Real Sociedad vs Valencia
Match recap
Valencia beat Real Sociedad 4–3 in their La Liga fixture. Muñoz, Tárrega, and Óskarsson scored for Real Sociedad; Javi Guerra, Duro, Rodríguez, and Javi Guerra replied for Valencia. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.14 for Real Sociedad versus 1.61 for Valencia. Real Sociedad sit 10th in the La Liga table while Valencia are 9th.
Analysis
As the La Liga season nears its climax, Real Sociedad host Valencia in what promises to be a closely contested affair. Both teams are fighting for pride and points, but the home side holds a slight edge.
Real Sociedad sit 8th with 45 points, just ahead of Valencia in 11th with 43 points. The home team boasts a better goal difference (-1 compared to Valencia's -12), reflecting a stronger overall campaign. This match could be pivotal for both sides' final standings.
Real Sociedad's attacking threat is spearheaded by Mikel Oyarzabal, who has netted 15 goals this season and remains a key figure at home despite injury setbacks. Valencia, meanwhile, struggle on the road, averaging just 0.8 goals per away game. The absence of creative midfielder Sergio Gómez for Real Sociedad due to suspension may limit chances, but their home scoring average of 1.9 goals per game supports the prediction of a 2-1 win. Defensive solidity from Valencia's José Gayà and Copete will be crucial, but the home side's slight statistical advantage and recent form tip the scales in their favour.
Prediction
Expect Real Sociedad to take an early lead, going into halftime 1-0 up. Valencia will respond, but the home side's resilience and attacking quality should see them clinch a 2-1 victory. The match is likely to be competitive, with around four cards expected, reflecting the intensity of this late-season encounter.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Key attackers missing for Real Sociedad
Oyarzabal, Guedes, Óskarsson, and Barrenetxea are injured or suspended, reducing attacking options.
Sergio Gómez's absence weakens creativity
Gómez leads assists and passing accuracy but is suspended, limiting Real Sociedad's chance creation.
Real Sociedad's home scoring strength
Real Sociedad averages 1.9 goals at home, above league average, supporting predicted 2 goals.
Valencia's recent away scoring struggles
Valencia averages 0.8 goals away, below league average, indicating limited scoring threat.
Defensive solidity key for Valencia
Gayà and Copete are defensive leaders; their fitness crucial to contain Sociedad's attack.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Real Sociedad's home advantage and superior goal difference make them favourites to secure all three points against Valencia. While Valencia will not go down without a fight, the home side's attacking prowess and defensive organisation should see them through to a narrow win.
- Real Sociedad are 8th with 45 points from 36 games (W11 D12 L13).
- Valencia are 11th with 43 points from 36 games (W11 D10 L15).
- Real Sociedad have a better goal difference (-1) compared to Valencia's (-12).
- Mikel Oyarzabal is Real Sociedad's top scorer with 15 goals this season.
- Real Sociedad average 1.9 goals per home game, above the league average.
- Valencia average 0.8 goals per away game, below the league average.
- Sergio Gómez, Real Sociedad's top assister, is suspended for this match.
- The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Real Sociedad
Away — Valencia
No standout top scorers flagged for Valencia
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Muñoz
Assist: Elustondo
Javi Guerra
Assist: López
Duro
Assist: Cömert
Zakharyan
Yellow Card
Méndez
Muñoz
Zakharyan
Tárrega (OG)
Óskarsson
Assist: Oyarzabal
Cömert
Red Card
Duro
Ugrinic
López
Luis Rioja
Óskarsson
Núñez
Elustondo
Turrientes
Yellow Card
Martín
Yellow Card
Zubeldia
Yellow Card
Rodríguez
Assist: André Almeida
Javi Guerra
Assist: Correia
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | +59 | 94 |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | -3 | 50 |
| 9 |  Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -9 | 49 |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | -2 | 46 |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | -12 | 46 |
Match Statistics
Real Sociedad
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Álex RemiroG
- 3Aihen MuñozD
- 5ZubeldiaD
- 6ElustondoD
- 8Beñat TurrientesM
- 9O. ÓskarssonF
- 15Pablo MarínM
- 18Carlos SolerM
- 21A. ZakharyanM
- 23Brais MéndezM
- 31Jon MartínD
Substitutes
- 2J. AramburuD
- 10Mikel OyarzabalF
- 11Gonçalo GuedesF
- 12Y. HerreraM
- 13Unai MarreroG
- 14T. KuboF
- 17Sergio GómezF
- 22Wesley GassovaF
- 24L. SučićM
- 38Luken BeitiaD
- 42Gorka CarreraF
- 46Ibai AguirreM
Valencia
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1S. DimitrievskiG
- 2G. RodríguezM
- 4Unai NúñezD
- 5César TárregaD
- 8Javi GuerraF
- 9Hugo DuroF
- 11Luis RiojaM
- 16Diego LópezM
- 21Jesús VázquezD
- 23F. UgrinicM
- 24E. CömertD
Substitutes
- 6U. SadiqF
- 7A. DanjumaF
- 10André AlmeidaM
- 12Thierry CorreiaD
- 17L. RamazaniF
- 18PepeluM
- 19Dani RabaF
- 22B. SantamaríaM
- 25Julen AgirrezabalaG
- 26Rubo IranzoD
- 27David OtorbiF
- 36Marcos NavarroD
Real Sociedad
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orri Óskarsson | F | 79 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| Brais Méndez | M | 57 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Aihen Muñoz | D | 57 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| Igor Zubeldia | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arsen Zakharyan | M | 57 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Pablo Marín | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Carlos Soler | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Beñat Turrientes | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Jon Martin | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aritz Elustondo(C) | D | 84 | 5.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Álex Remiro | G | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ibai Aguirre | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gorka Carrera Zarranz | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wesley | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luken Beitia | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Unai Marrero | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Takefusa Kubo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yangel Herrera | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mikel Oyarzabal | F | 33 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Sergio Gómez | F | 33 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Guedes | F | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luka Sučić | M | 33 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Jon Aramburu | D | 16 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Valencia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Guerra | F | 90 | 9.2 | 2 | — | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5/6 |
| Guido Rodríguez | M | 90 | 8.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Jesús Vázquez | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 4/5 |
| Diego López | M | 74 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Hugo Duro | F | 73 | 6.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Filip Ugrinić | M | 73 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Unai Núñez | D | 83 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Rioja | M | 74 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Stole Dimitrievski | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| César Tárrega(C) | D | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Eray Cömert | D | 70 | 5.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Julen Agirrezabala | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dani Raba | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Navarro | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rubén Iranzo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Baptiste Santamaria | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arnaut Danjuma | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Otorbi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thierry Correia | D | 17 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| André Almeida | M | 17 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Largie Ramazani | F | 16 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Pepelu | M | 16 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Umar Sadiq | F | 17 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |