek | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| F. Camarda | F | 60 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| F. Terracciano | D | 16 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Torriani | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Chukwueze | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Moreira | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Estupiñán | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Musah | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mario Gila | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Comotto | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Red Bull Salzburg to win against AC Milan.
- What score did Fipster predict for Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Red Bull Salzburg 3–1 AC Milan.
- What were the win probabilities for Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan?
- Fipster's model gave Red Bull Salzburg a 95% chance of winning, AC Milan a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.