Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna
Real Sociedad hold off Deportivo in five-goal thriller
A brace from Jon Martín and a strike by A. Zakharyan secure a narrow win for the hosts.
Real Sociedad edged Deportivo La Coruna 3-2 in a lively La Liga encounter, with goals from Jon Martín, A. Zakharyan, and Gonçalo Guedes putting the home side ahead. Deportivo fought back with a penalty from Peke and a goal by Mario Soriano, but it wasn't enough to overturn the deficit. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an away win, proving the home side's resilience in a tight contest.
Outcome probability
Real Sociedad and Deportivo La Coruna face off in what promises to be a closely contested regular season match. Both teams have shown flashes of quality, but Deportivo's stronger league position suggests they might just have the upper hand.
Match factors
Zubeldia's absence weakens Real Sociedad defense
Zubeldia is confirmed out due to injury, removing a key defensive stalwart with above-average tackling and interceptions
Sučić's strong away scoring form boosts Real Sociedad attack
Luka Sučić has scored 2 goals in last 5 away games, above average for midfielders, increasing scoring chances
Ochieng's creative form supports Real Sociedad offense
Job Ochieng has 3 assists in last 5 away games, showing strong creative influence if fit to start
Deportivo La Coruna's midfield passing strength could control tempo
Amatucci and Soriano provide high passing accuracy and volume, enabling midfield control against Real Sociedad
Angeliño suspension weakens Deportivo La Coruna defense
Angeliño is confirmed out due to red card suspension, reducing defensive options and experience
The context
Deportivo La Coruna currently sit 7th in the league with 10 points from 7 games, while Real Sociedad find themselves down in 15th with 7 points from 6 matches. Deportivo's superior goal difference (+7 compared to Real Sociedad's -5) highlights their more effective attack and defence so far this season.
Key insights
Luka Sučić
Real Sociedad
Sučić's strong away scoring form with 2 goals in last 5 away games makes him a key attacking threat for Real Sociedad.
La Liga 26/272 goals in 6 games, 0.33 avg per game
Job Nguono Ochieng
Real Sociedad
Ochieng's creative influence is notable with 3 assists in last 5 away games, potentially sparking Real Sociedad's attack if he plays.
La Liga 26/272 assists in 3 games, 0.67 avg per game
- Z
Zubeldia
Real Sociedad
Zubeldia's absence due to injury weakens Real Sociedad's defence, removing a key defensive stalwart.
La Liga 26/27Above average tackles per game (3.5) and 15 interceptions
- A
Amatucci
Deportivo La Coruna
Amatucci's high passing accuracy and volume will help Deportivo control the midfield and tempo of the game.
La Liga 26/2754.5 passes/game at 90% accuracy
- A
Angeliño
Deportivo La Coruna
Angeliño's suspension reduces Deportivo's defensive options and experience at the back.
La Liga 26/27High yellow card rate (0.5 per game)
Analysis
Deportivo La Coruna's midfield duo, Amatucci and Soriano, are expected to control the tempo with their high passing accuracy and volume. Real Sociedad will miss the defensive presence of Zubeldia, who is out injured, potentially weakening their backline. Meanwhile, Deportivo will be without Angeliño due to suspension, which could affect their defensive stability. On the attacking front, Real Sociedad's Luka Sučić has been in fine away form, scoring twice in his last five away games, and Job Ochieng's creativity could provide some spark if he starts. However, Deportivo's overall form and goal difference suggest they have the edge to secure the win.
Key facts
- 1.Deportivo La Coruna are 7th with 10 points from 7 games, better than Real Sociedad's 15th place with 7 points from 6 games.
- 2.Deportivo La Coruna have a goal difference of +7, while Real Sociedad sit at -5.
- 3.Zubeldia is out injured for Real Sociedad, weakening their defence.
- 4.Angeliño is suspended for Deportivo La Coruna, affecting their defensive options.
- 5.Luka Sučić has scored 2 goals in his last 5 away games, boosting Real Sociedad's attack.
- 6.Job Ochieng has 3 assists in his last 5 away games, showing creative form.
- 7.Deportivo's midfielders Amatucci and Soriano have high passing accuracy and volume, likely to control the game.
- 8.The match is predicted to have around 4 cards, indicating moderate disciplinary action.
Prediction
We predict Deportivo La Coruna to take a 1-0 lead into halftime and hold on to win 2-1 by fulltime. The match is likely to feature around four cards, indicating a moderately physical contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Real Sociedad
Away — Deportivo La Coruna
No standout top scorers flagged for Deportivo La Coruna
The verdict
This fixture looks set to be a tight affair with Deportivo La Coruna's stronger league form and goal difference tipping the scales in their favour. Real Sociedad will need to overcome defensive absences and find a way to contain Deportivo's midfield maestros if they are to avoid defeat.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 20:57 UTC · Fipster Model v1.161
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Martín
Assist: Soler
Zakharyan
Mella
Yellow Card
Mella
Gonçalo Guedes
Assist: Barrenetxea
Zakharyan
Gonçalo Guedes
Villares
Luismi Cruz
Ximo Navarro
Soriano
Assist: Riki Rodríguez
Marín
Red Card
Peke
Penalty
Soler
Giménez
Yellow Card
Quagliata
Barrenetxea
Herrera
Yellow Card
Amatucci
Red Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
Match Statistics
Real Sociedad
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1Álex RemiroG
- 6Jon MartínD
- 7BarrenetxeaM
- 11Gonçalo GuedesM
- 15Pablo MarínD
- 17Sergio GómezD
- 18Carlos SolerM
- 19M. SarrD
- 21Y. HerreraM
- 23A. ZakharyanF
- 24L. SučićF
Substitutes
- 3Aihen MuñozD
- 4Jon GorrotxategiM
- 5ZubeldiaD
- 8Beñat TurrientesM
- 10Mikel OyarzabalF
- 12J. OchiengF
- 13Unai MarreroG
- 14T. KuboF
- 16Jon PachecoD
- 22Héctor FortD
- 27Gorka CarreraF
- 34Luken BeitiaD
Deportivo La Coruna
4-4-2Starting XI
- 8Diego VillaresM
- 10PekeM
- 11David MellaM
- 12G. QuagliataD
- 13Leo RománG
- 19Luismi CruzF
- 20J. GiménezD
- 21Mario SorianoM
- 22B. EdeD
- 23Ximo NavarroD
- 32B. NsongoF
Substitutes
- 2Adrià AltiD
- 4L. NoubiD
- 14Riki RodríguezM
- 15Miguel LoureiroD
- 16L. AmatucciM
- 17AngeliñoD
- 18Jonathan Asp JensenM
- 24Adama TraoréF
- 25Álvaro FernándezG
- 33Kevin SánchezF
- 37NoéM
Real Sociedad
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Zakharyan | F | 56 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Jon Martín | D | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Barrenetxea | M | 88 | 7.1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Gonçalo Guedes | M | 56 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Carlos Soler | M | 69 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Álex Remiro | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Sarr | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Y. Herrera | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| J. Ochieng | F | 34 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Mikel Oyarzabal | F | 34 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| L. Sučić | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| Zubeldia | D | 21 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Héctor Fort | D | 2 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Gómez | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Pablo Marín | D | 66 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jon Pacheco | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Beñat Turrientes | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Unai Marrero | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jon Gorrotxategi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luken Beitia | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gorka Carrera | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Kubo | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aihen Muñoz | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Deportivo La Coruna
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Soriano | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1/1 |
| Peke | M | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 5 | 4 | 3 | 8/9 |
| Adama Traoré | F | 33 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Riki Rodríguez | M | 44 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| B. Ede | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Luismi Cruz | F | 57 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| B. Nsongo | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| J. Giménez | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Ximo Navarro | D | 57 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Villares | M | 57 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| G. Quagliata | D | 79 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Adrià Alti | D | 33 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Jonathan Asp Jensen | M | 11 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Mella | M | 46 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Leo Román | G | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Amatucci | M | 33 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Noubi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Loureiro | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Fernández | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Angeliño | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noé | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Sánchez | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Deportivo La Coruna to win against Real Sociedad.
- What score did Fipster predict for Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Real Sociedad 1–2 Deportivo La Coruna.
- What were the win probabilities for Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna?
- Fipster's model gave Real Sociedad a 7% chance of winning, Deportivo La Coruna a 85% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.