Real Salt Lake vs Sporting Kansas City
Match recap
Real Salt Lake beat Sporting Kansas City 3–1 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Luna, Solans, and Gozo scored for Real Salt Lake; Joveljić replied for Sporting Kansas City. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.55 for Real Salt Lake versus 0.48 for Sporting Kansas City. Real Salt Lake sit 10th in the Major League Soccer table while Sporting Kansas City are 15th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-2 Real Salt Lake win
Actual
3–1
Outcome probability
Real Salt Lake and Sporting Kansas City face off in what promises to be a lively MLS regular season match. Both teams have shown glimpses of attacking prowess, setting the stage for a high-scoring affair.
Match factors
André Luiz's recent scoring surge
André Luiz's 8 goals in last 5 games provide Sporting Kansas City a sharp attacking edge despite overall team struggles
Key absences weaken Real Salt Lake midfield and defense
Confirmed outs Luna, Engel, and Glad reduce Real Salt Lake's midfield creativity and defensive solidity
Sporting Kansas City maintains scoring streak despite poor form
Sporting Kansas City has scored in last 5 matches, showing attacking resilience even with defensive issues
Home advantage boosts Real Salt Lake scoring
Real Salt Lake averages 1.93 goals per home game, above league average, supporting predicted 3 goals at home
The context
This fixture is part of the 2026 MLS regular season, round 6. Real Salt Lake currently sit 11th in the league with 32 points from 28 games, while Sporting Kansas City are 15th with 22 points from the same number of matches. Historically, Real Salt Lake have the upper hand in head-to-head meetings, winning half of their 20 encounters against Sporting Kansas City.
Key insights
S. Solans
Real Salt Lake
Top scorer with 11 goals this season and strong home form, making him a key attacking threat.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals in 26 apps, 0.42 goals/game
André Luiz
Sporting Kansas City
Exceptional recent form with 8 goals in last 5 games, providing a sharp offensive edge.
Major League Soccer 26/277 goals in 7 apps, 1.0 goals/game
Z. Gozo
Real Salt Lake
Consistent starter with 6 goals and 4 assists, linking midfield and attack effectively.
Major League Soccer 26/276 goals in 16 apps, 0.38 goals/game
Analysis
Real Salt Lake boast a strong home scoring record, averaging nearly two goals per home game, which bodes well for their attacking output in this match. Their top scorer, S. Solans, has netted 11 goals this season and maintains solid form at home. Sporting Kansas City's André Luiz has been in scintillating form recently, scoring eight goals in his last five games, providing a sharp attacking threat despite the team's overall struggles. Both sides have shown the ability to find the net consistently, suggesting an open and entertaining game.
Key facts
- 1.Real Salt Lake have won 10 of 20 head-to-head matches against Sporting Kansas City.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 3.0 goals, with Real Salt Lake scoring 34 and Sporting Kansas City 27.
- 3.Real Salt Lake rank 11th in the league with 32 points from 28 games.
- 4.Sporting Kansas City rank 15th with 22 points from 28 games.
- 5.Real Salt Lake average 1.93 goals per home game, above the league average.
- 6.S. Solans is Real Salt Lake's top scorer with 11 goals this season.
- 7.André Luiz has scored 8 goals in his last 5 games for Sporting Kansas City.
- 8.The predicted total number of cards in the match is four.
Prediction
We predict a narrow 3-2 victory for Real Salt Lake. The match is expected to be closely contested, with both teams trading goals. The halftime scoreline is anticipated to be 1-1, reflecting the competitive nature of the encounter. A total of four cards is the most likely disciplinary outcome, indicating a spirited but fair contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Real Salt Lake
Away — Sporting Kansas City
The verdict
In summary, Real Salt Lake's home advantage and attacking depth should see them edge out Sporting Kansas City in a thrilling 3-2 match. Fans can expect an entertaining game with plenty of goalmouth action and key contributions from standout players on both sides.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 23:42 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Luna
Assist: Caliskan
Penalty cancelled
Bartlow
Solans
Assist: Gozo
Joveljić
Assist: Reynolds
James
Reynolds
Solans
Katránis
Harris
Gozo
Assist: Caliskan
Spierings
Luna
Guilavogui
Yellow Card
Gozo
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 10 |  Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 36 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -5 | 34 |
| 14 |  Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 31 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | -39 | 22 |
Match Statistics
Real Salt Lake
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1Rafael CabralG
- 4L. EngelD
- 6S. SpieringsM
- 9M. GuilavoguiF
- 10D. LunaF
- 15J. GladD
- 22S. SolansF
- 26P. QuintonD
- 72Z. GozoM
- 92N. CaliskanM
- 98A. KatránisM
Substitutes
- 7P. RuizM
- 11D. MarczukF
- 17V. OlatunjiF
- 24M. KerkvlietG
- 27G. DillonM
- 29S. JunquaD
- 31M. StajduharG
- 34L. MoisaM
- 36Jesús Rafael Barea BarrosoF
Sporting Kansas City
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1J. PulskampG
- 2I. JamesD
- 4L. JohnsenM
- 6Manu GarcíaF
- 8J. DavisM
- 9D. JoveljićF
- 11C. HarrisF
- 13J. ReynoldsM
- 15Jansen MillerD
- 23E. BartlowD
- 93M. SuleymanovM
Substitutes
- 12J. KortkampG
- 14M. TschantretM
- 16J. BartlettD
- 17S. AfrifaF
- 19T. CalheiraF
- 20K. AgyabengM
- 22Z. BassongD
Real Salt Lake
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zavier Gozo | M | 89 | 9.3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3/4 |
| Diego Luna | F | 84 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Sergi Solans | F | 72 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Morgan Guilavogui | F | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Stijn Spierings | M | 84 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rafael Cabral(C) | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Justen Glad | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lukas Engel | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Philip Quinton | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Alexandros Katranis | M | 72 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Noel Caliskan | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Luca Moisa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max Kerkvliet | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mason Stajduhar | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesus Barea | F | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Pablo Ruíz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Griffin Dillon | M | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sam Junqua | D | 18 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dominik Marczuk | F | 12 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Olatunji | F | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sporting Kansas City
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejan Joveljić(C) | F | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Calvin Harris | F | 74 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 3/5 |
| Lasse Berg Johnsen | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jansen Miller | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Reynolds | M | 64 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Manu García | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Magomed Shapi Suleymanov | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ian James | D | 64 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ethan Bartlow | D | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacob Davis | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| John Pulskamp | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Kwaku Agyabeng | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Kortkamp | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Taylor Calheira | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Macielo Tschantret | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stephen Afrifa | F | 16 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Zorhan Bassong | D | 26 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jacob Bartlett | D | 26 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Borges | D | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Real Salt Lake vs Sporting Kansas City?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Real Salt Lake to win against Sporting Kansas City.
- What score did Fipster predict for Real Salt Lake vs Sporting Kansas City?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Real Salt Lake 3–2 Sporting Kansas City.
- What were the win probabilities for Real Salt Lake vs Sporting Kansas City?
- Fipster's model gave Real Salt Lake a 95% chance of winning, Sporting Kansas City a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.