Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake shut out St. Louis City with Solans brace
A commanding home victory silenced the high-flying visitors.
Real Salt Lake delivered a dominant 3-0 win over St. Louis City in Major League Soccer, with S. Solans starring by netting twice, including a first-half strike and a second-half goal shortly after the break. D. Marczuk also contributed to the scoreline, ensuring a comfortable margin. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an away win, proving the home side's defence and attack were too strong on the day.
Outcome probability
As the regular season nears its climax, Real Salt Lake face off against St. Louis City in what promises to be a lively contest. Both teams have shown attacking intent in their recent outings, setting the stage for a match brimming with goals and drama.
Match factors
Rafael Navarro's prolific scoring form
Navarro's 7 goals in 7 games and 4 in last 5 matches give St. Louis City a strong attacking edge
Diego Luna's absence weakens Real Salt Lake midfield
Luna is confirmed out with a knee injury, removing a key 5-goal contributor and playmaker
Sergi Solans leads Real Salt Lake scoring
Solans has 10 goals this season with strong recent form, key to home team's goal threat
N. Caliskan's recent assist surge
Caliskan has 3 assists in last 5 games, boosting Real Salt Lake's creative output
St. Louis City's balanced attack with multiple threats
Multiple attackers including Navarro, Becher, and Holse contribute goals, complicating defense
The context
Real Salt Lake currently sit 12th in the league with 33 points from 29 games, while St. Louis City hold a strong 2nd place with 51 points from 30 matches. Their head-to-head history is fairly balanced, with Real Salt Lake winning 3 of their 7 meetings, St. Louis City winning once, and 3 draws. Matches between these sides tend to be goal-rich affairs, averaging 3.6 goals per game.
Key insights
Rafael Navarro
St. Louis City
Navarro's 7 goals in 7 games and 4 in last 5 matches give St. Louis City a strong attacking edge.
Major League Soccer 26/277 goals in 7 apps, 4 in last 5 games
- D
Diego Luna
Real Salt Lake
Luna is out with a knee injury, removing a key 5-goal contributor and playmaker, weakening Real Salt Lake's midfield.
Major League Soccer 26/275 goals in 25 apps
Sergi Solans
Real Salt Lake
Solans has 10 goals this season with strong recent form, key to Real Salt Lake's goal threat.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 goals in 26 apps, 3 in last 5 games
N. Caliskan
Real Salt Lake
Caliskan has 3 assists in last 5 games, boosting Real Salt Lake's creative output.
Major League Soccer 26/274 assists in 27 apps, 3 in last 5 games
Analysis
St. Louis City's attacking line-up is firing on all cylinders, led by Rafael Navarro who boasts an impressive 7 goals in 7 games, including 4 in his last 5 appearances. This prolific form gives the visitors a clear edge in front of goal. Real Salt Lake will rely heavily on Sergi Solans, their top scorer with 10 goals this season and recent strong form. However, the absence of Diego Luna, a key midfielder and playmaker, due to injury, could hamper their creativity and midfield stability. St. Louis City's balanced attack, featuring multiple goal threats, combined with their superior league position and points per game, suggests they have the upper hand in this encounter.
Key facts
- 1.Real Salt Lake have won 3 of 7 matches against St. Louis City, with 3 draws and 1 loss.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 3.6 goals, indicating high scoring potential.
- 3.St. Louis City ranks 2nd with 51 points; Real Salt Lake ranks 12th with 33 points.
- 4.St. Louis City has a significantly better goal difference (20 goals) than Real Salt Lake this season.
- 5.St. Louis City averages 1.70 points per game, compared to Real Salt Lake's 1.14.
- 6.Rafael Navarro has scored 7 goals in 7 games, including 4 in the last 5 matches.
- 7.Sergi Solans leads Real Salt Lake with 10 goals this season, including 3 in the last 5 games.
- 8.Diego Luna is out with a knee injury, impacting Real Salt Lake's midfield creativity.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a narrow away win for St. Louis City, with a final scoreline of 3-2. Expect a closely contested match with both sides finding the net, but ultimately the visitors' attacking firepower and league form should see them edge out Real Salt Lake.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Real Salt Lake
Away — St. Louis City
The verdict
In summary, while Real Salt Lake will put up a spirited fight bolstered by Solans' goal-scoring, St. Louis City's consistent offensive threat and superior league standing make them the likely winners. Fans should brace for an entertaining, high-scoring affair that could go down to the wire.
Prediction generated 18 Oct 2026, 02:37 UTC · Fipster Model v1.164
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Rafael Santos
Yellow Card
Ostrák
Yellow Card
Quinton
Yellow Card
Solans
Assist: Guilavogui
Ostrák
Red Card
Durkin
Wallem
Marczuk
Assist: De Fougerolles
Solans
Assist: Lobzhanidze
Quinton
Sanabria
Yellow Card
Caliskan
Guilavogui
Solans
Brunet
Becher
Lobzhanidze
Navarro
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +15 | 51 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +8 | 51 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 10 |  Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 36 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -5 | 34 |
Match Statistics
Real Salt Lake
5-4-1Starting XI
- 1Rafael CabralG
- 3K. HenryD
- 6S. SpieringsM
- 8J. SanabriaD
- 9M. GuilavoguiM
- 11D. MarczukD
- 12S. LobzhanidzeM
- 22S. SolansF
- 26P. QuintonD
- 44L. De FougerollesD
- 92N. CaliskanM
Substitutes
- 2D. YedlinD
- 15J. GladD
- 19A. PiolF
- 23Chadwick Zachary BoothM
- 25Colin GuskeM
- 29S. JunquaD
- 31M. StajduharG
- 39A. HezarkhaniF
- 98A. KatránisD
St. Louis City
3-4-3Starting XI
- 6C. WallemM
- 7T. OstrákF
- 8C. DurkinM
- 9Rafael NavarroF
- 11S. BecherF
- 18C. BrunetM
- 20Rafael SantosM
- 27F. FallD
- 32T. BaumgartlD
- 39B. LundtG
- 99J. OrozcoD
Substitutes
- 4M. FallD
- 5L. MacNaughtonD
- 19C. HolseF
- 21D. PolvaraM
- 24D. EdelmanM
- 31C. OlivaresG
- 42D. DownsF
- 59M. JoynerM
- 77Jeong Sang-BinF
Real Salt Lake
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Solans | F | 68 | 8.9 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 2/3 |
| D. Marczuk | D | 90 | 8.6 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| K. Henry | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| S. Lobzhanidze | M | 80 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1/1 |
| M. Guilavogui | M | 67 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 5 | — |
| J. Glad | D | 30 | 7.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| S. Spierings | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| L. De Fougerolles | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | 0/1 |
| J. Sanabria | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Colin Guske | M | 23 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Quinton | D | 60 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Cabral | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chadwick Zachary Booth | M | 23 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| N. Caliskan | M | 67 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| A. Piol | F | 22 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Hezarkhani | F | 10 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| D. Yedlin | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Stajduhar | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Junqua | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Katránis | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
St. Louis City
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Durkin | M | 46 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Baumgartl | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Downs | F | 19 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| C. Wallem | M | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| F. Fall | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Navarro | F | 84 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Orozco | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Brunet | M | 71 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Becher | F | 71 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| D. Polvara | M | 44 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| D. Edelman | M | 19 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Fall | D | 6 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Joyner | M | 44 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Lundt | G | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Ostrák | F | 43 | 5.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Rafael Santos | M | 90 | 5.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. MacNaughton | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Olivares | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeong Sang-Bin | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Holse | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City?
- Fipster's AI model predicted St. Louis City to win against Real Salt Lake.
- What score did Fipster predict for Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Real Salt Lake 2–3 St. Louis City.
- What were the win probabilities for Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City?
- Fipster's model gave Real Salt Lake a 10% chance of winning, St. Louis City a 80% chance, and a 10% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 80% confidence — a high-confidence call.