Real Salt Lake vs Seattle Sounders
Match recap
Real Salt Lake beat Seattle Sounders 2–1 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.68 for Real Salt Lake versus 1.50 for Seattle Sounders. Real Salt Lake sit 10th in the Major League Soccer table while Seattle Sounders are 7th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-3 Seattle Sounders win
Actual
2–1
Outcome probability
The upcoming clash between Real Salt Lake and Seattle Sounders promises an exciting contest, with both teams boasting attacking talents and recent scoring form. Fans can expect a match filled with goals and tactical battles.
Match factors
Real Salt Lake's attacking trio in good form
S. Solans and Z. Gozo lead Real Salt Lake's attack with strong goal and assist contributions, likely to challenge Seattle's defense
Seattle's creative midfield led by Rusnák
Albert Rusnák's 11 assists this season and recent form provide Seattle with strong creative edge
Seattle's recent scoring consistency
Seattle Sounders have scored in last 5 away games, showing strong offensive momentum
Real Salt Lake's home scoring streak
Real Salt Lake has scored in 4 of last 5 home games, indicating positive attacking form at home
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, ensuring strongest lineups and tactical plans
The context
This fixture is part of the regular season's second round, where Seattle Sounders currently sit higher in the league standings compared to Real Salt Lake. Historically, Real Salt Lake have a slight edge in head-to-head meetings, but Seattle's recent form and goal difference suggest a competitive encounter.
Key insights
S. Solans
Real Salt Lake
Top scorer for Real Salt Lake with 11 goals, showing strong recent home scoring form with 2 goals in last 3 home games.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals in 26 appearances, 0.42 goals/game
Z. Gozo
Real Salt Lake
Consistent starter with 6 goals and 4 assists in 16 appearances, contributing significantly to the team's attack.
Major League Soccer 26/276 goals and 4 assists in 16 appearances
A. Rusnák
Seattle Sounders
Creative force with 11 assists this season, providing Seattle with a strong attacking edge and recent form with 4 assists in last 5 games.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 assists in 26 appearances, 0.42 assists/game
Analysis
Seattle Sounders have demonstrated consistent scoring ability in their last five away games, while Real Salt Lake have maintained a solid home scoring streak. Key players like S. Solans and Z. Gozo lead Real Salt Lake's attack, but Seattle's creative midfield, spearheaded by Albert Rusnák with 11 assists this season, provides a significant threat. Both teams have full squads available, ensuring tactical plans can be executed without injury concerns.
Key facts
- 1.Seattle Sounders rank 7th with 41 points from 28 games, while Real Salt Lake are 11th with 32 points.
- 2.In 20 head-to-head meetings, Real Salt Lake have won 10, Seattle Sounders 6, with 4 draws.
- 3.Seattle Sounders have a superior goal difference of +8 compared to Real Salt Lake this season.
- 4.Seattle Sounders have scored in their last 5 away games, showing strong offensive momentum.
- 5.Real Salt Lake have scored in 4 of their last 5 home games, indicating positive attacking form.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards an away win for Seattle Sounders with a 3-2 scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 1-2, reflecting Seattle's ability to strike early and maintain pressure. The match is likely to feature four cards, indicating a competitive but controlled game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Real Salt Lake
Away — Seattle Sounders
The verdict
In summary, expect a thrilling encounter with Seattle Sounders narrowly overcoming Real Salt Lake. The attacking talents on both sides should provide plenty of entertainment, but Seattle's recent form and creative edge may just tip the scales in their favour.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 18:02 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +15 | 46 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 10 |  Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 36 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -5 | 34 |
Match Statistics
Real Salt Lake
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1Rafael CabralG
- 4L. EngelD
- 8J. SanabriaM
- 15J. GladD
- 19A. PiolF
- 23Chadwick Zachary BoothF
- 26P. QuintonD
- 34L. MoisaM
- 39A. HezarkhaniF
- 72Z. GozoM
- 92N. CaliskanM
Substitutes
- 7P. RuizM
- 9M. GuilavoguiF
- 11D. MarczukF
- 22S. SolansF
- 27G. DillonM
- 29S. JunquaD
- 31M. StajduharG
- 77R. MesallesD
- 98A. KatránisD
Seattle Sounders
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5N. ToloD
- 7C. RoldanM
- 9J. FerreiraM
- 11A. RusnákM
- 14P. RothrockM
- 16A. RoldanD
- 25J. RagenD
- 26A. ThomasG
- 28Y. GómezD
- 31H. DotsonM
- 95O. De RosarioF
Substitutes
- 17P. ArriolaF
- 19D. MusovskiF
- 24S. FreiG
- 33C. BakerD
- 35A. LopezD
- 37S. BrunellM
- 44N. PetkovićM
- 85K. Kossa-RienziM
Real Salt Lake
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Cabral(C) | G | 90 | 8.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zavier Gozo | M | 90 | 8.0 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2/3 |
| Aiden Hezarkhani | F | 72 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Luca Moisa | M | 60 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Juan Manuel Sanabria | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| Noel Caliskan | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Lukas Engel | D | 61 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Philip Quinton | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Ariath Piol | F | 82 | 6.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Justen Glad | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zach Booth | F | 72 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ruben Mesalles | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Griffin Dillon | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mason Stajduhar | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexandros Katranis | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Morgan Guilavogui | F | 18 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Sergi Solans | F | 18 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| Dominik Marczuk | F | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Sam Junqua | D | 29 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Pablo Ruíz | M | 30 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
Seattle Sounders
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristian Roldán(C) | M | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Albert Rusnák | M | 89 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | — |
| Paul Rothrock | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 4/8 |
| Alex Roldán | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Osaze De Rosario | F | 58 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jackson Ragen | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Andrew Thomas | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesús Ferreira | M | 58 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Hassani Dotson | M | 81 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yeimar Gómez | D | 58 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | — |
| Nouhou Tolo | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Antino Lopez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefan Frei | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Baker | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Gomez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Petković | M | 10 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kalani Kossa-Rienzi | M | 32 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Musovski | F | 32 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Paul Arriola | F | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Snyder Brunell | M | 32 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Real Salt Lake vs Seattle Sounders?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Seattle Sounders to win against Real Salt Lake.
- What score did Fipster predict for Real Salt Lake vs Seattle Sounders?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Real Salt Lake 2–3 Seattle Sounders.
- What were the win probabilities for Real Salt Lake vs Seattle Sounders?
- Fipster's model gave Real Salt Lake a 2% chance of winning, Seattle Sounders a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.